Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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000
FNUS73 KPAH 301506
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR DENNISON HOLLOW...USFS SHAWNEE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1006 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 30.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS DIRECTLY OVER OUR REGION TODAY...
BRINGING SUNSHINE...LOW HUMIDITY...AND LIGHT WINDS.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS OUR REGION
ON TUESDAY. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT...BUT RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER.

ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WINDS WILL TURN INTO THE SOUTH.
THE SOUTH WINDS WILL BRING WARMER AIR ALONG WITH MORE MOISTURE
...WHICH MAY CAUSE A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

GOOD DISPERSION BY 11 AM.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........18  20  19  16  14  13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58  60  60  62  63  63
RH..............40  36  36  32  31  31
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  W   W   W   SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.            10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........14     18     26     32     25     14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............62     57     53     51     49     48
RH..............33     43     52     59     68     74
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 5   S 5    SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.                     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........22     27     24     29     27     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............47     46     54     62     69     71
RH..............76     89     75     59     46     37
20 FT WIND......SW 7   SW 8   W 9    W 8    W 8    NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...NATE HEIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150330.DENNI.01/PAH



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