Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 291000
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORGAN GULCH CUTTING PROJECT...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
357 AM MDT FRI MAY 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1805 MDT ON MAY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
BETWEEN 1200 AND 1800.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0900...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........40%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    NORTHWEST 8-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3300 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 8100-9100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. GOOD AFTER 1100.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MORGAN GULCH CUTTING PROJECT.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

05/29-03 60 21  4 35 92 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 21  1874   W  8 13497 P
05/29-04 60 21  4 34 91 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 20  1728   W  8 11333 P
05/29-05 60 21  4 33 90 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 18  1581   W  7  9357 P
05/29-06 65 19  4 33 89  SW  3  3 2 1  NW 17  1435   W  6  7569 P
05/29-07 65 19  4 35 84 WSW  3  3 2 1  NW 16  2670   W  8 17489 P
05/29-08 65 19  4 38 79   W  5  5 2 1  NW 15  3905 WNW  9 30559 P
05/29-09 69 25  5 43 68   W  6  6 2 2  NW 15  5140 WNW 10 46780  F
05/29-10 69 25  5 47 57   W  7  7 2 2 WNW 13  6508 WNW 10 59365  F
05/29-11 69 25  5 51 47 WNW  7  7 3 2 WNW 13  7876 WNW 10 72008   G
05/29-12 80 41 18 54 41 WNW  8 13 3 3   W 12  9244 WNW 10 84709   G
05/29-13 80 41 18 55 40 WNW  9 15 3 3   W 13  9132 WNW 12 89777   G
05/29-14 80 41 18 55 41 WNW 10 16 3 3   W 15  9020 WNW 12 94696   G
05/29-15 88 42 19 54 43  NW 10 16 3 3   W 16  8908 WNW 13 99465   G
05/29-16 88 42 19 54 43  NW  9 15 3 3   W 17  8765 WNW 13 95315   G
05/29-17 88 42 19 54 43  NW  8 14 3 3 WNW 18  8622 WNW 13 91249   G
05/29-18 74 26  6 53 45  NW  7  7 3 2 WNW 18  8479 WNW 12 87266   G
05/29-19 74 26  6 51 49   N  6  6 3 2 WNW 17  7276  NW  9 55643  F
05/29-20 74 26  6 47 59   E  5  5 2 2 WNW 16  6073   N  6 30383 P
05/29-21 86 19  4 44 68 ESE  3  3 2 1 WNW 15  4870   N  2 11485 P
05/29-22 86 19  4 42 73  SE  3  3 2 1  NW 14  3724  NE  3 11745 P
05/29-23 86 19  4 41 74 SSE  3  3 2 1  NW 13  2578   E  5 10181 P
05/30-00 35  3  1 39 79 SSE  3  3 2 1  NW 12  1433  SE  6  6796 P
05/30-01 35  3  1 38 81 SSE  3  3 2 1  NW 10  1269 SSE  6  5830 P
05/30-02 35  3  1 37 84   S  5  5 2 1  NW  9  1105   S  5  4913 P
05/30-03 35  3  1 36 85   S  5  5 2 1  NW  9   941 SSW  5  4045 P
05/30-04 35  3  1 34 89   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 10   903 SSW  5  3832 P
05/30-05 35  3  1 33 89   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 13   865  SW  5  3623 P
05/30-06 33  4  1 34 82   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 14   827  SW  5  3418 P
05/30-07 33  4  1 36 80 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 15  1873 WSW  6  9528 P
05/30-08 33  4  1 40 71  SW  3  3 2 1 WNW 15  2918   W  7 17638 P
05/30-09 23  5  1 45 60 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 15  3964   W  8 27212 P
05/30-10 23  5  1 49 52   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 15  5227   W  9 40141  F
