Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 281929
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
329 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL REMAIN IN A
RATHER ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN THIS WEEK.  A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.  THE WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
STALL NEAR THE TENNESSEE GEORGIA BORDER AND CONTINUE THE CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
329 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (0)    74-79 (0)    55-60        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  48-53 (-13)  95-100       44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G21    SW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G19
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           30           0            30
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing                2 PM
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.10         0.03         0.00         0.02
LAL                   3            3            1            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 8000                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      SW 13
Dispersion                         83 Good                   40 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  8 G15                  SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G21    SW 10 G20    SW  5        SW 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. West winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. West
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
329 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (-1)   71-76 (-2)   53-58        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  56-61 (-5)   95-100       45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  8 G22                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 10 G25     W  8 G22     LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           40           20           20
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.12         0.02         0.01
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7700                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                W 21                      W 10
Dispersion                         89 Good                   22 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G22                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 12 G25     W 10 G22     SW  5        W  8

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-292030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
329 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+2)   70-75 (-2)   54-59        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  60-65 (-1)   95-100       47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  8 G21                  SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G26    SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      W  6 G15
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           30           30
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.12         0.14         0.04         0.02
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 8100                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)                W 21                      W 13
Dispersion                         93 Good                   32 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G21                  SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G26    SW  9 G17    SW  6 G16    W  9

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-292030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
329 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+3)   74-79 (-1)   58-63        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   60-65 (-2)   95-100       49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7 G20                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           30           30
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.13         0.18         0.04         0.02
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7600                      6900
Transport wnd (mph)                W 17                      W 12
Dispersion                         86 Good                   47 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G16    W  5 G15     LGT/VAR      W  8

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-292030-
Nantahala National Forest-
329 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    74-79 (-1)   56-61        73-78
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  60-65 (-2)   95-100       51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G20    NW  5 G17    LGT/VAR      W  5
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           40           30
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.21         0.06         0.02
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8700                      6600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 12
DISPERSION                         117 Very good             42 Gen good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G18                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G20    NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      W  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292030-
East Tennessee District East-
329 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (0)    75-80 (-2)   56-61        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   52-57 (-7)   95-100       43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G18    SW  9 G23    LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           40           20           30
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.10         0.07         0.01         0.01
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6900                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      SW 12
Dispersion                         74 Good                   37 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  9                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G18    SW 11 G23    LGT/VAR      SW  9

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292030-
East Tennessee District West-
329 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+3)   76-81 (-1)   57-62        77-82
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   47-52 (-14)  95-100       45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G16    SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           20           30
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.09         0.06         0.01         0.01
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6700                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      W 13
Dispersion                         64 Good                   52 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  7                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G16    SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-292030-
Cumberland District South-
329 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017 /229 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017/

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+4)   76-81 (-1)   59-64        77-82
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   57-62 (-5)   95-100       48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6 G18                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           50           30           30
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.14         0.02         0.02
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      W 10
Dispersion                         53 Gen good               42 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G15    SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  8

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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