Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 291924
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
324 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...Long duration soaking rain event tonight through early next
week...

.DISCUSSION...Rain is expected to slowly advance north into the area
tonight, with periods of rain, at times moderate to heavy,
continuing right through early Monday. Widespread rain amounts in
excess of an inch are expected, with some area likely receiving two
to three inches of rain by Monday morning. Additional lighter
showers and below normal temperatures are expected later Monday
through Tuesday.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-301000-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
324 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (170).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.38 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL
                    1200. RAIN. PATCHY FOG AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......49 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 33 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.35-0.91 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 2000.
                    RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 2000, THEN RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (310).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.92-1.19 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0800, THEN
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.48 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-301000-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
324 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (210).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.55 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1700. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT...EXCEPT 89-94 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......49 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 40 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.47-1.07 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 2000.
                    RAIN. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.95-1.16 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0800. RAIN UNTIL 1400.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (480).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.54 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-301000-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
324 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AFTER 2000 UNTIL 2100, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (270).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.52 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 4 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......46 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 36 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (440).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.39-0.85 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 2000.
                    RAIN. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2000 UNTIL
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (230).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.92-1.15 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0800, THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400, THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58...EXCEPT 43-48 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 20 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (630).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.20-0.32 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-301000-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
324 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 2400,
                    THEN RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (320).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-0.73 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......43 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 37 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.64-0.99 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 2000.
                    RAIN. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2000 UNTIL
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (140).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.99-1.14 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0800, THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400, THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 11 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (460).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.26 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-301000-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
324 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY
                    UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (170).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-0.69 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1700. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......52 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (320).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.75-1.07 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 2000.
                    RAIN. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.94-1.16 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0800, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1050).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.40 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
60. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MSB


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