Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 261213
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR KIPTOPEKE...DCR-STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
813 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
THROUGH TODAY, THEN PUSHES WELL OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON
FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH SATURDAY,
AND WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST COAST SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............13  14  14  14  16  16  16  20  20  20
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................71  73  77  78  80  80  79  78  78  77
RH..................76  68  59  55  51  52  55  55  57  57
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   7   6   7   8   8   9   10  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   7   6   6   7   8   10  12  13  14
LVORI...............5   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.................6   5   8   11  17  25  34  38  32  34
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   4   6   8   12  19  28  32  35  38

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............25  25  25  28  28  28  30  30  30  29  29  29
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................77  76  74  73  71  71  70  69  69  68  68  67
RH..................59  60  64  66  71  73  76  78  78  81  81  87
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......12  12  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  12  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....25  25  25  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  14  13  13  12  12
LVORI...............2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   5
ADI.................19  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  11  11  10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....27  15  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-2700 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............26  26  26  26  26  26  27  27  27  28  28  28
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................67  68  69  71  74  76  77  78  79  80  81  80
RH..................87  84  81  76  66  62  60  56  54  52  53  54
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  10  10  9   9   10  10  12  13  14  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  10  10  9   9   9   10  12  14  15  17  18
LVORI...............4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.................12  12  11  10  7   9   16  23  30  35  38  40
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   4   5   7   13  21  32  36  39  40



FORECASTER...MINNICK
REQUESTED BY...ERIK MOLLEEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160526.KIPTO.02/AKQ



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