Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 210830
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
330 AM CDT THU AUG 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE DOG DAYS OF SUMMER ARE UPON US AND THE HOT/HUMID CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK AND POSSIBLY
LONGER. UPPER HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE GULF
COAST STATES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH HIGH BUILDING INTO THE
MID/LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR THE CENTURY MARK ARE EXPECTED FRI-SUN
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WITH HEAT INDICES IN THE 100-105 DEGREE
RANGE EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE
ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY. GUSTY SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PROVIDE SOME
RELIEF FROM THE HEAT...BUT WILL ALSO KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES ABOVE
NORMAL...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE WINDS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN UP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST INTO THE MIDDLE PART
OF NEXT WEEK AS THE GFS BREAKS DOWN UPPER RIDGE MUCH QUICKER
COMPARED TO THE ECMWF. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCE POPS TUE/WED WITH
A BLEND ON TEMPERATURES...LEANING SLIGHTLY MORE TOWARDS THE WARMER
ECMWF GUIDANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   97  77  99  78 /   0  10   0  10
FSM   97  74  97  73 /   0  10   0  10
MLC   95  75  97  73 /   0  10   0  10
BVO   97  72 100  71 /   0  10   0  10
FYV   92  71  94  70 /   0  10   0  10
BYV   93  73  95  72 /   0  10   0  10
MKO   96  74  97  72 /   0  10   0  10
MIO   97  73  98  72 /   0  10   0  10
F10   96  75  98  74 /   0  10   0  10
HHW   96  74  97  73 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....12





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