Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 281449
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for DRAGONFLY FIRE...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Miami FL
1049 AM EDT Sun May 28 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1100 EDT on May 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light wind will create the potential for a bit of variability
today, though a northwesterly flow is favored much of the day. The
east coast sea breeze may push close to the fire, which could
cause some brief gustiness. The sea breeze is not expected to push
across the fire currently, but it will come close and
predictability is difficult. Anyone working on the fire should be
aware that a wind shift out of the east is possible this
afternoon. Overnight, wind should become light and any smoke that
becomes trapped with the inversion could create visibility issues
in the areas around the fire. Best chances for thunderstorms
appear to be well south of the fire today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......2300-4100 ft AGL...increasing to 5000-5200 ft
                    AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....17...increasing to 53.
LVORI...............2.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

Time (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky (%).........5   5   5   7   7   7   14  14  14  12  12  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............83  86  88  90  91  93  94  93  90  86  84  83
RH..............57  52  48  44  44  44  44  46  53  60  67  68
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   NW
20 ft wind dir..230 240 280 290 300 310 310 300 280 270 290 310
20 ft wind spd..3   4   4   5   5   5   5   4   3   3   2   1
20 ft wind gust.5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 3.2 4.1 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.2 3.6 1.9 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   NW
Mixng wind spd..6   7   8   9   9   9   8   7   6   3   3   2
Dispersion idx..17  28  42  54  56  55  50  32  15  2   2   1
LVORI...........2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   3   3   3
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1900-3600 ft AGL...decreasing to 300 ft AGL
                    until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....West 1 to 7 mph.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

.MEMORIAL DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). A slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon,...then becoming light in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400,...then 2.
Mixing height.......300-1600 ft AGL...increasing to 5300-6200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 1 to 3 mph...becoming south 3 to 5
                    mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

$$
Forecaster...Garcia
Requested by...BILL BERRY
Type of request...Wildfire
.TAG 1710201.0/MFL


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