Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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AXUS74 KHUN 261932
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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
232 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/ CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

SYNOPSIS...
ACCORDING TO THE DROUGHT MONITOR VALID MAY 24 2016...MODERATE
DROUGHT /D1/ CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN
ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THIS INCLUDES LOCATIONS
GENERALLY FROM THE MUSCLE SHOALS AREA EASTWARD TO INCLUDE THE
HUNTSVILLE-DECATUR METRO...GUNTERSVILLE...SCOTTSBORO...FORT PAYNE AND
SURROUNDING AREAS. IN SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...MAINLY SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF FRANKLIN AND LINCOLN COUNTIES ARE IMPACTED...AS WELL AS A
SMALL PORTION OF NORTHWESTERN MOORE COUNTY. FRANKLIN COUNTY ALABAMA
IS NOT INCLUDED IN MODERATE DROUGHT AT THIS TIME. ALTHOUGH WINTER
WEATHER PRECIPITATION WAS ABOVE NORMAL IN MOST LOCATIONS...THE
DEVELOPMENT OF DROUGHT IS DUE PRIMARILY TO LACK OF SUFFICIENT
RAINFALL OVER THE LAST TWO TO THREE MONTHS.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
STATE AND LOCAL DECLARATIONS: THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC AND
COMMUNITY AFFAIRS (ADECA) OFFICE OF WATER RESOURCES CURRENTLY HAS NO
DROUGHT DECLARATIONS FOR NORTHERN ALABAMA. ANY FUTURE DROUGHT
DECLARATIONS WILL BE UPDATED HERE AS NECESSARY AND WILL BE AVAILABLE
ON THE OFFICE OF WATER RESOURCES WEB SITE NOTED IN THE RELATED WEB
SITES SECTION BELOW.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS: PER THE LATEST CROP AND PROGRESS CONDITION
REPORT FROM THE USDA NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE,
AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP DUE TO THE RECENT DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS. ACCORDING TO THE FARM SERVICE AGENCY IN MADISON
COUNTY, ALL SPRING PLANTED CROPS NEED RAIN AND THE CORN IS GREATLY
DISTRESSED. IN JACKSON COUNTY, DRY CONDITIONS WERE NOTED.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS: THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO ALABAMA FORESTRY
COMMISSION FIRE ALERT OR DROUGHT EMERGENCIES ISSUED. STATE FORESTER
GREG PATE IS STILL URGING EVERYONE TO USE ALL NECESSARY SAFETY
PRECAUTIONS WHEN DOING ANY TYPE OF OUTDOOR BURNING. TO OBTAIN A BURN
PERMIT...CONTACT THE ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION DISPATCH CENTER FOR
YOUR COUNTY. LOCAL COUNTY AND CITY LAWS MAY RESTRICT OUTDOOR BURNING.
BURNERS ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR CONTACTING THEIR LOCAL GOVERNMENT FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
RAINFALL OVER THE PAST ONE TO TWO WEEKS HAS BEEN RELATIVELY LOW
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH THE MAJORITY OF NORTHERN ALABAMA AND
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE RECEIVING BELOW AN INCH OF RAINFALL.

TEMPERATURES OVERALL HAVE AVERAGED NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL OVER THE
PAST SEVEN TO TEN DAYS...BUT HAVE JUST RECENTLY WARMED TO ABOVE
NORMAL OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES
DOMINATED THE THIRD WEEK OF MAY...AND HAVE HELPED WITH LESSENING THE
SEVERITY OF DROUGHT CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...AIRMASSES HAVE
PREDOMINANTLY BEEN DRY AND HAVE HELPED TO DRY SOILS AND VEGETATION.

FOR THE SPRING SEASON...TEMPERATURES HAVE AVERAGED ABOVE NORMAL
ACROSS THE AREA. AT HUNTSVILLE...THIS CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE 8TH
WARMEST SPRING. AT MUSCLE SHOALS...IT RANKS AS 20TH WARMEST.
PRECIPITATION HAS AVERAGED AT LEAST FOUR TO SIX INCHES BELOW NORMAL
FOR MOST LOCATIONS IN THE AREA. IN SOME AREAS...PARTICULARLY
CONCENTRATED IN NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA...PRECIPITATION DEFICITS FOR
THE SEASON ARE AROUND SIX TO EIGHT INCHES BELOW NORMAL. AT
HUNTSVILLE...THE PRECIPITATION TOTAL THROUGH MAY 25TH IS JUST 8.35
INCHES...WHICH RANKS AS THE 4TH DRIEST SPRING ON RECORD TO DATE.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE AREA TOMORROW AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. HOWEVER...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LIKELY ONLY BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED IN COVERAGE EACH DAY.
THUS...WIDESPREAD BENEFICIAL RAINS DO NOT APPEAR LIKELY OVER THE NEXT
WEEK. A WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIRMASS IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DOMINATE
THE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES
AVERAGING AROUND FIVE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD.

