Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 042002
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BATTLEMENTS...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
202 PM MDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN THURSDAY WITH SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. A DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BE LARGELY TERRAIN DRIVEN
THURSDAY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING FRIDAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE CENTER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH
1000... BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH BY 1200 MDT. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE
DISPERSAL.....POOR (30800 KNOT-FT)...BECOMING FAIR BY 1000
MDT...INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1200 MDT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL BY
1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SMOKE
DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (19000 KNOT-FT) BY 2000 MDT. HAINES
INDEX........4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO
1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) AND COOLER. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 1000...
                    THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (16100-31900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN METZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.BATTL.01/GJT



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