Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 020518
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1118 PM CST MON FEB 1 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CST MON FEB 1 2016

A COMPLICATED FORECAST IS JUST BEGINNING TO UNFOLD. WITH AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OUT OF CENTRAL OK, DECIDED TO GO PREVAILING
-TSRA AT TOP AND FOE WITH A VCTS FOR MHK. THINK CIGS AND VSBY WILL
MAINLY ME MVFR AND DON`T HAVE A GREAT DEAL OF CONFIDENCE IN IFR
CONDITIONS LASTING FOR A LONG TIME BASED ON UPSTREAM CONDITIONS
AND THERE STILL BEING SOME DRY AIR IN LOW LEVELS. THINK TOP AND
FOR WILL BECOME VFR LATE IN THE MORNING AS THE DRY SLOT WORKS ITS
WAY THROUGH EASTERN KS. MHK CONTINUES TO BE A LITTLE LESS CLEAR
WHETHER THE CLEARING WILL GET IN THERE OR ONLY BE TEMPORARY. SO
ONLY HAVE A TEMPO FOR VFR CONDITIONS AND WILL LET LATER SHIFTS
EVALUATE. THEN MVFR CONDITIONS SHOULD MOVE BACK INTO THE
TERMINALS AS THE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE PASSES THROUGH. THERE COULD
BE SOME LIGHT RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW, BUT THIS APPEARS TO BE LIGHT
IN INTENSITY SO I DON`T HAVE VSBY BEING AFFECTED VERY MUCH BY
THIS. WINDS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN GUSTY, SAVE FOR WHEN THE SURFACE
LOW PASSES BY, DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          543 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 506 PM):        200FT  063/17 MPH
                                      400FT  064/19 MPH
                                      600FT  063/21 MPH
                                      800FT  064/23 MPH
                                     1000FT  075/25 MPH
                                     1500FT  086/26 MPH
                                     2000FT  093/29 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        56FT  106/18 MPH
                                      138FT  107/26 MPH
                                      287FT  108/31 MPH
                                      541FT  109/36 MPH
                                      924FT  113/44 MPH
                                     1421FT  116/49 MPH
                                     2029FT  126/57 MPH
                                     2710FT  137/67 MPH
                                     3469FT  148/74 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        67FT  114/20 MPH
                                      149FT  116/28 MPH
                                      296FT  117/33 MPH
                                      554FT  121/38 MPH
                                      936FT  125/45 MPH
                                     1438FT  134/52 MPH
                                     2052FT  145/59 MPH
                                     2739FT  156/63 MPH
                                     3505FT  168/65 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        96FT  156/13 MPH
                                      178FT  162/22 MPH
                                      329FT  165/26 MPH
                                      591FT  175/31 MPH
                                      980FT  125/45 MPH
                                     1438FT  134/52 MPH
                                     2052FT  145/59 MPH
                                     2739FT  156/63 MPH
                                     3505FT  168/65 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        729 AM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$


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