Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Northeast RFC

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AGUS71 KTAR 131546
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1145 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
THE MORNING HOURS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY FOR NEW ENGLAND
. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG A COOL FRONT THAT IS
ADVANCING ON WESTERN NEW YORK. THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
INCREASE ACROSS NEW YORK STATE FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND NORTHERN AND
WESTERN NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THROUGH
MID-WEEK, EXPECT AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND A SERIES OF WAVES
THAT WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTION WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING ARE UP TO 2 INCHES. FORECAST
AMOUNTS CLOSER TO THIS 2 INCHES ARE SITUATED OVER EASTERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK, SOUTHERN VT, WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS, AND
WESTERN CONNECTICUT.
:
DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS ENDING AT 8AM THIS MORNING, DAILY
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS REPORTED GENERALLY WERE ZERO. HOWEVER, A FEW
SCATTERED LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND ISOLATED LOCATIONS IN NEW YORK STATE REPORTED A FEW
HUNDREDTHS TO NEAR 0.4 INCH.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
RIVERS ACROSS THE NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND REGION CONTINUE TO FALL
TODAY WITH ONLY MINOR SHOWERS OCCURRING IN THE PAST 48 HOURS.
CURRENT FORECASTS BASED ON 2 DAYS OF PRECIPITATION SHOWS RIVERS
WITH UP TO 2 FOOT RISES WITH THE LARGEST RISES IN EASTERN NEW YORK
. HOWEVER SINCE SOME HYEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED, THE POTENTIAL
FOR URBAN AND FLASH FLOODING EXISTS. IN ADDITION WITH RAIN
CONTINUING THRU THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK THE POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING ON HEADWATER RIVER LOCATONS DOES EXIST.
:
NORMAL FLUCTUATIONS DUE TO POWER GENERATION, RESERVOIR REGULATION
OR TIDAL VARIATION CAN BE EXPECTED.
:
THE USGS WATERWATCH WEB PAGE FOR 7-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOWS SHOWS
THAT RIVER FLOWS FOR MOST OF THE NERFC REGION ARE RUNNING ABOVE TO
MUCH ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY JULY AFTER THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL.
WESTERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND RIVER FLOWS ARE IN THE
NORMAL RANGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:        ERICK BOEHMLER
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                 ROB SHEDD





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