Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 231955
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
255 PM EST Tue Jan 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly cloudy skies are expected across the region overnight...with
just a slight chance of a stray shower. Gradually clearing skies,
and temperatures below seasonal normals can be expected for
Wednesday. A warming trend will begin on Thursday and continue into
the weekend.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242100-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
255 PM EST Tue Jan 23 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      25-30 (-18)  35-40 (-9)   21-26        42-47
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (-2)   51-56 (+1)   86-91        33-38
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  8 G20                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 12 G28     W  9 G21     W  6 G19     SW  6
Precip type           snow/rain    NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2200                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      W  8
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   11 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G20                  W  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 15 G28     W 11 G21     W  8 G19     SW  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely or chance of snow showers. Lows around
30. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers or snow
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the 30s to lower
40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s
to upper 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242100-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
255 PM EST Tue Jan 23 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      23-28 (-17)  34-39 (-9)   19-24        40-45
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (-4)   49-54 (-2)   80-85        30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G30                  NW  7 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 15 G37     W 10 G25     NW 10 G28    W  6 G15
Precip type           snow/rain    snow         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           20           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1300                      900
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      NW 10
Dispersion                         16 Gen poor               6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 12 G30                  NW  8 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 19 G37     W 12 G25     NW 13 G28    W  7 G15

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 40s to 50s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely or chance of snow showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers or snow
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the 30s to lower
40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-242100-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
255 PM EST Tue Jan 23 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      23-28 (-16)  36-41 (-5)   19-24        42-47
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (-8)   44-49 (-7)   82-87        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6 G18                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 12 G30     W 10 G26     W  6 G18     W  5
Precip type           snow         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1300                      1100
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      NW  7
Dispersion                         12 Poor                   5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8 G18                 NW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 15 G30     W 12 G26     W  7 G18     W  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely or chance of snow showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers or snow
showers. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s to
mid 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-242100-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
255 PM EST Tue Jan 23 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      24-29 (-19)  40-45 (-5)   21-26        47-52
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (-6)   40-45 (-9)   84-89        30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6 G19                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 10 G23    NW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      3900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1900                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 12                     N  6
Dispersion                         18 Gen poor               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7 G19                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 12 G23    NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely or slight chance of snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
30s to 40s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-242100-
Nantahala National Forest-
255 PM EST Tue Jan 23 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MClear       MClear       Clear
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-20)  41-46 (-4)   21-26        49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-7)   37-42 (-12)  90-95        30-35
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G21                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G28    NW  9 G23    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4500
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                2000                      2300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW  8
DISPERSION                         21 Fair                   15 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G21                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G28    NW 11 G23    LGT/VAR      NW  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely or slight chance of snow showers. Lows
around 30. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s to upper 40s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242100-
East Tennessee District East-
255 PM EST Tue Jan 23 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      26-31 (-19)  38-43 (-8)   22-27        45-50
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (+1)   48-53 (+2)   82-87        31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  8 G19                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 11 G26     W  9 G21     W  5 G17     LGT/VAR
Precip type           snow/rain    NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     10           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      3400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2400                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      W  6
Dispersion                         27 Fair                   8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G19                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 14 G26     W 12 G21     W  7 G17     SW  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely or chance of snow showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in
the lower 30s to mid 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242100-
East Tennessee District West-
255 PM EST Tue Jan 23 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      26-31 (-17)  39-44 (-5)   24-29        47-52
RH % (24h trend)      84-89 (-5)   43-48 (-6)   78-83        31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G21     W  8 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3800                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2600                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W  3
Dispersion                         22 Fair                   7 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 11 G21     W 10 G20     NW  5        SW  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers or slight chance of
snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to
mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s to upper 40s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-242100-
Cumberland District South-
255 PM EST Tue Jan 23 2018 /155 PM CST Tue Jan 23 2018/

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      25-30 (-19)  43-48 (-3)   25-30        49-54
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (-6)   38-43 (-9)   77-82        29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G22    W  8 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3500                      2800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2400                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 12                     N  5
Dispersion                         22 Fair                   7 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 11 G22    W 11 G20     N  5 G15     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Light
winds becoming southwest less than 10 mph after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers or snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 50s. Northwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to mid
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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