NOAA

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

Topeka, KS

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

000
FNUS75 KTWC 151827
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Mesa Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1127 AM MST Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on April 16.
.DISCUSSION...

Sunny and becoming warmer over the next couple days at the
burn site. Wind will be very light Tuesday morning and generally
out of the south to southwest. If winds aloft can mix down Tuesday
afternoon, winds may become more westerly to around 10 mph. Winds
become light again Tuesday night, then should become west to northwesterly
on Wednesday at around 10 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity will
trend down over the coming days as temperatures become above normal.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....70-73 degrees.
Min humidity........13-16 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 knots shifting to the west
                    around 10 knots in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....43-46 degrees.
Max humidity........38-41 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 11 knots.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....74-77 degrees.
Min humidity........9-12 percent.
20-foot winds.......Becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 knots shifting to the west
                    around 14 knots in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...EDWARDS
Requested by...Joe Names
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410278.4/TWC
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.names@usda.gov

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson