Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL

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FNUS73 KDVN 211147
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR LCC OFFICE PRAIRIE...LOUISA COUNTY CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
647 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. AHEAD
OF THE FRONT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS MOST NUMEROUS DURING THE AFTERNOON. DRY
CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN ON TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE MIDWEST.

THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX -GFDI- DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR
PRECIPITATION THAT OCCURS OR ANY SNOW ON THE GROUND. PLEASE
MAKE APPROPRIATE ADJUSTMENTS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........UNEXPECTED WIND SHIFTS POSSIBLE WITH ANY
                    CONVECTION. A MORE SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFT TO
                    THE NORTHWEST WILL OCCUR WITH THE PASSAGE OF
                    THE COLD FRONT IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 23
                    TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............68     73     74     72     69
RH..............61     55     55     57     61
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 5    SW 6   W 7    W 8    NW 7
EYE LVL WND GST.       10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   4100   4100   3800   3600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12   SW 13  SW 16  W 21   NW 25
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NORTHWEST BECOMING NORTH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 31 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PIERCE
REQUESTED BY...KATIE HAMMOND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.LCCOF.01/DVN





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