Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 020812
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
413 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...RAINY PATTERN...

.DISCUSSION...RAINY WEATHER WITH A ROLLER COASTER TEMPERATURE
PATTERN CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A WARM FRONT WILL
PUSH NORTH INTO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT PROVIDING A PERIOD OF
MILDER WEATHER. THEN A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH COLDER AIR AND WINDY CONDITIONS BEHIND IT.
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 40S.


MIZ037>039-043>045-022015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
413 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1100...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.31 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    1700-2200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.89-1.29 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.32-0.82 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-022015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
413 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.24 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.64-0.99 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    1400. RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.70-0.81 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-022015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
413 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1100...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR) INCREASING TO 700 (EXCELLENT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.31 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.88-1.26 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.48-0.90 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-022015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
413 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1100...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.29 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.36-1.17 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    1400. RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.62-0.89 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-022015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
413 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1100...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.24 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.98 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    1400. RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.53-0.91 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
12 TO 17 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

$$









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