Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 211358
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTLER SALMON SITE PREP...USFS/KLAMATH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
658 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AFTER A FEW MORNING SHOWERS...A MOSTLY CLOUDY DRY DAY
IS EXPECTED AT THE BURNSITE. TERRAIN DRIVEN UPCANYON FLOW WILL OCCUR
DURING THE DAY WITH DOWNCANYON AT NIGHT. A FRONT WILL BRING A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. LATEST MODELS SUGGEST THAT
WETTING RAINS WON`T AFFECT THE BURN SITE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BUT WETTING
RAINS WILL REACH THE BURN SITE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE
ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE FRONT...WITH GUSTY TO STRONG
SOUTHWEST WINDS ON THE RIDGES AND UPPER SLOPES. LOWER TO MID SLOPES
SHOULD REMAIN SHELTERED FROM THE STRONGEST WINDS BUT SHOULD
STILL BECOME GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING
RAINS TO THE BURN SITE ON FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPCANYON WEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 6 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNCANYON EAST WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPCANYON WITH SOME INFLUENCE OF SOUTHWEST GENERAL
                    WIND...COMBINING FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...ERIC GREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141023.BUTLE.01/MFR







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