Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FNUS74 KFWD 191947
FWSFWD

SPOT FORECAST FOR FT  WOLTERS P BURN...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
147 PM CST WED NOV 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1350 CST ON NOVEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AS OF 130 PM...THE FRONT WAS MOVING VERY SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST
(AT LESS THAN 10 MPH) AND WAS LOCATED IN BETWEEN WICHITA FALLS AND
BOWIE. AT ITS CURRENT RATE...THE FRONT IS UNLIKELY TO MAKE IT AS
FAR SOUTH AS THE BURN LOCATION. AS A RESULT...WINDS ARE LIKELY TO
REMAIN LIGHT AND OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH SUNSET...BECOMING
LIGHT AND SOUTHEASTERLY AFTER SUNSET. WINDS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED
TO REMAIN AT 5 MPH OR LESS THROUGH THIS EVENING. IF ANYTHING
CHANGES ON SITE...PLEASE FEEL FREE TO CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ANY
TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200-2700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX HAINES INDEX....4 (LOW).

TIME (CST)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........19     19     19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     63     61
RH..............35     31     36
20 FT WIND......SW 7   SW 6   W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   2700   1200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9   SW 9   SW 3
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
MAX HAINES INDEX....5 (MODERATE).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........12     17     21     26     32     38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     53     47     43     41     39
RH..............42     50     63     73     79     89
20 FT WIND......S 2    SE 2   SE 3   SE 3   S 2    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....400    200    200    100    100    100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5   E 8    E 9    SE 9   S 7    S 7
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3500-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX HAINES INDEX....4 (LOW).

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........44     44     43     43     44     46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............39     41     53     63     68     68
RH..............89     89     66     54     47     49
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 2    S 4    S 7    S 8    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....100    200    1000   2400   4100   3500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    S 5    S 8    S 17   S 21   S 18
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...CAVANAUGH
REQUESTED BY...MARY LEATHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141119.FTWOL.03/FWD





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