Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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FNUS71 KBGM 230346
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for Golfball Fire...NPS
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1146 PM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 2200 EDT on June 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight through Friday night more showers and thunderstorms are
possible as a front passes through the area. Friday into Friday
evening locally heavy rain is possible. Seasonal temperatures
are expected into the weekend with decreasing chances for
precipitation.

Rest of tonight will be mainly dry with light winds. Relative
humidity will increase to over 80 percent.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers in the late evening and overnight. A
                    slight chance of thunderstorms. A chance of
                    showers late.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
SUNRISE.............

TIME (EDT)      10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  74  75  76  77  78  80  81
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............76  74  72  71  70  69  69  69
RH..............71  76  81  84  87  90  93  90
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..1   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   5   6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely
                    and a chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................0 percent, increasing to 62 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0800, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds, becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......0-1700 ft AGL, increasing to 1200-2300 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 14 mph, becoming around 10 mph
                    late.
SUNSET..............

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  83  84  85  85  86  87  87  88  89  89  90
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   40  50  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
LAL.............2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............69  70  72  74  77  79  80  80  80  81  81  81
RH..............93  90  87  84  76  74  72  72  72  69  72  72
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   4   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.            5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   12  14  17  18  20  20  17  15  10

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A chance of
                    thunderstorms until early morning. Showers
                    likely. A slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    midnight.
CWR.................66 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 0200, then 1-8 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms until early
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after midnight.
Mixing height.......0-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 7 mph, becoming north around 0
                    mph early in the evening.
SUNRISE.............

TIME (EDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky (%).........90           91           91
Weather cov.....LIKELY       LIKELY       LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE       CHANCE       S CHC
CWR.............60           60           60
LAL.............3            3            2
Temp............80           75           70
RH..............74           87           93
20 FT wind......SW 6         SW 4G5       SW 5
Mix hgt (ft)....800          BLW100       BLW100
Transport wind..SW 7         N 0          N 0

$$
Forecaster...Champney
Requested by...Matt Boss
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1711456.0/BGM
.EMAIL matt_boss@nps.gov



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