Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 311935
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
335 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SHOWERS AND STORMS ON WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING TOWARD THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES TOWARD DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY ALONG THE
LAKESHORE. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BE
LOCALLY STRONG WITH SOME LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

RAIN WILL END BY THURSDAY MORNING, ALLOWING THE AREA TO DRY OUT.
COOLER AND LESS HUMID AIR WILL ALSO FILTER INTO THE AREA. RAIN
CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND AS AN UNSETTLED WEATHER
PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE AREA.



MIZ037>039-043>045-010815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
335 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT TOWARD DAYBREAK.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...600-1100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 73-78 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 9
                    DEGREES COOLER INLAND.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2500-3000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    2100 UNTIL 0600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1600-2100
                    FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.11 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 37-42
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 5
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5000-5500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-010815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
335 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.13 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    2100 UNTIL 0700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-010815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
335 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4500-5000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.21 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    2100 UNTIL 0600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4700-5200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-010815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
335 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1000 UNTIL 1900. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1000. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 1900.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.12 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 0700. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2200
                    UNTIL 0700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.19 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-010815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
335 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.22 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70.



$$


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