Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 061308
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFF'S OFFICE/PARKS AND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
554 AM MST TUE DEC 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON DECEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES
AND ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGH THURSDAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW OVER THE
DIVIDE THIS MORNING MAY BLOW OVER THE AREA, BUT NO ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED. EXPECT SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPCOMING WEATHER SYSTEM TO
BEGIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING AS WINDS BECOME EASTERLY
AND UPSLOPE. EXPECTED SNOWFALL IS 3 TO 5 INCHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
EASTERLY WINDS WILL TURN NORTHERLY OVERNIGHT AND DECREASE SPEEDS TO
BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WEDNESDAY. SNOW WILL END AND SKIES CLEAR BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING. DISPERSION WILL REMAIN POOR THROUGH THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0600, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1100, THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1000 UNTIL 1500,
                    THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1600, THEN SNOW
                    LIKELY.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MIN HUMIDITY........36%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN EAST.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN SOUTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW.
CWR.................80 PERCENT DECREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 2 ABOVE.
MAX HUMIDITY........100%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1000, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW
                    UNTIL 1100, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR.................65 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 13.
MIN HUMIDITY........66%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW .

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 5 BELOW. HIGHS AROUND 16. VARIABLE
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
NOT AS COOL. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5-13 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

12/06-09 49  8  2 15 49   S  6  6 2 1   W 67  1637  SW  8 10683 P
12/06-10 56 10  2 18 42 SSE  6  6 2 1   W 67  2307 SSW  8 16556 P
12/06-11 64 12  2 21 37  SE  6  6 2 1   W 68  2976   S  9 23301 P
12/06-12 72 15  3 23 36 ESE  6  6 2 1   W 64  3150   S  9 25311 P
12/06-13 80 17  3 23 37 ESE  7  7 2 1   W 62  3324 SSE  9 27393 P
12/06-14 88 20  4 22 41 ESE  7  7 2 1   W 60  3498 SSE  9 29547 P
12/06-15 91 41 18 20 48   E  7  7 2 1 WSW 59  2896  SE  9 22473 P
12/06-16 94 62 41 18 55   E  6  6 3 1 WSW 58  2293  SE  8 16225 P
12/06-17 97 83 73 16 64 ENE  6  6 3 1 WSW 58  1691 ESE  7 10804 P
12/06-18 97 84 74 16 68 ENE  7  7 3 1 WSW 55  1568   E  7  9742 P
12/06-19 97 85 76 14 78 NNE  7  7 3 1 WSW 54  1445 ENE  7  8724 P
12/06-20 97 86 78 13 84 NNE  8 13 3 1 WSW 52  1322  NE  7  7749 P
12/06-21 96 85 76 11 91 NNE  8 13 3 1 WSW 45  1374  NE  8  9240 P
12/06-22 96 85 76 10 94   N  8 13 3 1   W 38  1426 NNE  9 10820 P
12/06-23 95 84 74  9 96   N  8 13 3 1   W 31  1478 NNE  9 12489 P
12/07-00 95 83 73  8 99   N  8 13 3 1   W 35  1699 NNE  9 14106 P
12/07-01 95 82 70  8 97 NNE  8 13 3 1   W 39  1919 NNE  9 15659 P
12/07-02 95 81 66  8 96 NNE  8 13 3 1   W 44  2139 NNE  9 17148 P
12/07-03 96 80 62  7 97 NNE  8 14 3 1   W 38  2451 NNE 10 22316 P
12/07-04 99 79 57  5100 NNE  9 14 3 1 WNW 32  2763 NNE 12 28210 P
