Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 300741
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGHER PRESSURE AND DRY AIR WILL ALLOW
FOR A PLEASANT DAY TODAY WITH QUITE A BIT OF SUNSHINE. HOWEVER... A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON HALLOWEEN...BRINGING
A COLD WIND AND LIGHT RAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR
SNOWFALL ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND ALONG THE
NORTH CAROLINA STATE LINE. IT WILL FEEL LIKE WINTER ON SATURDAY WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES ABOUT 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. IT WILL NOT
BE QUITE AS COLD ON SUNDAY BUT WILL STILL BE ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY NOVEMBER.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-310845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   35-40 (+1)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-13)  89-94 (-2)   55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80
PRECIP DURATION                                 4
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W  8
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-310845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   35-40 (+2)   48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-15)  89-94 (-6)   52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80
PRECIP DURATION                                 3
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W  9
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-310845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   35-40 (+2)   51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-20)  88-93 (-8)   44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      W 10
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-310845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    36-41 (+2)   58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-16)  89-94 (-4)   39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      NW  9
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-310845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    35-40 (+2)   58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-16)  87-92 (-8)   39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NW  9
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   14 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI             6                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-310845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   35-40 (0)    53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-14)  94-99 (+1)   48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70
PRECIP DURATION                                 2
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     W  9
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   20 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-310845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    36-41 (0)    54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-12)  91-96 (-1)   42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6 G15
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60
PRECIP DURATION                                 2
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      W 10
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   25 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-310845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
341 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   37-42 (0)    57-62
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-15)  88-93 (+4)   34-39
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7 G18
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NW 12
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               27 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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