Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 261312
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR EMERALD MOUNTAIN PILES...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
612 AM MST THU FEB 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON FEBRUARY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN ARCTIC AIRMASS HAS MOVED IN ACROSS NORTHEAST
COLORADO WHICH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
ALOFT...MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BECOME WESTERLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  WITH THE COLD ARTIC AIR AT LOW LEVELS AND A LITTLE BIT
OF WARM AIR AT MID LEVELS...MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE LIMITED ALL DAY.
CLOUD COVER MAY BE THIN AT TIMES...BUT WILL BE INCREASING BY
AFTERNOON AS THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM THE WEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....13-17.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-80%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................75 PERCENT DECREASING TO 65 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 55 PERCENT
                    LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 45 PERCENT
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTH AROUND 10
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 0100...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND ZERO.
MAX HUMIDITY........100%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....20-24.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-64%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST AROUND 10
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR EMERALD MOUNTAIN PILES.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

02/26-06 99 83 73  0100   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 24  2022 SSW  5  7994 P
02/26-07 99 77 63  1100 WSW  5  5 2 1  NW 25  1749  SW  5  7124 P
02/26-08 99 74 59  3100  SW  5  5 2 1  NW 26  1477  SW  5  6255 P
02/26-09 99 72 56  7 93 SSW  5  5 2 1  NW 28  2315  SW  6 11440 P
02/26-10 99 65 45 12 79 ESE  3  3 2 1 WNW 28  3153  SW  6 16625 P
02/26-11 98 65 45 15 73   E  3  3 2 1 WNW 28  3991  SW  6 21811 P
02/26-12 98 65 45 16 71   E  3  3 2 1 WNW 26  3693 SSW  6 20287 P
02/26-13 98 65 45 15 74   E  5  5 2 1   W 26  3395 SSE  7 18763 P
02/26-14 98 70 53 14 77 ESE  5  5 2 1   W 25  3097  SE  7 17240 P
02/26-15 98 75 60 12 84   E  5  5 2 1   W 26  2892  SE  8 18439 P
02/26-16 98 75 60 11 87   E  5  5 2 1   W 26  2687 ESE  8 19638 P
02/26-17 98 75 60  9 91   E  5  5 2 1   W 26  2482 ESE  9 20837 P
02/26-18 98 75 60  6 93 ESE  5  5 2 1   W 28  2200 ESE  9 18465 P
02/26-19 98 75 60  3 92 ESE  3  3 3 1   W 29  1918 ESE  9 16093 P
02/26-20 98 72 56  1 91 ESE  3  3 3 1   W 30  1636 ESE  9 13720 P
02/26-21 98 72 56  2 88 ESE  3  3 3 1   W 31  1810 ESE  9 15303 P
02/26-22 98 72 56  3 88  SE  3  3 3 1   W 31  1984 ESE 10 16885 P
02/26-23 99 66 47  4 87  SE  3  3 3 1   W 32  2158 ESE 10 18468 P
02/27-00 99 53 28  3 88 SSE  3  3 3 1   W 32  1882  SE  8 14478 P
02/27-01 99 47 23  1 91   S  3  3 3 1   W 32  1606  SE  7 10488 P
02/27-02 99 47 23  0 91   S  3  3 3 1   W 31  1329  SE  6  6499 P
02/27-03 99 47 23  0 90 SSW  3  3 3 1   W 32  1296 SSE  5  5408 P
02/27-04 99 47 23  2 83  SW  3  3 3 1   W 32  1263 SSE  3  4317 P
02/27-05 91 43 20  3 83  SW  3  3 3 1   W 32  1230   S  3  3226 P
02/27-06 91 43 20  3 88 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 33  1139   S  2  2887 P
