Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 291719
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1219 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1204 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THE FRONTOGENETICAL BAND OF LIGHT SHOWERS APPEARS TO BE FALLING
APART AND SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON.
MODELS SHOW THE DEEPER MOISTURE AND FORCING OVERNIGHT AND INTO WED
MORNING FAVORING PRECIP ACROSS SOUTHERN AND WESTERN KS. A FEW
SOLUTIONS STILL TRY TO BRING SOME LIGHT SHRA INTO MHK OVERNIGHT.
AGAIN WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ONLY AROUND 5 C/KM, IMPACT TO THE
TERMINALS WOULD BE MINIMAL. WITH 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE TRENDING
SOUTHWEST WITH THEIR QPF, HAVE REMOVED THE MENTION OF VCSH FROM
TOP AND FOE AND LEFT THE MENTION IN FOR MHK. OVERALL VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL EVEN IF -RA MOVES IN DUE TO NO REAL LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION ANTICIPATED.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          837 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           6 PM  350/10 MPH
                                     8 PM  010/07 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 601 AM):        200FT  013/03 MPH
                                      400FT  034/05 MPH
                                      600FT  038/06 MPH
                                      800FT  034/06 MPH
                                     1000FT  010/06 MPH
                                     1500FT  035/07 MPH
                                     2000FT  020/06 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 330/11 MPH
                                       75FT  330/12 MPH
                                      236FT  330/13 MPH
                                      516FT  330/13 MPH
                                      931FT  330/13 MPH
                                     1474FT  329/14 MPH
                                     2128FT  328/14 MPH
                                     2856FT  326/14 MPH
                                     3663FT  325/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 335/11 MPH
                                       78FT  335/12 MPH
                                      239FT  335/13 MPH
                                      519FT  334/13 MPH
                                      934FT  334/14 MPH
                                     1474FT  333/14 MPH
                                     2128FT  331/14 MPH
                                     2857FT  330/14 MPH
                                     3664FT  327/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 351/10 MPH
                                       75FT  350/12 MPH
                                      236FT  350/13 MPH
                                      515FT  349/13 MPH
                                      930FT  334/14 MPH
                                     1474FT  333/14 MPH
                                     2128FT  331/14 MPH
                                     2857FT  330/14 MPH
                                     3664FT  327/14 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                6 PM  2896 FT
                                     8 PM  2468 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        621 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  160/02 MPH
                    8 AM  160/03 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$







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