Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 261617
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DAUPHIN ISLAND BIRD SANCTUARY...ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1017 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE PRESSURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE
WESTERN GULF CAUSES MODERATE TO STRONG MIXED LAYER NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS TODAY. WINDS TO TREND LOWER THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY
TUESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...OVERNIGHT FOG NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 TO 3400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 32 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60 TO 65 EARLY (GENERALLY GOOD).
LVORI...............DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....D BECOMING C LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........42     42     42     31     31     31
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............49     45     51     55     57     57
RH................66     78     63     55     51     51
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     NW     NW     NNW    NNW    NNW
20 FT WIND SPD....14     14     18     17     17     14
20 FT WIND GUST...22     22     23     26     26     23
MIX HGT (FT)......3400   3400   3000   3100   3100   3100
MIX HGT (M).......1040   1040   910    940    940    940
TRANSP WIND DIR...NW     NW     NNW    NNW    NNW    NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...32     32     25     23     23     20
TRANS SPD (M/S)...14     14     11     10     10     9
DISPERSION........63     63     61     57     57     48
LVORI.............2      2      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...D      D      D      D      D      C
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 17 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....20. (GENERALLY POOR)
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING D EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........21     21     21     19     19     19
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............54     52     51     50     49     49
RH................57     61     66     69     71     74
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     NW     WNW    WNW    WNW    W
20 FT WIND SPD....14     14     14     14     14     16
20 FT WIND GUST...21     21     21     23     23     25
MIX HGT (FT)......2300   2300   2000   1600   1600   1500
MIX HGT (M).......700    700    610    490    490    460
TRANSP WIND DIR...NW     NW     WNW    W      W      W
TRANSP WIND SPD...17     17     18     21     21     22
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8      8      8      9      9      10
DISPERSION........18     18     19     20     20     21
LVORI.............2      2      3      3      3      3
STABILITY CLASS...E      E      E      E      E      D
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....34. (FAIR).
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....D BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........7      7      7      5      5      5
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............48     50     56     60     62     62
RH................77     74     61     54     52     54
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      WNW    NW     NW     NNW
20 FT WIND SPD....16     16     14     11     11     10
20 FT WIND GUST...26     26     22                   17
MIX HGT (FT)......1300   1300   1600   2000   2000   2000
MIX HGT (M).......400    400    490    610    610    610
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W      WNW    NW     NW     NNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...22     22     18     15     15     16
TRANS SPD (M/S)...10     10     8      7      7      7
DISPERSION........31     31     33     37     37     35
LVORI.............3      3      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...D      D      C      C      C      C
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...10
REQUESTED BY...BENJI ELMORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150127.DAUPH.01/MOB







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