THE OUTLOOK FOR WEEK TWO /JUN 2ND - JUN 8TH/ FAVORS NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR THE AREA.

FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE...THE ODDS ARE TILTED SLIGHTLY IN FAVOR OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR THE
AREA.

THE LATEST SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK INDICATES THAT DROUGHT REMOVAL
IS LIKELY FROM THE AREA DURING THE PERIOD FROM LATE MAY THROUGH AUGUST
31ST.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN
MIDDLE TENNESSEE CURRENTLY UNDER THE MODERATE DROUGHT DESIGNATION
HAVE DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY WITHIN THE LAST FEW WEEKS. STREAMFLOWS
ARE WORST AT THE ELK RIVER AT PROSPECT, TN (7TH PERCENTILE FOR 7-DAY
AVERAGE STREAMFLOW) AND BIG NANCE CREEK (3RD PERCENTILE FOR 7-DAY
AVERAGE STREAMFLOW). ELSEWHERE...STREAMFLOWS ARE AROUND THE 10TH TO
20TH PERCENTILES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

THE RECENT DRY TREND IS NOT HAVING AN EFFECT ON MOST LAKES IN THE
AREA. LAKES WITHIN THE TENNESSEE RIVER CHANNEL ARE OPERATING WITHIN
NORMAL POOL LEVELS ALTHOUGH WHEELER LAKE IS OPERATING NEAR THE LOWER
END OF THE NORMAL RANGE. OTHER LAKES INCLUDING BEAR CREEK...CEDAR
CREEK...AND LEWIS SMITH LAKE...ARE ALSO OPERATING WITHIN NORMAL
RANGES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS TIMS FORD
LAKE...WHICH IS OPERATING BELOW HISTORICAL AVERAGE VALUES BUT STILL
ABOVE THE MINIMUM RECREATION LEVEL.

ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...THE LATEST DAILY SOIL
MOISTURE RANKINGS ARE AROUND THE 11TH TO 20TH PERCENTILE ACROSS
NEARLY ALL OF NORTHERN ALABAMA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE
TENNESSEE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HOWEVER...SOIL MOISTURE IN A SMALL
AREA IN THE TRI-STATE REGION OF TENNESSEE...ALABAMA...AND GEORGIA IS
IN THE 6TH TO 10TH PERCENTILE.

THE USGS GROUNDWATER WELL SITE IN LAWRENCE COUNTY INDICATES THAT
GROUNDWATER FELL BELOW THE DAILY MEDIAN STATISTIC IN LATE MARCH...
AND HAS SINCE CONTINUED TO FALL.

THE OUTLOOK FOR LAKE LEVELS AND GROUNDWATER IS FOR GRADUALLY
DETERIORATING CONDITIONS IN THE NEAR TERM DUE TO A LACK OF
WIDESPREAD BENEFICIAL RAINS. HOWEVER...IMPROVEMENTS MAY OCCUR IN
AREAS THAT RECEIVE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM LOCALIZED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
SINCE NO AREAS ARE CURRENTLY DESIGNATED IN SEVERE DROUGHT /D2/ OR
WORSE...THE NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT MAY NOT BE UPDATED FOR ANOTHER
TWO TO FOUR WEEKS. HOWEVER...UPDATES WILL OCCUR SOONER IF DROUGHT
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE FURTHER OR IF ANY CONDITIONS DEPICTED IN THIS
STATEMENT CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
/USE LOWER CASE/

FOR MORE DROUGHT INFORMATION...VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE. THERE YOU CAN FIND MORE DROUGHT
RELATED INFORMATION BY CLICKING ON THE DROUGHT LINK NEAR THE BOTTOM
OF THE PAGE.

FOR INFORMATION ABOUT ALABAMA DROUGHT DECLARATIONS...VISIT
HTTP://WWW.ADECA.ALABAMA.GOV/DIVISIONS/OWR/PAGES/DEFAULT.ASPX

FOR INFORMATION FROM THE ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION...VISIT
HTTP://FORESTRY.ALABAMA.GOV/

RADAR ESTIMATED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS CAN BE OBTAINED FROM...
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

STREAMFLOWS ARE OBTAINED FROM THE USGS AT...
HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV/INDEX.PHP

LAKE LEVELS FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER LAKES CAN BE OBTAINED FROM
HTTP://WWW.TVA.COM/LAKEINFO/

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

SOME DATA USED IN THIS STATEMENT WERE PROVIDED BY THE U.S.
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE...THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY...AND THE STATES OF ALABAMA AND
TENNESSEE.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

FOR QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ON THE DROUGHT...CONTACT:
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE
320A SPARKMAN DRIVE
HUNTSVILLE AL 35805
PHONE: 256-890-8503
SR-HUN.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$



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