Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FNUS73 KPAH 091551
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOCCASIN SPRINGS UNIT...MO DNR MSP TOT SP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
951 AM CST FRI DEC 9 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON DECEMBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

COLD CANADIAN  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER
FEATURE THROUGH SATUDAY. NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS TO THE REGION SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........27 AT IGNITION...MAX 30.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-4100
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.

TIME (CST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR  MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0      0      0      0
TEMP............27     29     30     27
RH..............55     47     42     51
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     NW     NW     N
20 FT WIND SPD..5      5      5      3
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   4100   3900   3700
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW     NW     NW     N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8      7      6      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 18.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 3 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............25     22     21     22     21     19
RH..............60     71     74     71     74     80
20 FT WIND DIR..N      NE     E      SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2      2      2      1      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5                           5
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   3600   2800   1600   1400   1200
TRANSP WIND DIR.N      NE     E      SE     S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD.3      2      2      2      3      3
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 36.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1800-3400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 7 TO 13 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............18     22     28     34     36     35
RH..............84     74     58     45     42     45
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..2      3      6      7      7      7
20 FT WIND GUST.       5
MIX HGT (FT)....800    1000   2000   3100   3400   2500
TRANSP WIND DIR.S      S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD.3      7      9      9      13     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...STEVE SCHELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1604077.0/PAH
.EMAIL STEVE.SCHELL@DNR.MO.GOV



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