Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 151328
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
728 AM CST SAT NOV 15 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 523 AM CST SAT NOV 15 2014

AN AREA OF SNOW CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE TERMINALS.
BASED ON RADAR, THE SNOW MAY IMPACT THE AIRPORTS 1-2 HOURS SOONER
THE THE HRRR OR RAP SUGGEST. HAVE KEPT A TEMPO FOR IFR CONDITIONS
SINCE THE NAM AND GFS SHOW POTENTIAL FOR UPRIGHT INSTABILITY AND
BRIEF PERIODS OF MORE INTENSE SNOWFALL. OTHERWISE THINK THERE IS A
SHORT WINDOW FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. MAIN UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
FORECAST ARE THE CIGS. NAM MOS WANTS TO KEEP A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
MVFR CONDITIONS AFTER THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH. BASED ON
OBS OVER SOUTHWEST MO AND NORTHEAST OK, THIS SEEMS UNLIKELY. DID
BRING SOME MVFR CIGS BACK IN AFTER THE FROPA. BUT THIS TO SHOULD
NOT LAST LONG AS DRY AIR ADVECTS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         706 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           8 AM  150/08 MPH
                                     9 AM  160/09 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 502 AM):        200FT  129/10 MPH
                                      400FT  140/16 MPH
                                      600FT  146/21 MPH
                                      800FT  150/23 MPH
                                     1000FT  159/24 MPH
                                     1500FT  172/22 MPH
                                     2000FT  178/21 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        38FT  125/07 MPH
                                      116FT  124/19 MPH
                                      258FT  125/22 MPH
                                      506FT  133/30 MPH
                                      878FT  140/31 MPH
                                     1362FT  149/29 MPH
                                     1955FT  160/25 MPH
                                     2611FT  173/21 MPH
                                     3342FT  186/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        38FT  135/06 MPH
                                      114FT  131/17 MPH
                                      256FT  131/20 MPH
                                      506FT  139/29 MPH
                                      876FT  144/32 MPH
                                     1362FT  155/31 MPH
                                     1953FT  164/28 MPH
                                     2613FT  176/24 MPH
                                     3342FT  188/23 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        35FT  131/06 MPH
                                      114FT  132/16 MPH
                                      257FT  133/18 MPH
                                      504FT  141/26 MPH
                                      877FT  144/32 MPH
                                     1362FT  155/31 MPH
                                     1953FT  164/28 MPH
                                     2613FT  176/24 MPH
                                     3342FT  188/23 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                8 AM  -1290 FT
                                     9 AM  -1359 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         508 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   2 PM  150/10 MPH
                    4 PM  140/08 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$







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