Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 171345
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Spot Forecast for BLOCK A TERRA TORCH...National Park Service
National Weather Service Miami FL
945 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on July 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Southerly flow could allow for training showers and thunderstorms
over parts of the burn site. Showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop as the day continues, with a focus over the
interior possible this afternoon. Southerly wind may swing
southwesterly until the Atlantic sea breeze passes, when it could
shift southeasterly.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). A chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................3.
Mixing height.......2100-4000 ft AGL...increasing to 2900-4400 ft
                    AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....20...increasing to 31 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

Time (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky (%).........60  69  69  69  79  79  79  80  80  80  81  81
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............84  86  87  87  87  87  86  85  84  83  82  81
RH..............78  75  72  71  69  66  68  70  74  77  80  82
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind dir..180 180 180 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 180 180
20 ft wind spd..4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   3   2
20 ft wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.4 3.9 3.4 2.9 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.3
Mixng wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Mixng wind spd..7   8   9   10  10  13  14  14  12  8   5   3
Dispersion idx..16  19  23  28  30  33  34  31  22  12  4   2
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50  50  50  30  30
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). A chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of
                    showers through the night. A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms around midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms around midnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2300,...then 2.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 12 mph...decreasing to 0 to 2 mph
                    after midnight.
Dispersion index....22...decreasing to 1.
LVORI...............5.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). A chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the
                    morning,...then showers and thunderstorms
                    likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    through early afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................2 until 0800,...then 3 until 1400,...then 4.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL...increasing to 2500-4000 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....4...increasing to 19 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

$$
Forecaster...Garcia
Requested by...PATRICK EDWARDS
Type of request...Prescribed
.TAG 1712876.0/MFL



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