Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 221912
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
312 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

...STORMS THIS EVENING THEN COOLER AND DRIER...

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING AND DURING
THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A GOOD THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF U.S.-131.

SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA BY DAYBREAK
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CLOUDS WILL CLEAR OUT. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL
MOVE IN FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK ALONG WITH DRIER
CONDITIONS. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME THIS WEEKEND WITH THE
NEXT SYSTEM EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA.


MIZ037>039-043>045-230815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
312 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2200...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 16 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.18 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5700-6200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...3000-3500 FT AGL
                    DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5000-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6400-6900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-230815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
312 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0300. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 0400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO
                    26 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.18 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-230815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
312 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 0300.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0300
                    UNTIL 0700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3100-3600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 500 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.24 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-230815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
312 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500-2000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-230815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
312 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL
                    0300...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    26 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 400 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 6 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
60.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.



$$






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