Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 141138
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
538 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 528 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2014

CEILINGS FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT HAVE BEEN ABOVE 1000 FEET, BUT HAVE
BEEN DECREASING SINCE 10Z, AND HAVE MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN IFR
CIGS AT TOP/FOE THROUGH AROUND 17Z, WITH LESS IFR POTENTIAL AT
MHK. AFTER 17Z, THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF CIG IMPROVEMENT TO
AROUND 1500 FT. A BROKEN LINE OF TSRA IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH MHK
AROUND 23Z AND TOP/FOE AROUND 00Z. MAY HAVE A BREAK AFTER THIS
INITIAL LINE OF STORMS BEFORE ADDITIONAL TS MOVE IN NEAR THE END
OF THE TAF PERIOD. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR IFR AFTER 04Z, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW AND KEPT MVFR CIGS AT THIS TIME.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         734 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  170/12 MPH
                                     9 AM  160/13 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 504 AM):        200FT  174/12 MPH
                                      400FT  175/15 MPH
                                      600FT  175/18 MPH
                                      800FT  178/20 MPH
                                     1000FT  190/27 MPH
                                     1500FT  197/35 MPH
                                     2000FT  202/41 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 176/11 MPH
                                       95FT  179/18 MPH
                                      245FT  181/21 MPH
                                      509FT  184/25 MPH
                                      902FT  187/29 MPH
                                     1413FT  192/33 MPH
                                     2035FT  206/38 MPH
                                     2733FT  221/42 MPH
                                     3507FT  229/41 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 169/10 MPH
                                       95FT  172/17 MPH
                                      247FT  174/20 MPH
                                      509FT  177/25 MPH
                                      902FT  181/29 MPH
                                     1414FT  188/34 MPH
                                     2037FT  201/37 MPH
                                     2734FT  216/39 MPH
                                     3508FT  226/39 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 169/10 MPH
                                       92FT  172/17 MPH
                                      245FT  174/19 MPH
                                      509FT  178/25 MPH
                                      900FT  181/29 MPH
                                     1414FT  188/34 MPH
                                     2037FT  201/37 MPH
                                     2734FT  216/39 MPH
                                     3508FT  226/39 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1272 FT
                                     9 AM  1272 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         501 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   2 PM  150/15G22 MPH
                    4 PM  150/16G24 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$






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