Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 212328
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
628 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 539 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME MOISTURE ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC
LIFT BETWEEN 900MB AND 850MB AFTER 06Z. ONLY THE NAM FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THERE IS ANY INSTABILITY WITH THE RAP AND GFS
MAINTAINING SOME INHIBITION ABOVE THIS LAYER. THEREFORE WILL
MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST FOR THE TERMINALS OVERNIGHT AND MONITOR
TRENDS. LARGER SCALE FORCING DOES NOT AFFECT THE AREA TOMORROW
UNTIL AFTER 00Z, SO THE FORECAST HAS VFR CONDITIONS PERSISTING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          635 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 604 PM):        200FT  118/09 MPH
                                      400FT  119/13 MPH
                                      600FT  123/14 MPH
                                      800FT  130/14 MPH
                                     1000FT  144/13 MPH
                                     1500FT  150/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  162/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        27FT  133/08 MPH
                                      112FT  135/09 MPH
                                      270FT  137/10 MPH
                                      543FT  138/10 MPH
                                      950FT  143/11 MPH
                                     1476FT  147/11 MPH
                                     2119FT  154/11 MPH
                                     2829FT  163/11 MPH
                                     3620FT  179/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACEFT  108/07 MPH
                                      105FT  111/11 MPH
                                      263FT  116/14 MPH
                                      536FT  123/14 MPH
                                      942FT  132/14 MPH
                                     1469FT  144/13 MPH
                                     2109FT  162/12 MPH
                                     2822FT  179/12 MPH
                                     3610FT  192/13 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACEFT  107/07 MPH
                                       96FT  107/16 MPH
                                      253FT  109/19 MPH
                                      525FT  114/20 MPH
                                      930FT  132/14 MPH
                                     1469FT  144/13 MPH
                                     2109FT  162/12 MPH
                                     2822FT  179/12 MPH
                                     3610FT  192/13 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        739 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  140/08 MPH
                    9 AM  150/10 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$







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