Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 231746
FWSOUN

Spot Forecast for Daisy Ranch...Choctaw Nation of Oklahoma
National Weather Service Norman OK
1146 AM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on February 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Expect northwest winds around 10 to 15 mph at ignition time, with
similar speeds continuing until evening. Relative humidities will
be around 25 to 45 percent, but with temperatures mainly in the
upper 50s to lower 60s.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent cloud cover).
Temperature.........55 at ignition...Max 63.
RH..................43 percent at ignition...Min 26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 10 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 10 to 13
                    mph.
Mixing height.......100-1600 ft AGL increasing to 5600 ft AGL at
                    ignition...otherwise 5600-7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (300-35300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent /91800 KNOT-FT/ AT ignition.
                    MAX...excellent /101500 knot-ft/ in the late
                    morning and afternoon, then decreasing to good
                    (43000 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........5      2      4      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............55     59     63     57
RH..............43     34     26     33
20 FT WIND......NW 12  NW 13  W 13   NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....5600   6400   7300   6400
MIX HGT (M).....1710   1950   2230   1950
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 20  NW 22  NW 23  NW 12
TRANSP WIND DIR.310    310    300    310
TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 9   NW 10  NW 10  NW 5
VRATE KTFT/1000.92     98     74     43

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........Min 30.
RH..................Max 69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL decreasing to 700-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (17800-30100 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........2      2      1      1      1      1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............55     48     43     39     36     34
RH..............35     44     49     54     59     61
20 FT WIND......NW 9   NW 8   N 8    N 8    N 8    N 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   1700   700    1200   1500   1400
MIX HGT (M).....1520   520    210    370    460    430
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7   N 10   N 16   N 18   N 20   N 18
TRANSP WIND DIR.320    340    350    000    000    000
TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 3   N 4    N 7    N 8    N 9    N 8
VRATE KTFT/1000.30     21     19     20     18     18

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Max 52.
RH..................Min 26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 9 mph until late afternoon
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......1300-2900 ft AGL increasing to 3400-5100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon, then decreasing to 1700 ft
                    AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 9 mph until late afternoon becoming
                    light.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3500-24700 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........1         1         4         1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............30        35        45        52
RH..............69        52        35        26
20 FT WIND......N 7G10    N 9G15    N 7G10    N 5
MIX HGT (FT)....1300      2100      3400      5100
MIX HGT (M).....400       640       1040      1550
TRANSPORT WIND..N 16      N 15      N 8       N 1
TRANSP WIND DIR.000       010       010       340
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 7       N 7       N 4       N 0
VRATE KTFT/1000.18        23        24        13

$$
Forecaster...SHARPE
Requested by...Scott Hamlet
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702729.0/OUN
.EMAIL shamlet@choctawnation.com



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