Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 121045
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
545 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 12/1200 UTC THRU FEB 15/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...UPDATE...

ONLY MINOR CHANGES FOR THE 12Z WPC PACKAGE WERE
MADE...CONCENTRATED IN THE FIRST 12 HOURS...BASED ON THE PAST
COUPLE RUNS OF THE HRRR AND EXPERIMENTAL HRRR ACROSS THE SRN
APPALACHIANS AND NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

A BROAD UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY CENTERED OFFSHORE OF THE NORTHWEST
COAST WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD THIS PERIOD INTO STOUT UPPER
RIDGING...WITH THE TROUGH AXIS REACHING ERN WASHINGTON/OREGON BY
12Z/13. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST
SHORTLY AFTER 12Z THIS MORNING WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
DIMINISHING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FROM THEIR CURRENT VALUES OF
1.0 TO 1.1 INCHES ALONG THE WASHINGTON/OREGON COASTS TO NEAR 0.5
INCHES BY 12Z/13. SWLY TO WSWLY FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE
20-30 KT RANGE IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER...FAVORING THE WASHINGTON
COASTAL RANGES/CASCADES BEST WITH SECONDARY MAXIMA ACROSS THE NRN
ROCKIES/BITTERROOT RANGES. THE LATEST MODELS SHOWED VERY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC SETUP...AND ONLY MINOR QPF
DIFFERENCES. WPC FOLLOWED AN EQUAL BLEND OF THE 00Z NAM...00Z GFS
AND 12Z ECMWF ACROSS THE NORTHWEST FOR QPF.

...TN VALLEY TO THE EAST COAST...

A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER-MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING WILL REACH THE SOUTHEAST COAST LATER
TODAY AND INITIATE CYCLOGENESIS ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW LEVEL FLOW WRAPPING AROUND THE DEVELOPING
LOW WILL ENHANCE LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE SRN
MID-ATLANTIC COAST...WITH THE BEST WARM ADVECTION OCCURRING ACROSS
ERN NORTH CAROLINA BETWEEN 12-00Z. THERMAL PROFILES SUGGEST SOME
OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS A WINTRY MIX.  REFER TO THE WPC
WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE LATEST ENSEMBLE
SCATTER LOW PLOTS SUGGESTED THE 00Z NAM TO BE TOO FAR WEST WITH
ITS LOW...AND TOO HEAVY WITH PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA.
DIFFERENCES IN THE LATEST HI-RES MODELS WERE SIGNIFICANT ACROSS
THE REGION WITH THE 00Z ARW NOTABLY DRIER THAN THE 00Z NMMB. WPC
FOLLOWED A MIDDLE GROUND APPROACH HERE...ATTEMPTING TO FOLLOW
CONVERGING TRENDS IN THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET.

FARTHER NORTH UP THE EAST COAST...AN INVERTED TROUGH AXIS
EXTENDING WEST OF THE LOW WILL TIE INTO ANOTHER SURFACE LOW
WEAKENING ACROSS SRN QUEBEC. BY THE END OF THE DAY 1
PERIOD...06-12Z SATURDAY...LAPSE RATES BETWEEN 850-500 MB WILL BE
BETWEEN 7.0 TO 7.5 C/KM...ACCORDING TO THE 00Z GFS...WHICH MAY
HELP TO SUPPORT LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION RATES IN THE VICINITY
OF THE INVERTED TROUGH AXIS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE CNTRL MAINE
COAST. WHILE HI-RES MODEL CONSENSUS SHOWED 0.50+
INCHES...CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO IS LIMITED GIVEN THE
MESOSCALE NATURE OF THE EVENT AND NOT THE GREATEST SUPPORT FORM
THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE.

...GREAT LAKES...

DEEP MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION THROUGH SAT MORNING WITH THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST BEING
A CLOSED LOW TRACKING FROM HUDSON BAY AT 12Z/12 TO SWRN QUEBEC BY
12Z/13. IN CONNECTION WITH THE ADVANCING UPPER LOW...AN ARCTIC
FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE LAKES FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST...WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW INITIALLY BACKING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...FOLLOWED BY BRISK NWLY FLOW BY 06-12Z SAT IN THE POST
FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT.

PREDOMINATELY NWLY FLOW ACROSS LAKES SUPERIOR/MICHIGAN THROUGH FRI
NIGHT WILL FAVOR LOCATIONS ACROSS THE ERN MICHIGAN U.P. AND
LOCATIONS NEAR THE ERN SHORES OF LAKE MICHIGAN. FARTHER
EAST...MAXIMUM QPF SHOULD BE LOCATED EAST TO NORTHEAST OF LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO...WITH WPC QPF FOLLOWING NEAR A BLEND OF THE 00Z
NMMB/ARW GIVEN THEIR HIGHER RESOLUTION AND ABILITY TO CAPTURE
DETAILS.  SEE THE QPFHSD FOR DETAILS ON SNOWFALL.



