Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
FXUS62 KFFC 281132
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
735 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016
.SHORT TERM /Today through Sunday/...
Tropical depression two will be moving northwestward toward the SC
coast during the short term period. At this time...at least part of
GA should be under the subsidence around the depression...however a
few showers and thunderstorms approaching the east central zones are
possible. So...have continued with slight chance pops for that area
this afternoon and tonight. Also...the far northwest corner of the
state may be affected by the increase in southerly moist flow into
the central Gulf Coast area. a slight chance of convection still
looks reasonable for the area north and west of Cedartown to Ellijay
for this afternoon. Depending on the location of the depression on
Sunday...it may be possible for showers or thunderstorms to
circulate into GA. The westward extent of any precipitation is still
questionable. For now...chance or slight chance pops have been
included for much of the north and east central zones for Sunday.
.LONG TERM /Sunday Night through Friday/...
Models in better consensus with main influencing features of fcst
period. The either tropical depression or storm approaching the SC
coast should slowly turn north to NE late Sunday then hug the
coastline placing it off the NC Outerbanks by late Wednesday. Weak
subsidence west of this system should limit diurnally driven
convection across the CWA into Monday then the chances gradually
increase thru the week with greatest potential Wednesday thru
Friday as we get a south to southwest fetch of deep gulf moisture
and ramped up instability. Some discrepancies exist among
guidance in the evolution of a weak 850-mb low translated from an
amplifying upper trough into the southeast CONUS by
Friday/Saturday. While this could serve to focus more organized or
widespread storm development...the environment should be favorable
of at least scattered coverage anyway with daytime heating.
Above normal temps /AOA 3-7 degrees more than climo/ are on tap
this week with Tuesday expected to be the warmest as progged highs
in the upper 80s to low 90s should be reached for most areas.
Better cloud coverage and storm potential after midweek should
keep local temps moderated a bit more.
VFR to continue for this cycle. Few to scattered 050-060 mainly during
the afternoon. Winds east to southeast 6 to 9kt after 14z. Only isolated
convection mainly north and east of the taf sites today.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
High on all elements.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens 86 64 86 66 / 10 20 30 10
Atlanta 86 66 87 69 / 5 10 20 5
Blairsville 82 60 82 62 / 10 20 30 10
Cartersville 87 62 88 65 / 20 10 20 5
Columbus 87 66 89 70 / 5 10 5 5
Gainesville 84 65 85 66 / 5 20 30 10
Macon 88 64 89 66 / 10 10 20 5
Rome 87 62 89 65 / 20 10 20 10
Peachtree City 86 61 87 65 / 5 10 20 5
Vidalia 86 67 87 70 / 20 20 20 5