Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 251259
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for COLLIER INCIDENT REQUEST...COLLIER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
National Weather Service Miami FL
859 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0900 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
West wind increasing to around 10 mph late this morning and
continue through the afternoon, with occasional gusts in the 15 to
18 mph range. Relative humidity values will drop into the low to
mid 40s range by early afternoon. These conditions are close to
red flag conditions, but will likely fall just short.
Nevertheless, decreasing humidity along with gusty winds later
today could still present fire control problems.

Light winds tonight and early Wednesday will likely cause areas of
shallow fog, especially in areas of lingering smoke, leading to
reduced visibility.

No precipitation expected for the remainder of this week. A
warming trend is expected with high temperatures forecast to reach
close to 90 degrees Thursday and Friday. Humidity values will
moderate some but still be in the 40-50 percent range during the
day. Wind is forecast to be SW around 10 mph Wednesday and
Thursday, then SE 10-15 mph on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1600-2900 ft AGL...increasing to 3800-4700 ft
                    AGL early.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....21...increasing to 40,...then increasing to 58
                    early...decreasing to 45 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Ceiling (kft).......Clear.

Time (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
Sky (%).........38  38  41  41  41  31  31  31  14  14  14  6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............71  76  78  79  81  80  81  80  79  77  75  72
RH..............63  55  49  47  45  45  45  45  47  51  56  61
20 ft wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 ft wind dir..290 280 280 280 280 280 280 270 270 270 270 270
20 ft wind spd..6   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   8   7   6   5
20 ft wind gust.10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  15  15  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.9 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.4 4.1 3.8 2.7 1.5 0.4
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..10  13  15  15  15  15  14  14  14  13  12  10
Dispersion idx..21  40  56  60  59  48  44  42  46  38  23  7
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   3
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening...becoming
                    light.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1500-2700 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-400 ft AGL
                    until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 13 mph...becoming south 2 to 3 mph
                    after midnight,...then becoming east around 2
                    mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....38...decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......Clear...increasing to 25000 early in the
                    morning.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph
                    early.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......300-1600 ft AGL...increasing to 4500-5200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 6 mph...becoming southwest 8 to 14
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....2...increasing to 11 late in the
                    morning,...then increasing to 30...increasing
                    to 53 early...increasing to 63...decreasing to
                    53 late in the afternoon...decreasing to 43.
LVORI...............6.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

$$
Forecaster...Molleda
Requested by...RICK ZYVOLOSKI
Type of request...Wildfire
.TAG 1707335.6/MFL



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