DAYS 2/3...

NORTHWEST...

ANOTHER ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT IS PROJECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY LAST 24 HOURS OR MORE. MODEL
ANOMALIES OF 3 TO 4 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FOR
PRECIPITABLE WATER AND 850-700 MB MOISTURE FLUX ARE EXPECTED WITH
THE ADDITION OF LONGER DURATION SUPPORTING SEVERAL INCHES OF
LIQUID EQUIVALENT FOR THE COASTAL RANGES AND CASCADES PARTICULARLY
FOR WASHINGTON. PREFERRED THE HIGHER RESOLUTION 00Z NAM AND 00Z
GFS AS THEY WERE ALSO MORE AGREEING WITH EACH OTHER THAN THE 12Z
ECMWF WHICH WAS NEAR THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE FOR THE
TRAJECTORY AND ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY LIGHTER IN THE OOZ RUN.

NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDDLE-UPPER MS VALLEY/OH VALLEY...

THE 00Z NAM LIES NEAR THE DEEP EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE AT 700 MB
CROSSING THE DAKOTAS SATURDAY NIGHT AND THUS WAS NOT USED BUT THEN
WEAKENS AND DRIFTS INTO THE OH VALLEY ON A REALISTIC TRAJECTORY.
THUS...ITS SOLUTION BY SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT IS MORE POSSIBLE.
MEANWHILE...THE 00Z GFS IS MOST PREFERRED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
BUT THEN DRIFTS TOWARD THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ALONG
WITH THE 00Z ECMWF...WITH THE MAJORITY OF OTHER SOLUTIONS
REMAINING MORE SOUTHWARD OR FASTER ALONG WITH CONSIDERABLE SPREAD.
THEREFORE...CONFIDENCE IS QUITE LOW. OVERALL THOUGH...EXPECT THE
ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO PROGRESS QUICKLY THROUGH THE OH
VALLEY...PERHAPS AS QUICKLY AS THE NAM AND A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE
GFS/ECMWF. REFER TO THE QPFHSD FOR MORE INFORMATION ON WINTER
WEATHER.

LOWER MS VALLEY/TN VALLEY/APPALACHIANS...

A VERY COMPLICATED FORECAST FOR THIS REGION AS THE SPREAD OF THE
SOUTHERN STREAM CONTINUES AND RELIES IN PART ON IF AND HOW THE
NORTHERN STREAM WILL SEPARATE FROM IT. CURRENTLY EXPECT THE
NORTHERN STREAM TO SPLIT SOMEWHAT AND MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE OH
VALLEY...WHICH WOULD CREATE SUFFICIENT SPACE FOR THE SOUTHERN
STREAM TO DIG. A SOLUTION SOMEWHERE BETWEEN THE 00Z GFS/00Z ECMWF
AND THE 18Z PARALLEL GFS SEEMS TO FIT THE PATTERN CONCEPTUALLY AND
SO THESE SOLUTIONS WERE USED THE MOST TO DERIVE THE QPF.
HOWEVER...THERE REMAINS HIGHS SPREAD. IF THE NAM WERE TO
VERIFY...THE FRONT WOULD SHIFT MUCH FARTHER SOUTH THEN EXPECTED
AND THUS INTERCEPT THE MOISTURE PLUME FARTHER SOUTH THAN FORECAST.
IF THE ECMWF WERE TO VERIFY...THE FRONT WOULD STALL MUCH FARTHER
NORTH THAN FORECAST...AGAIN JUSTIFYING MAJOR FORECAST CHANGES. THE
CURRENT APPROACH IS NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE UNTIL BETTER
CLUSTERING AND/OR SHIFTS IN GUIDANCE BECOME MORE OBVIOUS. REFER TO
THE QPFHSD FOR MORE INFORMATION ON WINTER WEATHER.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

