Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 281151
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD 50  WAS NO NAME...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
751 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0722 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS AT THE BURN SITE WILL VEER TO
THE WEST SOUTHWEST BY LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. WHILE
A SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER NOON, THE OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL LIKELY KEEP THE BOUNDARY EAST OF INTERSTATE 95.

SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL MARCH FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE PENINSULA AND COULD IMPACT THE BURN SITE FROM MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS BETWEEN
35 TO 40 MPH REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREAT IN THIS AFTERNOON`S STORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY THIS
                    AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM MID TO LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING WEST 7 TO 9 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1600...THEN 2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3900 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........10  10  20  20  30  40  40  50  50  50  50
WEATHER COV.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....                TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............73  76  80  83  85  87  89  89  88  85  82
RH..............100 97  87  79  72  67  63  59  65  72  79
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   5   6   7   8   8   9   9   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.    7                   10  10  10
LVORI...........7   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AROUND SUNRISE BECOMING 300 FT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 NEAR SUNRISE DECREASING TO 2 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 7 AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........71  71  77  77  77  77  77  77  58  58  58  58
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............79  77  74  74  74  74  74  74  74  74  74  74
RH..............79  85  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  93
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2 UNTIL 1800...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 17
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........58     64     64     64     75     75
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............74     75     80     84     87     86
RH..............93     94     82     74     65     65
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 5   SW 9   SW 12  SW 12  SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.              10
LVORI...........7      6      3      3      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...ULRICH
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160928.OLD50.01/MLB



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