Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 230454
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1154 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016

CHALLENGING FORECAST WITH TIMING OF CEILINGS AND CONVECTION THIS
PERIOD.  WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET MOVING EAST OVER THE AREA TONIGHT,
MODEL SOUNDINGS HAVE BEEN HINTING AT LLWS AT ALL TERMINALS. BELIEVE
THIS MAY BE MORE ON THE MARGINAL SIDE, BUT HAVE KEPT PERSISTENCE
WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTS TO LEAVE IN THIS POTENTIAL.  OVERNIGHT,
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST IMPACTING TERMINALS
BETWEEN 13-14Z.  ALONG WITH STORMS, CEILINGS WILL ALSO DETERIORATE
TO MVFR AT THE SAME TIME.  FROM HERE, LINGERING STORMS COULD BE SEEN
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE A BRIEF BREAK IS SEEN IN
PRECIPITATION.  EXACT TIMING IS STILL BEING WORKED OUT, BUT A
CLEARING FROM ROUGHLY 22-23Z TO 01-02Z IS POSSIBLE BEFORE STORMS
MOVE THROUGH AGAIN TOMORROW NIGHT.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          835 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 607 PM):        200FT  161/17 MPH
                                      400FT  159/19 MPH
                                      600FT  160/20 MPH
                                      800FT  159/20 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/21 MPH
                                     1500FT  164/23 MPH
                                     2000FT  164/24 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        17FT  180/08 MPH
                                      104FT  183/18 MPH
                                      258FT  184/21 MPH
                                      531FT  189/31 MPH
                                      937FT  194/37 MPH
                                     1468FT  199/44 MPH
                                     2111FT  202/47 MPH
                                     2830FT  205/46 MPH
                                     3632FT  208/41 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        12FT  172/09 MPH
                                       98FT  174/18 MPH
                                      253FT  176/21 MPH
                                      525FT  181/29 MPH
                                      930FT  186/35 MPH
                                     1458FT  194/42 MPH
                                     2100FT  201/45 MPH
                                     2822FT  207/45 MPH
                                     3621FT  213/40 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACEFT  166/08 MPH
                                       81FT  171/16 MPH
                                      238FT  173/18 MPH
                                      506FT  179/24 MPH
                                      909FT  186/35 MPH
                                     1458FT  194/42 MPH
                                     2100FT  201/45 MPH
                                     2822FT  207/45 MPH
                                     3621FT  213/40 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        603 AM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$



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