Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
642
FNUS52 KILM 101310
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
910 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this
afternoon ahead of a cold front. Some storms could be strong or
severe. The front will move off the coast early this evening. High
pressure with near normal temps and lower daytime RH will
dominate this weekend into early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-110515-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
910 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Chance (%) 60 70 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 4 4 1
Max/Min Temp 83 54 76
Min/Max RH (%) 62 89 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 6 W 6 N 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G17 N 7 G18 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.41 0.36 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 57/0600
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 6600
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 NW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61200 92400
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 33 Fair 72 Good
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 12 Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 38 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-110515-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
910 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 70 70 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 4 4 1
Max/Min Temp 83 54 76
Min/Max RH (%) 62 87 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 5 NW 6 N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 8 N 5 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.31 0.22 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 11 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 57/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 7000
Transport Wind (mph) W 21 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73500 112000
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 34 Fair 69 Good
ADI Late 70 Good 8 Poor 119 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-110515-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
910 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 40 60 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 4 4 1
Max/Min Temp 82 54 75
Min/Max RH (%) 62 88 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 5 W 6 N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G17 N 6 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.21 0.16 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 11 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 58/0600
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 6900
Transport Wind (mph) W 21 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 86100 103500
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 42 Gen Good 62 Good
ADI Late 74 Good 8 Poor 108 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 4
Max LVORI Late 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-110515-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
910 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 60 60 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 4 4 1
Max/Min Temp 82 54 76
Min/Max RH (%) 61 87 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 5 NW 6 N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G17 N 5 NW 4
Precip Amount 0.17 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 11 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 1900 57/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 6900
Transport Wind (mph) W 23 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 103500 103500
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 62 Good 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 87 Good 7 Poor 117 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 4
Max LVORI Late 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-110515-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
910 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 70 50 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 4 4 1
Max/Min Temp 82 54 76
Min/Max RH (%) 63 86 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 6 NW 7 N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 9 G17 N 6 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.33 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 3 1
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 9 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 57/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 7200
Transport Wind (mph) W 22 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96800 115200
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 42 Gen Good 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 84 Good 12 Poor 121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 4
Max LVORI Late 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21