Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS64 KEPZ 200953
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
253 AM MST Mon Nov 20 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Westerly winds will bring warmer dry weather across southern New
Mexico and west Texas today and Tuesday. A weak cold front will
result in slightly cooler temperatures Wednesday. High pressure
aloft will produce more warm dry weather with well above normal
temperatures Thanksgiving day through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Combination of low humidity, light winds, clear skies and a
Canadian air mass has resulted in cold temperatures this morning
with lows expected to fall below freezing much of the area by
sunrise. A subsiding northwest flow aloft plus low level westerly
winds and abundant sunshine will cause warming temperatures today
and Tuesday with afternoon highs around 5 to 10 degrees below
normal.

Later Tuesday a weak cold front will drop to the southwest through
New Mexico and west Texas. North to northeast winds behind the
front will advect modified Canadian air into the CWA resulting in
only around 5 degrees of cooling on Wednesday.

Thursday through Sunday an upper ridge will drift slowly to the
east with axis entering the CWA on Saturday. Again associated
subsidence plus plenty of sunshine will warm temperatures up to
around 10 to 15 degrees above normal. A very weak cold front will
move westward through the region later Saturday but expect only a
few degrees of cooling to occur Sunday and Monday as bulk of
colder air remains well to the east.

&&

.AVIATION...valid 20/12z-21/12z.
VFR conditions with areas of ceilings above 15,000 feet. Surface
winds mostly around 5 to 15 kt.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Westerly winds will bring warmer dry weather across southern New
Mexico and west Texas today and Tuesday with temperatures around 5
to 10 degrees above normal. A weak cold front will result in
slightly cooler temperatures Wednesday. High pressure aloft will
produce more warm dry weather with well above normal temperatures
Thanksgiving day through early next week. Surface winds mostly 5
to 15 mph most areas with higher wind speeds possible mountain
slope locations.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                 70  45  74  44 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca           69  43  71  41 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces              69  42  72  41 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo              64  40  71  39 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft              53  36  56  35 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences   68  42  72  43 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City             65  39  71  40 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                  71  40  74  39 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg               70  40  75  42 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro      70  47  73  46 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City               71  39  73  37 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock            73  43  75  42 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda              66  43  69  42 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                  72  43  76  41 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa            70  44  73  42 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ          68  43  72  42 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range           68  41  72  41 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                   71  41  74  41 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                72  42  74  41 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande               67  43  73  42 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                 61  39  62  35 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero               60  37  64  36 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                58  37  62  35 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                 65  33  68  34 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro               69  40  72  40 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport               68  39  72  40 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts            66  32  71  33 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                  67  38  72  38 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                   70  33  76  35 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek              67  39  74  41 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                 69  41  72  39 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                  73  40  76  39 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                 72  39  75  38 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells          73  41  74  40 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale              70  42  73  43 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Freeze Warning until 8 AM MST this morning for NMZ407-410-411-
     413.

TX...None.
&&

$$

05 Rogash



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