Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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000
FNUS75 KPUB 232126
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUNT CREEK RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
320 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN COLORADO. A QUICK MOVING STORM
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN COLORADO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
INCREASING WINDS AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM WILL INCREASE FIRE
DANGER ON SUNDAY. CURRENT FORECAST HAS GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF
15 TO 30 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THOUGH HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL SLIGHTLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S...AND WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE SLOWLY INCREASING...COULD SEE MIN RHS SLIGHTLY ABOVE
RED FLAG CRITERIA IN THE 15 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. HOWEVER...WILL
NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR UPCOMING FORECASTS FOR THIS PERIOD.
MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND MOUNTAIN SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE
REGION MONDAY.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH UNTIL
                    1000...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH WITH
                    LOCAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44F.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH UNTIL
                    1800...THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...JAY KARLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.TROUN.01/PUB



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