Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 152008
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
408 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THE REST OF THE WAY THROUGH SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN TONIGHT AND CARRY A MODEST PATTERN OF RAIN OUT OF THE AREA
BY TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY OPPORTUNITY FOR SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL DURING THE WEEK EXCEPT FOR A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE ENSURED BY
COOL HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL MOST OF THE TIME DURING THE WEEK. THE
NEXT STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS DUE IN CENTRAL CANADA FRIDAY AND
IS EXPECTED TO BRING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS TO THE GREAT LAKES THIS
WEEKEND.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-161415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
408 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1 AM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1010-1210 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5590-6090 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (690).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7260-7760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (950).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-161415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
408 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1 AM...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 AM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2310-2510 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6090-6590 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6810-7310 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (810).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-161415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
408 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1 AM...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 AM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6110-6610 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (680).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6420-6920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

$$

BT







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