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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 230134 AAA
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
934 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...TRIGGERING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON
THURSDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE
REGION BY FRIDAY...WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR
MOST OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240245-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
934 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (+2) 73-78 (-9) 47-52 62-67
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+6) 47-52 (+4) 95-100 31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 N 11 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) S 7 G15 W 8 NW 7 G15 N 13 G23
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 50 40 20
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.45 0.12 0.10 0.01
LAL 4 3 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5600 7200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 N 26
DISPERSION 48 GEN GOOD 119 VERY GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240245-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
934 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-61 (0) 72-77 (-8) 48-53 61-66
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+7) 46-51 (+2) 90-95 30-35
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 NW 12 G24
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) S 7 G18 W 10 G18 NW 9 G19 NW 14 G26
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 50 50 20
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.43 0.14 0.16 0.02
LAL 4 3 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 7900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 NW 28
DISPERSION 48 GEN GOOD 122 VERY GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-240245-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
934 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-61 (-1) 72-77 (-6) 50-55 62-67
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+9) 45-50 (-1) 82-87 31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 7 G16 N 11 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) S 6 W 11 G21 NW 9 G23 N 12 G21
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 40 20
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.27 0.08 0.15 0.01
LAL 4 3 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 7300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 N 23
DISPERSION 44 GEN GOOD 82 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-240245-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
934 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (-5) 74-79 (-7) 53-58 68-73
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+13) 45-50 (0) 86-91 28-33
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 N 11 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 10 G20 NW 8 G21 N 12 G21
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 20 0
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.26 0.06 0.08 0.00
LAL 4 3 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 6600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 N 24
DISPERSION 52 GEN GOOD 95 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-240245-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
934 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-61 (-2) 74-79 (-6) 52-57 68-73
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+10) 45-50 (0) 88-93 27-32
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 7 N 12 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 10 G19 NW 9 G20 N 13 G22
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 20 0
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.34 0.07 0.07 0.00
LAL 4 3 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 6900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 N 26
DISPERSION 53 GEN GOOD 106 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240245-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
934 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (+1) 76-81 (-7) 50-55 65-70
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+8) 44-49 (+2) 95-100 30-35
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 N 10 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) S 5 W 9 G16 W 7 G16 N 11 G19
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 40 0
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.35 0.11 0.10 0.00
LAL 4 3 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 6900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 N 22
DISPERSION 52 GEN GOOD 103 VERY GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240245-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
934 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (0) 76-81 (-7) 52-57 67-72
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+7) 43-48 (-1) 82-87 29-34
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 N 10 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 9 G17 NW 7 G18 N 11 G19
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 30 0
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.22 0.05 0.05 0.00
LAL 4 3 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 6500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 N 22
DISPERSION 58 GEN GOOD 96 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240245-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
934 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013 /834 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013/
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND) 59-64 (-2) 77-82 (-6) 53-58 68-73
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+9) 44-49 (0) 81-86 29-34
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 G17 N 10 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 11 G22 NW 8 G20 N 10 G18
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 20 0
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.04 0.02 0.00
LAL 4 3 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 N 22
DISPERSION 70 GOOD 88 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
- National Weather Service
- Topeka, KS Weather Forecast Office
- 1116 NE Strait Avenue
- Topeka, KS 66616-1667
- 785-234-2592
- Page Author: TOP Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: w-top.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: May 1st, 2013 15:32 UTC