Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 040128 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
828 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SPREAD
CLOUDS AND RAIN INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050230-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
828 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+5)   42-47 (+1)   35-40        48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  71-76 (+20)  95-100       66-71
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5 G19                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 10 G24    S  7 G25     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           60           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.12         0.13         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     E 12
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G19                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 12 G24    S  9 G25     E  6 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050230-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
828 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+6)   40-45 (-1)   34-39        47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 76-81 (+29)  95-100       67-72
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G26                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 13 G34    S 12 G38     SE  6 G21
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           70           60
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.20         0.15         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     SE 15
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G26                 N  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 17 G34    S 15 G38     SE  8 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-050230-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
828 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+6)   43-48 (-1)   35-40        47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 72-77 (+30)  95-100       67-72
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G34                 NE  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G42     S 11 G39     SE  7 G22
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           70
PRECIP DURATION       6            8            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.38         0.13         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SE 17
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 13 G34                 NE  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 19 G42     S 15 G39     SE  9 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-050230-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
828 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   43-48 (-4)   37-42        50-55
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 80-85 (+39)  95-100       70-75
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G37                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 15 G41    SE  8 G29    SE  6 G19
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           70
PRECIP DURATION       6            8            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.53         0.13         0.16
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 18                     SE 14
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 15 G37                 NE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 19 G41    SE 11 G29    SE  8 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS AROUND
18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-050230-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
828 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   42-47 (-7)   37-42        51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 80-85 (+40)  95-100       68-73
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G39                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 14 G43    SE  9 G27    SE  7 G18
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           80
PRECIP DURATION       6            8            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.55         0.14         0.16
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 16                     SE 15
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI                          4                         9
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 15 G39                 NE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 18 G43    SE 11 G27    SE  9 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050230-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
828 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+7)   43-48 (-1)   37-42        49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 76-81 (+28)  95-100       69-74
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  7 G20                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G22    SE  6 G24    E  5 G15
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.21         0.13         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     E 12
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  8 G20                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G22    SE  8 G24    E  7 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050230-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
828 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+6)   43-48 (-2)   38-43        51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+12)  76-81 (+30)  95-100       68-73
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6 G16                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G21    LGT/VAR      E  6 G15
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           50           60
PRECIP DURATION       6            5            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.30         0.09         0.09
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      2300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      E 13
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  8 G16                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G21    S  5 G18     E  8 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-050230-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
828 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016 /728 PM CST SAT DEC 3 2016/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+7)   43-48 (-4)   40-45        51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 80-85 (+35)  95-100       69-74
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  8 G26                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G24    LGT/VAR      E  5 G15
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           70
PRECIP DURATION       6            8            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.52         0.08         0.18
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      2200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     E 12
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   10 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E 11 G26                  NE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        SE 10 G24    S  5 G20     E  7 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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