Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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656
FNUS73 KLMK 231254
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for HQ Burn 2017...Kentucky Dept. of Fish & Wildlife
National Weather Service Louisville, KY
854 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and mild weather is expected today and Friday as high pressure
near Lake Erie moves east, giving way to southerly return flow.
Shallow mixing and light transport winds will limit dispersion
today. Relative humidities will bottom out around 29-30 percent
this afternoon. A southerly flow and light moisture advection will
limit dry air mix down this afternoon.

An area of low pressure will bring showers and storms to
the Ohio Valley this weekend. Expect mild temperatures and
multiple opportunities for rain next week as a progressive pattern
sets up.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Temperature.........42 at ignition...Max 62.
RH..................37 percent at ignition...Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 300-2100 ft
                    AGL increasing to 2800-4100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /15200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /49800 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................8 increasing to 38.
DSI.................2.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  39  43  47  56  64  73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............42  48  52  56  59  61  62
RH..............37  33  31  30  29  30  31
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.1 2.8 3.4 3.9 4.1 3.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  12  12  12  13  14  14
Dispersion......2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........2   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............23  29  35  40  35  39  38
VRate kt-ft/100015  21  28  34  43  50  47

$$
Forecaster...AMS
Requested by...kyle sams
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705037.0/LMK
.EMAIL kylesams@hotmail.com



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