Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 261934
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
334 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...Drying Out and Warming Up a Little...

.DISCUSSION...
Another afternoon and evening of spotty showers and isolated storms
can be expected tonight as cool Canadian air continues to filter
across the area. Conditions will dry out overnight as the system
begins to pull out. A stray shower will be possible across eastern
areas Tuesday afternoon, but temperatures will warm a few degrees
compared to today.

An occasionally active weather pattern is looking more likely
beginning late Wednesday, and lasting at times through early next
week. Multiple waves of low pressure will move east through the
region at times. These waves will bring the threat of showers and
storms with dry periods in between.

MIZ037>039-043>045-270815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
334 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2200. slight chance of rain
                    showers until 0100.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1400-1900 ft AGL overnight.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL in the evening.
Mixing height....... inland, 0-500 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming west around 5
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent near Lake Michigan and 37-42
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 19
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7600-8100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 900-1400 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1300, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent near Lake Michigan and 42-47
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 5
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3900-4400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.26 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-270815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
334 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0300, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2200. slight chance of rain
                    showers until 0100.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL decreasing to 900-1400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 200 (fair)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1100 until 1700.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7700-8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1500, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.13 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-270815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
334 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2100, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2200. slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 4500-5000 ft AGL decreasing
                    to 2500-3000 ft AGL overnight.
Mixing height....... inland, 4400-4900 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1100-1600 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) decreasing to 200 (fair)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7400-7900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-270815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
334 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 0100, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2200. slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL decreasing to 1800-2300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) decreasing to 400 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1100 until 1700.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7700-8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500-1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1600, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-270815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
334 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2200, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2200. slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL decreasing to 1500-2000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1800, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 9 to 14 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms until
midday, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 7 to
12 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$



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