Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 191205
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
605 AM MDT TUE AUG 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY WILL BE WARMER AND DRIER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. HUMIDITIES
WILL FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT BY MID AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL FALLOW
TERRAIN INFLUENCES WITH DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON IN THE MORNING THEN
TURN UPSLOPE/UPCANYON BY LATE MORNING AS THE SLOPE HEATS UP. SOME
GUSTS OF 20 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THE BETTER CHANCE OF
THAT WILL BE DURING THE EVENING. STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS. WEDNESDAY WILL BE COOLER...WITH HIGHER
HUMIDITY AND A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE PATTERN WILL
TURN COOLER STILL AND POTENTIALLY QUITE A BIT WETTER FOR THE END
OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. TWH


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 4 TO 12 THROUGH MID
                    MORNING. WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPCANYON
                    6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY LATE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................4...16 TO 25 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................4...16 TO 25 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 4 TO 12 THROUGH MID
                    MORNING. WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPCANYON
                    6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY LATE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

$$
FORECASTER...HUMPHREY
REQUESTED BY...MIKE ORTNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140819.BEAVE.01/BYZ


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