Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 271023
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for SGL 141 Unit 9...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
623 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move across the area tonight into Friday morning.
A backdoor cold front will move across the area Saturday into
Saturday night. This front will remain to our south on Sunday, then
return as a warm front on Sunday night. Another cold front is
expected on Monday night, with a secondary front or surface trough
Tuesday. Another cold front is possible Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind shift..........Gradual shift from SE to S through the day
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-2800 ft AGL...increasing to 3300-3800 ft
                    AGL late.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  69  65  62  59  55  58  60  62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............59  62  65  66  68  69  70  71  72
RH..............87  78  70  70  65  63  61  61  59
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.        10  10  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.3 3.7 3.8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the late evening and early morning...then a
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late.
CWR.................increasing to 40 percent in the late
                    evening...decreasing to 20 percent early Friday
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 2000...then 1-8 strikes until
                    2200...then 9-15 strikes until 0400...then 1-8
                    strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind shift..........Shift to westerly is expected before sunrise
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds possible near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......1300-3100 ft AGL...decreasing to 0-800 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........64  66  68  72  75  78  82  85  88  83  78  73
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  20  20  30  40  40  40  30  30  20  20
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  30  40  40  40  30  30  20  20
LAL.............1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
Temp............71  70  69  67  66  64  63  62  61  60  60  59
RH..............61  63  66  70  73  78  81  87  90  90  87  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
CWR.................20 percent...decreasing to 10 percent in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0800...then No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind shift..........W to SW in the afternoon
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds possible near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......200-1600 ft AGL...increasing to 4100-5000 ft
                    AGL.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68  63  58  53  48  43  41  38  36  36  36  36
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
CWR.............20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............59  59  59  61  63  66  68  71  73  74  75  74
RH..............87  87  83  75  67  58  51  42  37  35  34  34
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.    10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.1 3.9 4.6 5.0 5.0 4.6 4.1

$$
Forecaster...Johnson
Requested by...Bob Bale
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707840.0/PHI
.EMAIL bob.bale@gmail.com


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