Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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886
WUUS01 KWNS 211620
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

VALID TIME 211630Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   44499384 44399286 44149216 43599206 43199277 42839375
       42419557 42319690 42379800 42849822 43379800 44179592
       44369470 44499384
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   41567577 40537526 39527575 38737620 37497707 37197750
       37287819 37807839 39127808 40517779 41397728 41677669
       41567577
0.05   38849672 40209970 40630088 41270147 42440138 43809994
       45009592 46708968 46528632 46058414 45398330 44788328
       43748468 42728503 40908572 39378717 38618923 38559375
       38849672
0.15   41869895 42239933 42809991 43369998 43669970 43869883
       44239509 44289375 44249282 43789272 43229314 42749405
       42029634 41829779 41869895
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   38918677 38498826 38249076 37999526 38259634 39069723
       39709865 40229991 40640095 41410158 42500127 43370043
       44009914 45379409 46518974 46508800 46408495 46248413
       45538319 45078306 43918362 42928454 42188418 41598247
       41938035 41797778 41617580 40927487 39907491 37837650
       37117749 37227824 37787849 39637801 40297828 40338069
       40038280 39768473 38918677
0.15   42649967 43169976 43529954 43849906 44049603 44219464
       44269292 44149237 43769208 42589267 41689381 41359503
       41329635 41879864 42649967
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   44249285 44249282 44249282 44149237 43769208 42589267
       41689381 41359503 41329635 41859858 41869895 42239933
       42809991 43369998 43669970 43809912 43849906 43869886
       43869883 44239509 44289375 44269313 44269292 44249285
MRGL   45788352 45538318 45078306 43918362 42928454 42188418
       41598247 41928035 41797778 41617580 40927487 39907491
       37837650 37117749 37227824 37787849 39637801 40297828
       40338069 40038280 39768474 38918677 38498826 38249076
       37999526 38259634 39069723 39709865 40229991 40640095
       41270147 41400158 41990142 42440139 43080072 43370043
       43400038 43809994 45009592 46708968 46528632 46458595
       46408495 46248413 46188404
TSTM   27319989 29819921 31189766 33389636 34439639 34749675
       34639804 34379881 33739981 32440132 31600194 29290246
       99999999 31111118 32981105 33781188 33671311 31821367
       99999999 32251499 33451544 33941637 33961716 35281907
       37372043 38522132 40012195 40642161 40712082 40452021
       40041907 40151793 40351682 40551557 40171446 39581346
       39691259 40471209 41681143 41981083 41901021 41300938
       40740854 41100781 41360520 42190396 44410214 49780067
       99999999 37818180 38308191 38678281 38708354 38388548
       37678692 36828764 36048814 35048820 33698763 33388667
       33678587 34428522 35588445 36558303 37348219 37818180
       99999999 38097434 36967651 36577770 35837887 35177909
       34957852 35937452 99999999 45377339 43147213 41517203
       40017195

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW
RST 25 NW RST 25 NW RST 15 NNE RST 25 ESE RST 15 W ALO 15 NW DSM 45
E OMA 25 W OMA 30 E BUB 10 ENE BUB 30 NNW BUB 15 NNE ANW 45 SW 9V9
20 WSW 9V9 10 E 9V9 15 ENE 9V9 25 ENE 9V9 25 ENE 9V9 20 S RWF 10 ENE
MKT 40 NW RST 30 NW RST 30 NW RST.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N
APN 35 NNE APN 25 E APN 35 WNW BAX 10 NNE LAN 15 ESE JXN 35 WNW CLE
15 SW ERI 45 E BFD 20 NNW AVP 35 ENE ABE 20 E PHL 30 S NHK 30 SSW
RIC 40 NNW AVC 25 S CHO 15 N MRB AOO 10 NNW HLG CMH 30 WSW DAY 20
SSW BMG 35 ENE MVN 35 NNW FAM 25 NNE CNU 10 WSW EMP 30 NE SLN 55 WNW
CNK 35 E MCK 35 NNW MCK 40 WNW LBF 50 WNW LBF 20 WSW MHN 30 NNW MHN
20 NNW VTN 35 N VTN 40 NNE VTN 30 W 9V9 35 SE VVV 25 ENE IWD 60 E
MQT 75 NE ESC 30 W ANJ 20 SE ANJ 25 SE ANJ.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW LRD 30 N HDO
15 W TPL 30 SE GYI 35 N DUA 35 NNE ADM 20 E FSI 30 SW FSI 55 SSE CDS
20 NE BGS 30 SSE MAF 55 SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 60 WSW FHU 60 N TUS 25
NNE PHX 55 NNW GBN 80 SE YUM ...CONT... 35 SW YUM 45 WSW BLH 25 NNW
TRM 15 E RAL 10 S BFL 10 NE MER 10 E SAC 20 ESE RBL 50 NE RBL 55 SSW
AAT 70 NNW RNO 25 W LOL 35 E LOL 20 S BAM 20 SSE EKO 45 SSW ENV 50
SW DPG 20 N U24 25 SSW SLC 35 NW EVW 50 NNE EVW 45 S BPI 25 SW RKS
55 ENE VEL 45 NNW CAG 25 NW CYS 15 NE TOR 35 NW PHP 110 NNE MOT
...CONT... 35 W BKW 20 WSW CRW 25 NNW HTS 55 ESE LUK 20 NE SDF 15
ESE OWB 15 NW HOP 55 NE MKL 40 WNW MSL 35 N TCL 15 SSE BHM ANB RMG
30 WSW TYS 35 W TRI 55 W BLF 35 W BKW ...CONT... 60 E WAL 20 WNW ORF
10 N RZZ RDU 15 ESE SOP 20 E FAY 80 NE HSE ...CONT... 65 N BTV 20
NNE EEN 10 N GON 80 SE ISP.




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