02/27-07 91 43 20  3 96 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 33  1048   S  2  2548 P
02/27-08 91 43 20  4100 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 33   957 SSW  2  2210 P
02/27-09 91 43 20  8 94   W  3  3 3 1   W 35  1732 SSW  5  9635 P
02/27-10 91 43 20 14 77 WNW  5  5 2 1   W 36  2508 WSW  7 17061 P
02/27-11 87 36 14 19 65 WNW  5  5 2 1   W 36  3283   W  8 24486 P
02/27-12 87 36 14 21 61 NNW  5  5 2 1   W 35  3442   W  9 26046 P
02/27-13 87 36 14 22 58 NNE  3  3 2 1   W 33  3600   W  9 27606 P
02/27-14 87 36 14 22 58 ENE  3  3 2 1   W 32  3759 WSW  9 29167 P
02/27-15 87 36 14 20 62   E  3  3 2 1   W 33  2993 WSW  7 20794 P
02/27-16 87 36 14 19 63 SSE  2  2 2 1   W 35  2228 WSW  5 12422 P
02/27-17 89 26  6 16 70   S  2  2 2 1   W 33  1462  SW  3  4050 P
02/27-18 89 26  6 13 79 SSW  2  2 2 1   W 30  1481 WSW  5  5518 P
02/27-19 89 26  6 10 88 WSW  3  3 3 1 WSW 26  1501 WSW  6  6987 P
02/27-20 89 26  6  8 94 WSW  3  3 3 1 WSW 23  1520 WSW  7  8455 P
02/27-21 89 26  6  7 96 WSW  3  3 3 1 WSW 23  1579 WSW  7  9768 P
02/27-22 89 26  6  6 98 WSW  5  5 3 1 WSW 23  1637 WSW  8 11082 P
02/27-23 88 22  4  6 96  SW  5  5 3 1 WSW 24  1696 WSW  8 12395 P
02/28-00 88 22  4  6 92 WSW  5  5 3 1 WSW 22  1724 WSW  8 12264 P
02/28-01 88 22  4  5 92 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 20  1752 WSW  8 12133 P
02/28-02 88 22  4  4 93   W  5  5 3 1   W 17  1780 WSW  8 12002 P
02/28-03 88 22  4  4 91   W  5  5 3 1 WSW 17  1823 WSW  7 10459 P
02/28-04 88 22  4  4 90   W  3  3 3 1 WSW 16  1867   W  6  8915 P
02/28-05 88 33 12  4 91   W  3  3 3 1 WSW 16  1911   W  5  7372 P
02/28-06 88 33 12  5 92   W  3  3 3 1 WSW 16  1765 WNW  5  6602 P
02/28-07 88 33 12  6 95  NW  3  3 3 1  SW 16  1618 NNW  5  5833 P
02/28-08 88 33 12  9 91 NNW  3  3 3 1  SW 16  1472   N  3  5063 P
02/28-09 88 33 12 13 83   N  3  3 3 1  SW 17  1878 NNE  3  6525 P
02/28-10 88 33 12 18 72  NE  5  5 3 1  SW 18  2284  NE  3  7988 P
02/28-11 93 48 24 21 68  NE  5  5 3 1 SSW 20  2690 ENE  5  9450 P
02/28-12 93 48 24 23 64  NE  6  6 3 1  SW 17  2697 ENE  5 10308 P
02/28-13 93 48 24 23 64 ENE  7  7 3 1  SW 16  2703 ENE  5 11166 P
02/28-14 93 48 24 22 67 ENE  7  7 3 1  SW 16  2710 ENE  5 12024 P
02/28-15 93 48 24 20 71 ENE  7  7 3 1 WSW 22  2543 ENE  6 11872 P
02/28-16 93 48 24 18 76 ENE  6  6 3 1 WSW 30  2375 ENE  6 11720 P
02/28-17 97 49 25 16 80 ENE  6  6 3 1 WSW 37  2208 ENE  6 11568 P
02/28-18 97 49 25 14 85 ENE  6  6 3 1 WSW 38  1941 ENE  6  9271 P
02/28-19 97 49 25 12 89   E  5  5 3 1 WSW 37  1674 ENE  5  6974 P
02/28-20 97 49 25 10 93   E  5  5 3 1 WSW 35  1407 ENE  3  4678 P
02/28-21 97 49 25 10 89   E  5  5 3 1 WSW 33  1360   E  3  4015 P
02/28-22 97 49 25 10 86   E  3  3 3 1   W 32  1313   E  3  3352 P
02/28-23 88 46 23 10 83   E  3  3 3 1   W 31  1266   E  2  2690 P
03/01-00 88 46 23 10 82 ESE  3  3 3 1   W 30  1283 ESE  2  2809 P
03/01-01 88 46 23  8 88  SE  3  3 3 1   W 29  1300   S  2  2928 P
03/01-02 88 46 23  7 92   S  2  2 3 1   W 29  1317 SSW  2  3047 P
03/01-03 88 46 23  7 92 SSW  2  2 3 1   W 30  1380 SSW  3  4516 P
03/01-04 88 46 23  7 93 WSW  2  2 3 1   W 33  1444  SW  5  5984 P
03/01-05 90 35 13  7 96   W  2  2 3 1   W 36  1507 WSW  6  7453 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...DANKERS
REQUESTED BY...TODD RUZICKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150226.EMERA.01/BOU



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