Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 220929
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
429 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017


.SHORT TERM /Today through Thursday/...
Models in general agreement with the short term. The H5 low over the
lower Mississippi Valley will move southeast toward southern Florida
by this evening. This will pull the moisture southward. At this time
widespread rain remains over western GA. This area is not expected
to advect eastward but to remain nearly stationary early this
morning. As the H5 low moves toward south Florida, the rain will
slowly end from the north this afternoon and evening. Dry conditions
are expected for Thursday along with diminishing clouds.
Temperatures today and Thursday will again run above normal with
some areas approaching record highs, especially across central
Georgia, on Thursday.

17


.LONG TERM /Thursday Night through Tuesday/...
The extended forecast begins with a frontal system exiting the
area with minimal moisture lingering across the region. The next
frontal system moves into the state at the beginning of the
extended period and there is some increased instability with it.
This next short wave and associated cold front will move out of
the midwest and into the eastern US Friday evening/Night. With the
increased instability associated with it have continued with the
mention of isolated thunderstorms through Sat morning. This second
front will push east of the CWA Sat afternoon and clear things
out for Sunday. Another frontal boundary pushes south out of the
Great Lake states Sunday evening and appears to stall across TN/NC
Mon morning. Its proximity will bring increased moisture to N GA
with increased chances of showers Monday and Tuesday.

01


&&

.CLIMATE...


Records for 02-22

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      78 1922     38 1978     54 1980     11 1963
                            1963
   KATL      74 2003     34 1939     61 1897      8 1963
                1949
                1917
   KCSG      80 1917     43 1963     64 1962     15 1963
   KMCN      83 1962     40 1939     61 1980     17 1963



Records for 02-23

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      79 2012     34 1989     57 1922     18 1939
                1980
   KATL      79 1980     32 1901     62 1909     19 1939
   KCSG      83 1996     37 1989     67 1962     18 1963
   KMCN      81 1980     37 1901     66 1909     22 1963
                1909


&&


.AVIATION...
06Z Update...
A mix of VFR/MVFR cigs will become predominantly MVFR with IFR
developing early this morning. CIGS will increase to MVFR late
this morning and afternoon. Cigs are expected to become IFR after
00Z Thu. Winds will remain easterly less than 10 kts through the
forecast. Rain will continue from CSG to the ATL area with
scattered showers around AHN and MCN. This will continue this
morning...diminishing late this morning and afternoon.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Low to Medium on CIGS.
Medium on timing and extent of rain and vsbys.
High on winds.

17

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  56  75  53 /  40  30  10  10
Atlanta         71  57  74  56 /  70  10  10  10
Blairsville     67  52  71  50 /  60  10  10  10
Cartersville    70  57  74  53 /  80  10   5  10
Columbus        75  59  77  55 /  80  20   5   0
Gainesville     69  55  72  54 /  60  20  10  10
Macon           73  56  79  53 /  50  30  10   5
Rome            70  55  75  53 /  80  10   5   5
Peachtree City  72  56  75  52 /  80  10  10  10
Vidalia         74  59  79  57 /  50  30  20   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...17


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