Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
000
FNUS75 KPUB 301501
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for ALVARADO PILES...USFS
National Weather Service PUEBLO CO
901 AM MDT Thu Mar 30 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on March 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

At this time it looks like chances for accumulating precipitation will
hold off until mid to late morning on Friday, and then there will be
good chances for precipitation through Saturday.  At this time, one
forecast model shows the potential for 9 to 12 inches at the burn site
between Friday afternoon and Saturday evening, while another forecast
models is showing around 4 inches during that time-frame.  So, at
this time there is some uncertainty as to how much snow will fall
in the area.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny(52 PERCENT).
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....43-48F.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 3-6 mph until 1200...then west 10-15 mph with
                    gusts up to 25 mph until 1600, then southwest around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000. good after 1100.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(63 PERCENT) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy(41 PERCENT). Isolated showers
                    after 2000 until 0200, then scattered showers.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....27-32F.
Max humidity........65-70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft agl until 2100, then 1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100, then poor until 2200, then
                    fair until 0200, then poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny(65 PERCENT) until 1500, then
                    mostly cloudy. Scattered showers possible
                    between after 0900, then numerous showers.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....33-38F.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........variable 3-6 mph until 0900, then becoming east
                    10-15 mph with gusts 20-25 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1000, then 5500 ft agl until
                    1500, then 4000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1000, then
                    good until 1100, then very good until 1200,
                    then excellent until 1300, then very good until
                    1400, then good until 1500, then fair.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...EVENSON
Requested by...ALFONSO MONTOYA
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705415.1/PUB


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.