Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 162006
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
306 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across the
Mid-South over the next few days, with rain chances being the
greatest during the daylight hours. A few strong storms may
produce gusty winds, dangerous lightning, and localized heavy
rainfall. Hot and humid conditions are anticipated across the area
through Thursday with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s and
overnight lows in the mid 70s. Heat indices of 100 to 105 degrees
are expected across portions of the Mid-South on Thursday.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-171115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
306 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip Chance (%)     30           60           10           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.07         0.12         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            6
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      76 (+3)      88 (+1)      69           88
RH % (24h Trend)      96 (-2)      69 (+2)      98           48
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SW 6-10                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 4-8        SW 7-11      SW 3-7       W 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 828                       1442
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2717                      4732
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 914                       1528
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2999                      5014
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  9                      NW  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 20                      NW  9
Vent Index (m2/s)                  8226                      6112
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              83                        85
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  9                     NW  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 19                     NW  7
Dispersion Index      28           51           18           28
LAL                   4            4            3            1
LASI                  3            3            4            5
Stability             E            C            F            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-171115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
306 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     20           50           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.01         0.12         0.02         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            2            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   6 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      75 (+2)      88 (0)       71           89
RH % (24h Trend)      97 (-1)      71 (+4)      99           51
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SW 5-9                    Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 4-8        SW 7-11      SW 3-7       Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1385                      1501
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4545                      4924
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1448                      1563
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4749                      5128
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  8                      NW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 18                      NW 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  11584                     7815
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              85                        86
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  8                     NW  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 18                     NW  8
Dispersion Index      16           56           16           28
LAL                   3            4            4            2
LASI                  3            3            3            4
Stability             F            C            E            A
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph
late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph
late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph
late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds around
5 mph becoming north late in the morning.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-171115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
306 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     10           60           30           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.11         0.03         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)                   5            1
Precip Begins                      6 AM         Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      75 (+3)      87 (0)       70           88
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (0)       71 (+2)      100          51
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SW 5-9                    Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 2-6        SW 7-11      SW 3-7       NW 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1254                      1440
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4114                      4724
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1375                      1561
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4511                      5122
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  8                      NW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 18                      NW 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  11000                     7805
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              85                        83
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  9                     NW  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 19                     NW  8
Dispersion Index      12           54           16           26
LAL                   3            4            4            1
LASI                  3            3            3            4
Stability             F            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Light and
variable winds.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds around
5 mph becoming north late in the morning.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-171115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
306 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     20           50           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.09         0.05         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)                   2            1
Precip Begins                      7 AM         Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   6 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      75 (+2)      88 (+1)      71           89
RH % (24h Trend)      98 (0)       68 (+1)      99           50
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SW 4-8                    Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 2-6        SW 6-10      SW 3-7       NW 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1554                      1381
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5097                      4532
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1675                      1502
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                5495                      4929
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  8                     NW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 18                     NW 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  13400                     7510
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              85                        84
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  8                     NW  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 18                     NW  9
Dispersion Index      12           55           14           31
LAL                   3            4            4            2
LASI                  3            3            3            4
Stability             F            B            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Light and
variable winds.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds around
5 mph becoming northwest late in the morning.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-171115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
306 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     10           50           30           20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.07         0.09         0.03
Precip Dur (hrs)                   2            2            1
Precip Begins                      7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      75 (0)       89 (0)       73           90
RH % (24h Trend)      97 (+1)      68 (+4)      98           52
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SW 4-8                    Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 2-6        SW 5-9       SW 2-6       Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1677                      1730
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5502                      5677
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1749                      1802
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                5738                      5912
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  8                      NW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 17                      NW 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  13992                     9010
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              86                        86
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  7                     NW  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 16                     NW  8
Dispersion Index      14           55           12           32
LAL                   3            4            4            3
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             E            B            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northwest winds around
5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph late
in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds around
5 mph becoming northwest late in the morning.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-171115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
306 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           40           40           20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.01         0.05         0.16         0.06
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            2            2            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           1 AM         Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      75 (+1)      90 (+3)      74           90
RH % (24h Trend)      96 (+1)      59 (-5)      97           48
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SW 3-7                    Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      SW 4-8       SW 2-6       NW 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1809                      1680
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5934                      5513
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1933                      1804
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6341                      5919
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  7                     NW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 15                     NW 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  13531                     9020
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              86                        84
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  7                     NW  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 15                     NW  8
Dispersion Index      8            49           15           30
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             F            B            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. North winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Light and variable
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Light and variable winds.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$



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