Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS72 KILM 161349
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for F066 & F068b...North Carolina Forest Service
National Weather Service WILMINGTON NC
849 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on January 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will dissipate across the Carolinas today. A
cold front will move across the area Wednesday bringing a mix of
rain and snow with small accumulations possible inland. Cold and
dry arctic air will build into area Wednesday night and
Thursday. Temperatures should moderate over the weekend as high
pressure moves off the Southeast coast. Rain chances could
return Monday with the next cold front.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...none.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Max Mixing Hgt......2800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 1 to 9 mph, becoming northwest 3 to 8 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Max Vent Rate.......22540 mph-ft.
Max LVORI...........7.
Max ADI.............28.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   5   7   9   11  16  22  27  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............30  36  42  45  48  50  52  51  48
RH..............67  55  45  41  37  34  33  35  41
CHC Pcpn (%)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..0   1   1   1   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.8 1.9
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  N   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   6   3   5   7   8   7
Haines Index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VR MPH-FT*1000..6   10  12  11  8   12  18  23  13
Stability.......B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B   B
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............8   13  15  14  10  14  23  28  17

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Min Mixing Hgt......300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 1 to 3 mph.
Min Vent Rate.......345 mph-ft.
Max LVORI...........7.
Min ADI.............1.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........38  43  43  44  44  44  45  45  52  59  66  72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  40  37  35  34  33  33  32  33  34  35  35
RH..............51  64  73  79  84  87  89  90  86  82  80  79
CHC Pcpn (%)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  E   E   SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Haines Index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4
VR MPH-FT*1000..4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Stability.......G   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
LVORI...........2   3   4   4   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   6
ADI.............2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Lebo
Requested by...Aaron Levine
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800418.0/ILM
.EMAIL aaron.levine@ncagr.gov



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