05/30-11 23  5  1 53 44   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 15  6490   W  9 55127  F
05/30-12 48 11  2 57 37   W  6  6 2 2 WNW 15  7754 WNW 10 72170   G
05/30-13 48 11  2 60 31   W  7  7 2 2 WNW 15  8293 WNW 12 80239   G
05/30-14 48 11  2 62 28   W  8  8 3 2 WNW 15  8833   W 12 88705   G
05/30-15 61 11  2 63 26   W  9 14 3 2 WNW 15  9373   W 12 97567   G
05/30-16 61 11  2 63 29   W  9 15 3 2   W 16  9695   W 13105289    V
05/30-17 61 11  2 63 32   W  9 14 3 2   W 16 10018   W 13113301    V
05/30-18 48 10  2 64 34   W  9 14 3 2   W 16 10341   W 14121604    V
05/30-19 48 10  2 61 39   W  8  8 3 2   W 18  8484   W 13 93698   G
05/30-20 48 10  2 58 43   W  8  8 2 2   W 20  6626   W 12 68447   G
05/30-21 48  7  1 54 48   W  7  7 2 1 WNW 22  4769   W 12 45851  F
05/30-22 48  7  1 51 54 WSW  6  6 2 1 WNW 23  3558   W  9 29629 P
05/30-23 48  7  1 48 61 SSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 25  2347 WSW  8 16525 P
05/31-00 49  1  0 46 65 SSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 28  1136 WSW  7  6537 P
05/31-01 49  1  0 44 69 SSW  6  6 2 1 WNW 28  1047 WSW  7  6766 P
05/31-02 49  1  0 43 69 SSW  6  6 2 1 WNW 29   959 WSW  8  6870 P
05/31-03 49  1  0 41 73 SSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 30   870 WSW  9  6848 P
05/31-04 49  1  0 39 77 SSW  7  7 2 1  NW 28   874 WSW  9  6785 P
05/31-05 49  1  0 37 82 SSW  6  6 3 1  NW 26   877 WSW  9  6720 P
05/31-06 43  5  1 37 82 SSW  5  5 3 1  NW 24   881 WSW  9  6655 P
05/31-07 43  5  1 39 77  SW  5  5 3 1  NW 21  1499 WSW  9 12180 P
05/31-08 43  5  1 44 66  SW  5  5 3 1 NNW 18  2116   W 10 18414 P
05/31-09 43  5  1 49 56 WSW  5  5 3 1 NNW 15  2734   W 10 25358 P
05/31-10 43  5  1 54 47 WSW  5  5 3 1  NW 14  4992   W 12 48430  F
05/31-11 43  5  1 59 40   W  6  6 3 1 WNW 14  7251   W 12 73421   G
05/31-12 62 20  4 62 36   W  6  6 3 3 WNW 13  9510 WNW 13100332    V
05/31-13 62 20  4 65 33   W  7  7 3 3 WNW 13  9753 WNW 13108569    V
05/31-14 62 20  4 66 33   W  7  7 3 3   W 13  9996   W 14117089    V
05/31-15 62 20  4 67 32   W  8  8 3 3   W 13 10239   W 14125892    V
05/31-16 62 20  4 67 32   W  9  9 3 3   W 15  9616   W 14113453    V
05/31-17 62 20  4 66 33   W  9  9 3 3 WNW 17  8993   W 13101632    V
05/31-18 58 15  3 65 34   W  9 14 3 3 WNW 20  8369   W 13 90431   G
05/31-19 58 15  3 62 39   W  9  9 3 3 WNW 20  7002   W 12 67109   G
05/31-20 58 15  3 59 46 WSW  9  9 3 3 WNW 21  5634 WSW  9 47126  F
05/31-21 58 15  3 56 53  SW  8  8 3 3 WNW 21  4267 WSW  8 30480 P
05/31-22 58 15  3 53 60 SSW  7  7 3 3 WNW 20  3249  SW  7 20491 P
05/31-23 58 15  3 50 67   S  7  7 3 3 WNW 17  2231 SSW  6 12205 P
06/01-00 29  3  1 48 71   S  6  6 3 1 WNW 16  1213 SSW  6  5622 P
06/01-01 29  3  1 46 75   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 15  1153 SSW  5  5154 P
06/01-02 29  3  1 44 79   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 13  1092  SW  5  4705 P
06/01-03 29  3  1 42 83   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 12  1032  SW  5  4276 P
06/01-04 29  3  1 40 86   S  3  3 3 1 WNW 13  1040  SW  5  4348 P
06/01-05 29  3  1 38 91   S  3  3 3 1 WNW 13  1048  SW  5  4421 P
06/01-06 44  5  1 38 89   S  3  3 3 1 WNW 14  1055  SW  5  4494 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RPK
REQUESTED BY...JAIME PONCE DE LEON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150528.MORGA.01/BOU



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