Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 191158
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
658 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 639 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

EXPECT INCREASING LOW AND MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE DAY
AND INTO TONIGHT AS A SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA. WHILE
CIGS SHOULD REMAIN VFR FOR KTOP/KFOE, MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT
BORDERLINE MVFR/VFR CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AT KMHK. WHILE
MODELS SHOW SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA WITH
THIS ADVANCING WAVE, THERE IS A VAST SPREAD AMONGST THE MODEL
SOLUTIONS REGARDING (A) THE TIMING OF PRECIPITATION LIFTING
NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA, AND (B) WHAT LOCATIONS HAVE THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR SEEING THIS SCATTERED PRECIPITATION. SEVERAL MODELS
WERE HOLDING OFF ON THESE SCATTERED SHOWERS NEAR THE TAF SITES
UNTIL THIS EVENING, HOWEVER RECENT RUNS OF THE HRRR AND RAP
SUGGEST THESE SHOWERS MAY MOVE OVER THE TAF SITES AS EARLY AS THIS
AFTERNOON. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING AND LOCATION, ONLY
HAVE A MENTION OF VCSH AT THIS TIME FOR KTOP/KFOE.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         606 AM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 633 AM):        200FT  178/09 MPH
                                      400FT  177/15 MPH
                                      600FT  173/17 MPH
                                      800FT  170/16 MPH
                                     1000FT  172/14 MPH
                                     1500FT  163/10 MPH
                                     2000FT  162/09 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        82FT  160/03 MPH
                                      162FT  156/07 MPH
                                      313FT  163/10 MPH
                                      579FT  163/12 MPH
                                      973FT  162/13 MPH
                                     1489FT  159/13 MPH
                                     2115FT  156/13 MPH
                                     2812FT  150/13 MPH
                                     3582FT  140/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        82FT  152/06 MPH
                                      165FT  155/07 MPH
                                      317FT  154/11 MPH
                                      580FT  155/15 MPH
                                      977FT  154/16 MPH
                                     1493FT  153/16 MPH
                                     2119FT  149/16 MPH
                                     2813FT  144/18 MPH
                                     3582FT  135/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        84FT  152/07 MPH
                                      169FT  153/08 MPH
                                      322FT  152/09 MPH
                                      587FT  151/12 MPH
                                      981FT  154/16 MPH
                                     1493FT  153/16 MPH
                                     2119FT  149/16 MPH
                                     2813FT  144/18 MPH
                                     3582FT  135/18 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         833 PM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$



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