Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 251516
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for ELKHORN CREEK...NATURE CONSERVANCY
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
915 AM MDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MDT on September 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Cool and moist upslope flow pattern is expected to
continue through most of the week. Showers will increase this
afternoon, mainly between 1400 and 1800. Colder overnight
temperatures are expected with clear skies, which may lead to fog
early tomorrow morning. Slightly warmer Tuesday with less shower
coverage, then another weather system will bring more precipitation
to the area Wednesday and Thursday. It doesn`t look to dry out
sufficiently until next week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Increasing clouds. Scattered rain showers after
                    1400.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 25 percent in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 15 percent late
                    in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........68%.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5-6 mph.
Mixing height.......3900-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 2400, then partly
                    cloudy(35-45%). Scattered rain showers until
                    2100, then isolated rain showers until 2400.
CWR.................10 percent decreasing to 0 percent late in the
                    evening.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 28.
Max humidity........100%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 4-5 mph until 2100, then
                    variable up to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......1500-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph until 2400, then west.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(30-40%).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........50%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4-5 mph until 1200, then east
                    6-7 mph.
Mixing height.......3600-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph until 1200, then southeast.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the mid 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Southeast winds 5-6 mph.


Fire Weather Table for ELKHORN CREEK.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

09/25-10 76  2  1 37 80  SE  5  5 2 1         2936  SW  3  8582 P
09/25-11 82  5  1 40 73 ESE  6  6 2 1         4167 SSW  5 15143 P
09/25-12 79 17  9 44 71   E  7  7 2 1         5397   S  5 23455 P
09/25-13 83 27 13 44 69   E  7  7 3 1         5132   S  5 22212 P
09/25-14 89 37 20 45 68   E  6  6 3 1         4867   S  5 20978 P
09/25-15 90 47 23 45 71 ENE  6  6 3 1         4601   S  5 19754 P
09/25-16 87 47 28 45 72   E  6  6 3 1         4203 SSE  6 19197 P
09/25-17 88 45 23 44 76   E  6  6 3 1         3805 SSE  6 18421 P
09/25-18 87 40 19 43 79 ESE  6  6 2 1         3406 SSE  6 17426 P
09/25-19 73 27 10 41 82 ESE  5  5 3 1         3049 SSE  6 16388 P
09/25-20 67 24  5 38 92 ESE  5  5 3 1         2693 SSE  7 15165 P
09/25-21 71 21  4 36 96 ESE  3  3 3 1         2336 SSE  7 13758 P
09/25-22 69 14  3 34100  SE  2  2 3 1         2228   S  6 10712 P
09/25-23 69  7  1 34100 SSE  2  2 3 1         2120 SSW  5  7900 P
09/26-00 47  0  0 34100 SSW  2  2 3 1         2012  SW  3  5322 P
09/26-01 47  0  0 34 96 SSW  2  2 3 1         1881 WSW  3  6033 P
09/26-02 47  0  0 34 96 WSW  2  2 3 1         1750   W  5  6596 P
