Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 170831
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
331 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Cool and damp conditions will exist today as a cold front to the
south wavers across the region. High pressure will build down from
the northwest tonight giving the front a push southward again,
bringing drier and more seasonable weather for Sunday. The front
will lift back to the north as a warm front Monday. Bermuda High
pressure will bring very warm temperatures for much of next week.
A front will approach the area late next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low to moderate.

SCZ054>056-058-059-180045-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
331 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0
Precip type           Rain         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           49           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  8         S  3         N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         W  4         E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             None         1600         59/1200
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        67           97           47
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1770                      2760
Transport wnd (mph)   E 18                      E 16
Ventilation rate      31860                     44160
ADI early             29 Fair      3 Very poor  9 poor
ADI late              22 Fair      4 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            5            6
Max LVORI late        5            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of
rain. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-180045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
331 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           40           0
Precip type           Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           44           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  8        LGT/VAR      NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         N  3         NE  7
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       2            2
Inversion             None         1600         59/1200
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        62           98           41
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          2            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2190                      2970
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 17                     E 12
Ventilation rate      37230                     35640
ADI early             35 Fair      3 Very poor  9 poor
ADI late              31 Fair      3 Very poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            7            8
Max LVORI late        4            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ105>110-180045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
331 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           0
Precip type           Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           46           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  9        LGT/VAR      N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        W  4         NE  7
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2            1
Inversion             None         1600         56/1200
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        62           98           45
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1920                      2910
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 17                     E 14
Ventilation rate      32640                     40740
ADI early             35 Fair      3 Very poor  8 poor
ADI late              21 Fair      3 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            6            7
Max LVORI late        6            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of
rain. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-180045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
331 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        40           40           0
Precip type           Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           44           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  8        LGT/VAR      N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  4         NW  3        NE  6
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       2            1
Inversion             None         1600         58/1200
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        58           99           42
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2180                      2990
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 16                     E 12
Ventilation rate      34880                     35880
ADI early             34 Fair      1 Very poor  8 poor
ADI late              23 Fair      3 Very poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            7            8
Max LVORI late        5            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
rain. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-180045-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
331 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           0
Precip type           Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           49           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  7         S  3         NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  5        W  3         E  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             None         1600         60/1200
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        66           94           44
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          2            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2010                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   E 14                      E 14
Ventilation rate      28140                     40600
ADI early             26 Fair      2 Very poor  9 poor
ADI late              19 Gen poor  3 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            6            6
Max LVORI late        4            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
rain. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

27



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