Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 021229
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR I-3 EGLIN...E.N.R.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
729 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0725 CDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH DISPERSIONS AROUND 75 EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON
OVER THE BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC TO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM AROUND 90 TO THE MID 90S COMBINED
WITH ELEVATED WINDS THROUGH DEEP MIXED LAYERS WILL RESULT IN HIGH
DISPERSIONS ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG AND
ERRATIC WIND GUSTS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TODAY
AND FRIDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...WIDESPREAD FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 41.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........M      M      M      M      M
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............77     83     87     89     88
RH................M      M      M      M      M
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      7      7      9      9
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......1400   3200   3200   5000   4800
MIX HGT (M).......430    980    980    1520   1460
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    W      W      W      WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     13     13     14     14
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      6      6      6      6
DISPERSION........18     40     40     42     40
LVORI.............4      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............40     40     40     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 12.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 8.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........69     49     49     49     49     49
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............86     81     77     76     75     74
RH................66     77     89     95     98     100
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    SW     SW     SW     SW     WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....9      8      8      8      7      6
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......4800   2800   1700   1700   700    900
MIX HGT (M).......1460   850    520    520    210    270
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    SSW    SW     SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...14     12     10     10     9      10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      5      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........40     16     11     11     8      9
LVORI.............1      4      5      5      8      8
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      E      E      E      F
CWR...............30     10     10     10     10     10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5800 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 75.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........49     58     58     58     46     46
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............74     80     85     89     92     92
RH................100    81     67     58     53     53
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    SW
20 FT WIND SPD....6      5      6      6      8      9
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......900    1200   3700   3700   6200   5800
MIX HGT (M).......270    370    1130   1130   1890   1770
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     WSW    W      W      W      WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     13     14     14     14     17
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      6      6      6      6      8
DISPERSION........9      19     49     49     63     75
LVORI.............8      3      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150702.I3EGL.01/MOB



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