Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 050707
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
307 AM EDT SAT SEP 5 2015

...UNSEASONABLY WARM...

.DISCUSSION...

A SOUTHWEST FLOW OF WARM AIR WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND.
ACCOMPANY THE ARRIVAL OF THIS WARM AIRMASS WILL BE SOME SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY TODAY.



MIZ037>039-043>045-052015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
307 AM EDT SAT SEP 5 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG UNTIL 1000. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3800-4300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...200-700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2300-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6000-6500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-052015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
307 AM EDT SAT SEP 5 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG UNTIL 1000. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900-7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-052015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
307 AM EDT SAT SEP 5 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG UNTIL 1000. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...3200-3700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4400-4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    6900-7400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7500-8000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-052015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
307 AM EDT SAT SEP 5 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG UNTIL 1000. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-052015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
307 AM EDT SAT SEP 5 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
                    UNTIL 1000. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800-8300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.



$$



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