Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 121714
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1114 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1114 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2014

THE FORECAST WILL STAY WITH PERSISTENCE AS THE RAP AND NAM
CONTINUE TO SHOW A RELATIVE MINIMUM IN 925MB RH THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. BECAUSE OF THIS THINK VFR CIGS WILL PERSIST WITH VSBY
GRADUALLY IMPROVING. MAY EVEN SEE THE SUCKER HOLE TO THE NORTH
MOVE OVER THE TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND
OBJECTIVE MOS GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO POINT AT MVFR CONDITIONS
REDEVELOPING THIS EVENING. WITH IFR CIGS AND VSBY UPSTREAM OVER
SOUTHERN KS AND NORTHWEST OK, THIS SEEMS REASONABLE. CONFIDENCE IN
TIMING THE LOWER CIGS AND VSBY IS NOT THAT HIGH SINCE MODELS SHOW
A SATURATED BOUNDARY LAYER EVEN NOW.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          500 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           2 PM  180/08 MPH
                                     4 PM  170/07 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 507 AM):        200FT  128/05 MPH
                                      400FT  147/08 MPH
                                      600FT  173/10 MPH
                                      800FT  194/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  216/15 MPH
                                     1500FT  227/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  270/13 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        22FT  157/05 MPH
                                      102FT  169/08 MPH
                                      253FT  176/11 MPH
                                      517FT  182/13 MPH
                                      908FT  184/14 MPH
                                     1416FT  191/15 MPH
                                     2035FT  210/15 MPH
                                     2722FT  225/16 MPH
                                     3484FT  252/24 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        22FT  180/05 MPH
                                      102FT  185/11 MPH
                                      256FT  188/14 MPH
                                      517FT  190/16 MPH
                                      908FT  188/16 MPH
                                     1416FT  184/15 MPH
                                     2035FT  198/12 MPH
                                     2722FT  233/14 MPH
                                     3486FT  248/26 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        22FT  178/06 MPH
                                      102FT  187/13 MPH
                                      255FT  189/15 MPH
                                      515FT  190/17 MPH
                                      908FT  188/16 MPH
                                     1416FT  184/15 MPH
                                     2035FT  198/12 MPH
                                     2722FT  233/14 MPH
                                     3486FT  248/26 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                2 PM  605 FT
                                     4 PM  610 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        733 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  160/07 MPH
                    9 AM  160/08 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$






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