12/07-05100 78 65  5100 NNE  9 15 3 1 WNW 28  3075 NNE 13 34794 P
12/07-06100 78 65  3100 NNE  9 14 3 1 WNW 26  2786 NNE 13 31196 P
12/07-07100 78 65  5 93 NNE  8 14 3 1 WNW 25  2498 NNE 13 27668 P
12/07-08100 78 65  7 83 NNE  8 13 3 1 WNW 24  2210   N 13 24209 P
12/07-09100 78 65  9 76 NNE  8 13 3 1 WNW 25  2651   N 10 22788 P
12/07-10100 49 65 10 72  NE  7  7 3 1 WNW 26  3092   N  7 19284 P
12/07-11 94 20  4 12 67  NE  7  7 3 1 WNW 28  3533   N  5 13700 P
12/07-12 81 20  4 12 67  NE  7  7 3 1 WNW 29  3294   N  5 11654 P
12/07-13 68 20  4 12 67  NE  6  6 4 1 WNW 30  3056   N  3  9771 P
12/07-14 61 16  3 11 70  NE  6  6 4 1 WNW 30  2818 NNW  3  8050 P
12/07-15 61 16  3 10 70 NNE  5  5 4 1 WNW 31  2399 NNW  2  5968 P
12/07-16 61 16  3  9 70 NNW  3  3 3 1 WNW 32  1981  NW  2  4195 P
12/07-17 57  4  1  9 66  NW  3  3 3 1 WNW 33  1563  NW  2  2731 P
12/07-18 49  4  1  6 71 WNW  3  3 3 1 WNW 31  1467 WNW  2  3271 P
12/07-19 41  4  1  3 77   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 29  1371   W  3  3719 P
12/07-20 32  3  1  1 79   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 28  1275   W  3  4074 P
12/07-21 24  3  1 -1 81   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 28  1224   W  5  5043 P
12/07-22 16  3  1 -3 83   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 29  1174   W  6  5918 P
12/07-23 12  2  0 -4 82   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 29  1123   W  7  6700 P
12/08-00 12  2  0 -4 80   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 31  1093   W  7  6974 P
12/08-01 12  2  0 -5 83   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 33  1064   W  8  7224 P
12/08-02 12  2  0 -5 82   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 36  1034 WNW  8  7449 P
12/08-03 12  2  0 -5 82   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 38  1034 WNW  8  7487 P
12/08-04 12  2  0 -5 81   W  6  6 3 1  NW 39  1033   W  8  7525 P
12/08-05 12  0  0 -5 82   W  6  6 3 1  NW 41  1033   W  8  7564 P
12/08-06 12  0  0 -5 84   W  6  6 3 1  NW 41  1014   W  8  7414 P
12/08-07 12  0  0 -4 82   W  5  5 3 1  NW 41   995   W  8  7265 P
12/08-08 12  0  0 -1 75   W  3  3 3 1  NW 41   975   W  8  7117 P
12/08-09 12  0  0  3 68 WSW  3  3 3 1  NW 43  1364   W  8  9145 P
12/08-10 12  0  0  8 60 WSW  2  2 4 1 WNW 43  1752   W  7 10713 P
12/08-11 39  1  0 12 55  SW  2  2 4 1 WNW 44  2141   W  7 11821 P
12/08-12 39  1  0 15 52  SW  2  2 4 1 WNW 44  2228   W  6 11655 P
12/08-13 39  1  0 17 51  SW  2  2 4 1 WNW 45  2316 WSW  6 11439 P
12/08-14 39  1  0 17 53  SW  2  2 4 1 WNW 46  2403 WSW  6 11172 P
12/08-15 39  1  0 14 62 WSW  2  2 4 1 WNW 46  1955 WSW  5  8319 P
12/08-16 39  1  0 11 70   W  3  3 4 1 WNW 45  1506 WSW  5  5819 P
12/08-17 41  7  1  9 76   W  3  3 4 1 WNW 45  1058 WSW  3  3671 P
12/08-18 45  7  1  8 80   W  3  3 4 1 WNW 46  1037 WSW  5  4189 P
12/08-19 49  7  1  8 80   W  5  5 4 1 WNW 47  1017 WSW  6  4684 P
12/08-20 51  7  1  8 80   W  5  5 4 1  NW 47   996 WSW  6  5155 P
12/08-21 48  7  1  9 72   W  5  5 3 1  NW 47   984 WSW  7  5746 P
12/08-22 43  7  1  8 71   W  6  6 3 1  NW 47   972   W  8  6321 P
12/08-23 40 12  2  8 69   W  6  6 2 1  NW 47   960   W  8  6880 P
12/09-00 42 12  2  9 70   W  6  6 2 1  NW 47   953   W  9  7593 P
12/09-01 45 12  2  9 76   W  7  7 2 1  NW 46   945   W 10  8294 P
12/09-02 47 12  2  9 83   W  7  7 2 1  NW 46   938   W 12  8984 P
12/09-03 43 12  2 10 83   W  7  7 2 1  NW 47   961   W 12  9520 P
12/09-04 34 12  2 11 83 WSW  8 13 2 1  NW 48   983   W 12 10071 P
12/09-05 29 13  3 13 80 WSW  8 13 2 1  NW 51  1006   W 13 10637 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN
REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603674.8/BOU



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