Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 240521
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1221 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1142 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016

A VFR FORECAST IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY. MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW A MARGINAL CHANCE FOR LLWS WITH LOW LEVEL WINDS
AROUND 30KT. SURFACE OBS ACROSS CENTRAL KS ARE GUSTING NOW
SUGGESTING THE NOCTURNAL INVERSION IS NOT THAT STRONG WHICH IS
ALSO LIMITING THE CHANCES FOR LLWS. OTHERWISE THE MAIN FOCUS IS ON
PRECIP CHANCES. THERE ARE SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES AMONG THE
VARIOUS SOLUTIONS. THEREFORE HAVE MAINTAINED A PROB30 FOR WHAT
APPEARS TO BE THE MOST LIKELY WINDOW FOR PRECIP.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         616 AM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 602 PM):        200FT  167/10 MPH
                                      400FT  174/14 MPH
                                      600FT  176/15 MPH
                                      800FT  176/17 MPH
                                     1000FT  180/22 MPH
                                     1500FT  191/24 MPH
                                     2000FT  199/23 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 201/08 MPH
                                       87FT  213/20 MPH
                                      248FT  214/23 MPH
                                      529FT  226/34 MPH
                                      946FT  232/41 MPH
                                     1496FT  238/46 MPH
                                     2166FT  245/44 MPH
                                     2913FT  255/38 MPH
                                     3740FT  266/30 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 198/05 MPH
                                       81FT  218/18 MPH
                                      242FT  220/20 MPH
                                      522FT  232/30 MPH
                                      940FT  240/40 MPH
                                     1488FT  244/47 MPH
                                     2153FT  249/47 MPH
                                     2901FT  255/42 MPH
                                     3727FT  260/36 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 232/10 MPH
                                       77FT  235/16 MPH
                                      240FT  235/18 MPH
                                      520FT  238/22 MPH
                                      939FT  240/40 MPH
                                     1488FT  244/47 MPH
                                     2153FT  249/47 MPH
                                     2901FT  255/42 MPH
                                     3727FT  260/36 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         842 PM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$


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