Suppression Forecast
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000
FNUS72 KTAE 210738
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for ARWEA Bloody Bluff (North)...FWC
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
238 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A slow-moving low pressure system will approach from the west
today, bringing with it increasing rain chances this afternoon.
While the bulk of the rain will not arrive until tonight, there
will be some scattered showers in this region this afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 15 mph increasing to 18 to 20
                    mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 31.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  73  78  83  85  87  90  93  96
Weather cov.....                CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  68  69  70  71  70  70  69  69
RH..............87  84  81  78  76  78  78  84  84
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  13  14  14  14  14  13  12  10
20 FT wind gust.15  20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.12  15  18  18  20  20  20  18  18
Dispersion......12  20  27  29  34  33  32  29  27
LVORI...........5   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Chance of rain early
                    in the evening, then rain.
CWR.................50 percent increasing to 90 percent in the
                    evening, then decreasing to 80 percent after
                    midnight.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......800-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 18 mph shifting to the east 8
                    to 10 mph after midnight.
Dispersion index....25 decreasing to 10.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........99  100 100 100 100 100 99  99  99  99  99  98
Weather cov.....CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50  90  90  90  90  90  90  80  80  80  80  80
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  68  67  66  65  64  64  63  63  63  62  62
RH..............87  87  87  90  90  93  93  97  93  93  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  9   10  12  12  9   7   5   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.18  16  16  16  14  14  14  8   8   8   10  10
Dispersion......25  14  14  14  12  12  10  6   6   7   8   8
LVORI...........4   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain early in
                    the morning, then rain likely in the morning.
                    Chance of rain in the afternoon.
CWR.................80 percent decreasing to 30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......900-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 18 mph shifting to the southeast 17
                    to 22 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 19 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 34 late in the morning increasing
                    to 49 early in the afternoon decreasing to 37.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........95  93  93  91  91  90  88  87  84  79  76  77
Weather cov.....DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............80  60  60  60  60  60  60  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  62  63  65  66  67  69  70  70  70  70  69
RH..............93  93  93  90  90  87  78  76  76  76  76  78
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   9   10  10  12  12  12  10  10  8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  13  13  13  18  18  18  22  22  22  17  17
Dispersion......8   16  18  20  30  35  38  49  49  49  39  35
LVORI...........6   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

$$

Forecaster...Fournier
Requested by...Matthew Hortman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702522.0/TAE
.EMAIL Matthew.Hortman@myFWC.com


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