Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
404 FNUS55 KPSR 142004 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 104 PM MST Tue May 14 2024 .DISCUSSION... Elevated fire weather conditions will continue into at least early next week as a result of some periodic gusty winds (mainly in the afternoon and early evening hours), dry fine fuels, and low humidity levels. MinRH levels will be around 10% across the lower deserts and in the teens for the higher terrain areas. Overnight recoveries will range from poor to fair and be in the 20-50% range. Afternoon and early evening wind gusts will be around 20-25 mph each day. Through Thursday, some periodic higher gusts are possible in the higher terrain in the eastern districts due to some high based showers over the mountains. Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-150815- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 104 PM MST Tue May 14 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................61-71. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................29-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................91-96. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......12400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 9 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................63-73. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................35-52 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................91-97. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 13 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 64-74. Highs 94-100. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 64-74. Highs 95-101. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63-73. Highs 93-99. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-70. Highs 90-97. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-69. Highs 89-97. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-150815- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 104 PM MST Tue May 14 2024 /104 PM PDT Tue May 14 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................62-67. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................40-57 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-99. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........11600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................64-69. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-66 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................96-101. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........5600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 12 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 64-69. Highs 98-103. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 64-69. Highs 97-102. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63-68. Highs 95-100. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61-67. Highs 92-97. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-64. Highs 91-96. $$ AZZ133-150815- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 104 PM MST Tue May 14 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................51-64. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-46 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................78-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................50-64. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................38-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................75-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................16-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 51-68. Highs 81-95. West winds 15 to 25 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 53-68. Highs 83-97. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53-67. Highs 80-95. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49-67. Highs 79-92. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 48-62. Highs 79-92. $$ CAZ232-150815- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 104 PM PDT Tue May 14 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................63-69. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................30-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................89-99. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................64-71. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-62 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................91-101. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 64-71. Highs 93-103. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 64-71. Highs 92-101. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62-70. Highs 90-100. West winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 60-68. Highs 87-96. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 58-65. Highs 86-96. $$ CAZ230-150815- Joshua Tree National Park- 104 PM PDT Tue May 14 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................56-67. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-41 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................79-94. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................56-68. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................33-45 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................82-96. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................12-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 56-69. Highs 82-98. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 54-68. Highs 80-96. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 51-66. Highs 78-94. West winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 50-65. Highs 76-91. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 48-62. Highs 75-91. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Tuesday May 21st through Thursday May 23rd: Below normal temperatures and near median precipitation.