Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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911
FNUS74 KMOB 161129
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BSW06...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
529 AM CST MON JAN 16 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM AND MOIST SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY WITH GENERALLY GOOD TO
GOOD DISPERSIONS. THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS RELATIVE
HUMIDITY REMAINS WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY
                   (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO AROUND 4900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...INCREASING TO AROUND 1500 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 6 TO 7 METERS/SECOND IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 65.
LVORI...............4.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........64  54  54  54  55  56  56  57
WEATHER COV.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............69  72  75  77  77  76  74  70
RH..............63  59  55  54  54  58  62  73
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   8   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 3.6 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8
MIX HGT (M).....0.7 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  14  15  16  16  15  14  13
TRANS WIND DIR..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANS SPD (M/S).5   6   7   7   7   7   6   6
DISPERSION IDX..33  50  65  67  65  65  54  43
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-335 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............7.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........58  59  61  63  64  66  67  68  68  68  68  69
WEATHER COV.....                        PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....                        FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............67  65  63  62  61  60  59  59  59  59  59  59
RH..............81  87  93  97  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10      5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
MIX HGT (M).....0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  9   8   8   8   8   9   9   8   8   8   8
TRANS WIND DIR..S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANS SPD (M/S).4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
DISPERSION IDX..7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........4   5   6   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...INCREASING TO 1000-1300 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 64.
LVORI...............4.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........69  69  69  68  68  68  68  68  69  70  71  71
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............60  62  64  67  70  73  76  78  79  78  76  72
RH..............96  93  90  81  76  68  62  58  56  58  62  71
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   5   6   7   8   8   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.2 1.4 2.1 2.7 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.9
MIX HGT (M).....0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   9   12  13  14  15  16  16  15  14  12
TRANS WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).4   4   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   6   5
DISPERSION IDX..7   9   14  20  33  44  55  56  64  64  58  47
LVORI...........7   6   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   2

$$
FORECASTER...21
REQUESTED BY...MARY OWEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700428.0/MOB
.EMAIL MAOWEN@FS.FED.US



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