National Weather Service Text Product Display

Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
000
FNUS72 KMHX 231134
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-33...CAMP LEJEUNE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
734 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE THROUGH TODAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST TODAY AND CROSS THE
CAROLINAS ON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND THEN SHIFT OFF THE COAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

VERY LITTLE IF ANY SUN IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............86     82     79     77
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................74     76     77     77
RH..................82     76     74     74
20 FT WIND..........S 9    S 11   S 11   S 11
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     20     20     20
LVORI...............3      3      3      3
ADI.................28     53     54     48
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............75     73     66     58     52     50
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................75     73     70     69     68     67
RH..................79     84     90     93     93     97
20 FT WIND..........S 9    S 8    S 8    SW 8   SW 8   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     15     15
LVORI...............3      4      5      5      5      6
ADI.................34     16     12     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX........3      4      3      3      3      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 21 TO 23
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............48     47     52     54     55     43
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............CHANCE
TEMP................67     69     73     76     77     76
RH..................93     87     68     58     50     48
20 FT WIND..........W 6    W 6    W 7    W 10   NW 12  NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     20     25     20
LVORI...............6      5      3      1      1      1
ADI.................9      9      12     33     64     74
HAINES INDEX........4      3      3      3      3      4

$$

FORECASTER...AUSTIN
REQUESTED BY...KYLE AVESING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130523.C33__.01/MHX
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