09/26-03 31  0  0 33 96   W  2  2 2 1         1619   W  5  7013 P
09/26-04 31  1  0 31 92   W  2  2 2 1         1469   W  6  7261 P
09/26-05 31  2  0 30 88   W  3  3 2 1         1319 WNW  7  7325 P
09/26-06 35  2  0 29 85   W  6  6 2 1         1169 WNW  7  7207 P
09/26-07 35  2  0 32 82   W  5  5 2 1         1437  NW  6  7820 P
09/26-08 35  2  0 36 72   W  2  2 2 1         1704   N  6  8047 P
09/26-09 35  2  0 40 65   W  2  2 2 1         1972   N  5  8485 P
09/26-10 35  2  0 44 58  SW  3  3 2 1         2817 NNE  5 12220 P
09/26-11 35  2  0 47 54  SE  5  5 2 1         3663 ENE  5 16013 P
09/26-12 39  2  0 50 50   E  6  6 2 1         4508   E  5 19865 P
09/26-13 39  2  0 51 50   E  7  7 2 1         4560   E  6 21466 P
09/26-14 39  2  0 52 50 ESE  8  8 2 1         4612 ESE  6 23097 P
09/26-15 39  2  0 52 52 ESE  8 13 2 1         4664  SE  6 24760 P
09/26-16 39  2  0 52 54 ESE  8 14 2 1         4341  SE  7 24229 P
09/26-17 39  2  0 51 58 ESE  8 14 2 1         4017  SE  7 23520 P
09/26-18 49  3  1 49 63 ESE  8 13 2 1         3693  SE  7 22634 P
09/26-19 49  3  1 45 74 ESE  7  7 2 1         3015  SE  8 19943 P
09/26-20 49  3  1 41 86  SE  6  6 2 1         2338  SE  8 16595 P
09/26-21 49  3  1 38 96  SE  5  5 2 1         1660  SE  9 12590 P
09/26-22 49  3  1 37 98 SSE  5  5 2 1         1546 SSE  9 11977 P
09/26-23 49  3  1 37 96   S  5  5 2 1         1431 SSE  9 11326 P
09/27-00 40  4  1 37 92   S  5  5 2 1         1317 SSE  9 10637 P
09/27-01 40  4  1 38 85 SSW  3  3 2 1         1237 SSE  8  9021 P
09/27-02 40  4  1 38 82 SSW  3  3 2 1         1158 SSE  8  7529 P
09/27-03 40  4  1 37 82 SSW  2  2 2 1         1078   S  7  6163 P
09/27-04 40  4  1 36 83 SSW  2  2 2 1         1092   S  6  5975 P
09/27-05 40  4  1 35 85 SSW  3  3 2 1         1106   S  6  5780 P
09/27-06 35  2  0 35 85 SSW  3  3 2 1         1120   S  6  5577 P
09/27-07 35  2  0 37 81   S  3  3 2 1         1335 SSE  6  7171 P
09/27-08 35  2  0 40 75 SSE  2  2 2 1         1550 SSE  7  8933 P
09/27-09 35  2  0 43 70  SE  2  2 2 1         1766  SE  7 10864 P
09/27-10 35  2  0 47 64  SE  3  3 2 1         2147  SE  7 13278 P
09/27-11 35  2  0 49 63 ESE  6  6 2 1         2528  SE  7 15716 P
09/27-12 56 14  3 52 59 ESE  7  7 2 2         2910  SE  7 18179 P
09/27-13 56 14  3 54 56 ESE  8 13 2 2         3157  SE  7 18209 P
09/27-14 56 14  3 55 54 ESE  8 13 2 2         3405 ESE  6 18002 P
09/27-15 56 14  3 55 55 ESE  8 13 2 2         3652 ESE  6 17558 P
09/27-16 56 14  3 54 58 ESE  8 13 2 2         3445 ESE  7 20447 P
09/27-17 56 14  3 51 65 ESE  7  7 2 2         3238  SE  8 22868 P
09/27-18 66 19  4 49 71 ESE  7  7 2 3         3030  SE  9 24821 P
09/27-19 70 19  4 45 82 ESE  7  7 2 3         2782  SE 10 24697 P
09/27-20 77 19  4 42 91  SE  6  6 2 3         2535  SE 12 24233 P
09/27-21 80 19  4 40 96  SE  6  6 2 1         2287 SSE 12 23430 P
09/27-22 76 19  4 39 98  SE  5  5 2 1         1974 SSE 10 17992 P
09/27-23 67 19  4 38100  SE  5  5 2 1         1660 SSE  9 13261 P
09/28-00 62 21  4 38100  SE  3  3 2 1         1347 SSE  8  9238 P
09/28-01 65 21  4 39 96  SE  2  2 2 1         1290 SSE  7  7707 P
09/28-02 72 21  4 39 97  SE  2  2 2 1         1232 SSE  6  6279 P
09/28-03 75 21  4 38100  SE  2  2 2 1         1174  SE  5  4951 P
09/28-04 72 21  4 38 96 ESE  2  2 2 1         1210  SE  6  5487 P
09/28-05 65 21  4 37 95   E  2  2 2 1         1246 ESE  6  6045 P
09/28-06 62 26  6 37 92   E  3  3 2 1         1281 ESE 6

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN
REQUESTED BY...Titus
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1716212.0/BOU


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