Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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FNUS86 KSGX 212122
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
122 PM PDT FRI NOV 21 2014

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##           ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035-                  ##
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##                LAXECCSGX                             ##
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## (note that ECC033, etc. are no longer separate PILs) ##
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##    No action is required if you like the current     ##
##    discussions in the fire weather forecast (and     ##
##    they apply to Phoenix`s part of the ECC034 too).  ##
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SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS

Discussion from LAXFWFSGX


A WEAK TROUGH WILL BRING GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT
NORTHEAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE ONSET OF A
SANTA ANA WIND EVENT THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. GUSTY
OFFSHORE WINDS IMPACT THE MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS AND INLAND VALLEYS
BEGINNING SUNDAY MORNING. MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE
PROGRESSIVELY WARMER DAYS WITH LOWER HUMIDITIES AND WEAK TO
MODERATE SANTA ANA WINDS. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE NEXT
WEEK AND WILL DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH OF THE OFFSHORE WINDS. THIS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE EVALUATED OVER THE WEEKEND.


Discussion from LAXFWFLOX


LOCALLY GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY THE I-5 CORRIDOR AND SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA
COUNTY WHERE GUSTS GENERALLY TO AROUND 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN UP HOWEVER. NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

A SECOND FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. WHILE THIS SYSTEM WILL NOT BRING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
RAIN...STRONG AND COLD NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND IT WILL SET UP AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY OFFSHORE FLOW. STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH
FLOW WILL FORM SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...AFFECTING THE I-5
CORRIDOR AND ANTELOPE VALLEY...AS WELL AS SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA
COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS TO 40 MPH AND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
IN THESE AREAS. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION
BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN SOME...BUT WILL REMAIN GUSTY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MEANWHILE...DRY AIR ALOFT WILL
IMPACT THE MOUNTAINS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...THEN DROP
INTO THE VALLEYS AND COASTS ON MONDAY. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WITH
THIS DRY AIR SHOULD GENERALLY BE IN THE 8 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE. AS
A RESULT...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS EVENT. THE
MONTECITO AREA HAS A CHANCE FOR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WHILE THE
MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES MAY REACH CRITERIA
BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE VALLEYS AND COASTAL AREAS WILL BE
THREATENED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A DECISION ON THE NEED FOR
ANY FIRE WEATHER WATCHES WILL BE MADE THIS AFTERNOON.


Discussion from SFOFWFHNX

THE DISTRICT WILL BE IN BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS
TODAY...WITH THE NEXT WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH
THE DISTRICT LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL
BRING PRECIPITATION MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
DISTRICT. HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN MODERATELY HIGH THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. DRY WEATHER AND LOWER HUMIDITIES CAN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC BUILDS
INTO CALIFORNIA.



Discussion from RNOFWFVEF

A WEAKENING PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING CLOUDY SKIES
AND A FEW AREAS OF SHOWERS THROUGH THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE AREAWIDE BY THE AFTERNOON. A SECOND SYSTEM WILL
BRING GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND
MOJAVE DESERT SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.


Discussion from PHXFWFPSR


AN UPPER LOW MOVING ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST TODAY WILL BRING
CLOUDY SKIES TODAY...DECREASING FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES. THERE WILL BE ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THAT
WILL BE LIMITED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THERE IS AN OUTSIDE
POSSIBILITY OF A WEAK STRAY THUNDERSTORM AS WELL. IN ADDITION...HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT LEAST A FEW DEGREES COOLER TODAY AND
HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER. EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES SATURDAY WITH
LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES EXCEPT DRIER OVER
SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.


############# Modify the discussions below ###############

ECC033-220922-

DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
122 PM PDT FRI NOV 21 2014


A WEAK TROUGH WILL BRING GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT
NORTHEAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE ONSET OF A
SANTA ANA WIND EVENT THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. GUSTY
OFFSHORE WINDS IMPACT THE MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS AND INLAND VALLEYS
BEGINNING SUNDAY MORNING. MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE
PROGRESSIVELY WARMER DAYS WITH LOWER HUMIDITIES AND WEAK TO
MODERATE SANTA ANA WINDS. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE NEXT
WEEK AND WILL DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH OF THE OFFSHORE WINDS. THIS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE EVALUATED OVER THE WEEKEND.

$$

ECC034-220922-

DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
122 PM PDT FRI NOV 21 2014


A WEAK TROUGH WILL BRING GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT
NORTHEAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE ONSET OF A
SANTA ANA WIND EVENT THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. GUSTY
OFFSHORE WINDS IMPACT THE MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS AND INLAND VALLEYS
BEGINNING SUNDAY MORNING. MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE
PROGRESSIVELY WARMER DAYS WITH LOWER HUMIDITIES AND WEAK TO
MODERATE SANTA ANA WINDS. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE NEXT
WEEK AND WILL DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH OF THE OFFSHORE WINDS. THIS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE EVALUATED OVER THE WEEKEND.

$$

ECC035-220922-

DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
122 PM PDT FRI NOV 21 2014


A WEAK TROUGH WILL BRING GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT
NORTHEAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE ONSET OF A
SANTA ANA WIND EVENT THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. GUSTY
OFFSHORE WINDS IMPACT THE MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS AND INLAND VALLEYS
BEGINNING SUNDAY MORNING. MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE
PROGRESSIVELY WARMER DAYS WITH LOWER HUMIDITIES AND WEAK TO
MODERATE SANTA ANA WINDS. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE NEXT
WEEK AND WILL DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH OF THE OFFSHORE WINDS. THIS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE EVALUATED OVER THE WEEKEND.

$$




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