OTTO/JAMES



24HR QP VT 13/12Z
 0.01 534223 537206 537199 537190 536183 532179 525171 519161
      512153 508149 506148 505142 509136 511134 511128 512122
      515128 518141 524148 530149 533145 541150 544136 546117
      545114 545108 542100 540096 538094 538091 540088 543084
      544076 541070 538067 531059 529055 525052 517043 512040
      508035 499028 426982 421980 417980 417983 417991 419996
      427004 430007 433010 439019 443023 448026 449033 452037
      463043 472052 475056 476060 474063 469070 465075 463079
      461079 454069 451066 447068 442071 442075 450085 454088
      456091 456096 453097 452095 448097 448102 450109 454112
      456110 458109 461111 463116 466120 468123 468127 461136
      458142 456150 452153 447150 443154 443157 445162 449161
      451163 451168 449175 447181 443185 442189 443198 444203
      447205 447210 446213 443215 438216 428221 423222 423227
      420232 416234 411235 407237 404241 403246 400248 398253
      400258 402260 405259 412259 423259 446262 448273 450279
      453284 455289 459293 467296 472300 477302 480303 482302
      491298 500295 507305
 0.01 530237 530235 530232 530229 529231 528234 528236 529239
      530237
 0.01 498141 499134 498128 498121 496115 493107 492101 491098
      489096 487093 485091 482092 476091 479102 481115 481119
      482125 488132 494140 496142 498141
 0.01 492731 486691 484686 483681 482677 481678 472680 467678
      454675 449673 447672 445667 452654 451649 449647 440649
      437649 434646 432645 429648 422650 417653 406662 397670
      388679 386680 384678 376679 367682 361685 348692 334700
      324707 319711 317716 313730 309745 305757 301771 299777
      298785 300793 305798 310801 314805 313812 315817 318821
      325818 326816 326813 328809 328805 330798 335793 339787
      344792 345796 348796 352795 354793 355789 356784 361779
      366776 370772 374766 375762 378761 383763 386763 382760
      379759 378756 381754 385752 390752 392755 388778 388787
      382793 374801 369804 365808 357818 355813 355810 352812
      350816 348823 346831 346841 347844 348849 353855 359857
      364865 366871 369876 372876 374874 375873 377869 376850
      376840 375836 378834 380834 382832 383825 386821 390820
      395824 407831 415831 418833 422832 426832 426835 423841
      410847 408852 403855 405859 409863 418873 432877 440876
      444875 447873 455872 458875 459881 461889 461899 462908
      466914 468915 470913 471907 473899 477892 480886 483879
      485869 482861 479854 475850 470845 464840 461836 459832
      458826 458816 461808 468799 474788 478781 481773 482769
      482766 482763 480763 479760 482757 485755 487753 489752
      489749 489742 490737 492731
 0.01 486151 484149 483148 481150 482151 484152 486151
 0.01 480183 479172 476171 474174 468177 464184 460189 456196
      454199 455204 458205 461205 465204 467201 470199 474191
      479185 480183
 0.01 456700 452698 446698 440700 436703 430705 425704 419712
      417717 413721 412726 413732 416733 419733 423727 426724
      430723 434722 438719 441713 444710 452703 455702 456700
 0.01 424739 422735 419735 414737 408738 405737 400739 401746
      399751 400754 402757 407754 410751 411749 415745 420744
      423742 424739
 0.25 531208 532202 532197 530189 523177 520171 517169 516171
      512170 507164 504162 501162 495163 489165 487167 489170
      491176 492184 495192 500192 505189 512190 515192 517194
      519201 523208 526211 529211 531208
 0.25 519274 520263 519257 516249 515242 510228 506221 504216
      501210 498204 494203 487202 478206 468212 447220 444221
      443225 448226 451226 455228 457229 457232 448239 448244
      450247 456249 462249 468251 476255 481259 487270 494280
      498287 500289 502288 507285 510278 515274 519274
 0.25 492237 491235 489231 487229 484228 481226 479223 477222
      476224 474226 472229 475229 476229 480229 481232 482236
      486237 489238 492237
 0.25 487139 486137 484136 484135 482135 481134 479134 477133
      476133 474134 474136 475138 477139 479139 480140 482140
      484140 485140 487139
 0.25 473156 472153 471150 469149 468150 467150 466151 464151
      464152 463154 462156 463159 465160 466160 467159 468158
      470158 472157 473156
 0.25 473865 472863 470860 468857 467853 465853 463855 461856
      461861 460866 462870 464872 467873 471871 472868 473865
 0.25 448685 447682 443681 439686 433689 429689 423689 420690
      421694 424696 430696 435696 438692 444689 448685
 0.25 445751 445748 443747 441748 440750 438753 437756 436761
      436763 436767 438769 440767 441764 443760 444757 445754
      445751
 0.25 453857 453855 451853 450853 449853 448853 446853 444855
      444856 445857 445858 446859 448860 450860 452859 453857
 0.25 446817 446814 445812 443810 442811 440812 438812 437813
      436813 435815 433816 432817 431819 432820 434820 435820
      437820 439821 441822 442821 444820 445819 446817 446817
 0.25 430788 429783 427783 426785 424787 422789 421792 420795
      418799 418802 419805 420803 423801 425799 427796 428793
      429790 430788
 0.25 430862 429861 428860 427859 426858 424858 422858 420858
      419859 418860 419863 421865 422865 424866 426866 428865
      429864 429863 430862
 0.25 384701 378698 367701 362699 357701 352705 346704 342705
      340707 336710 330720 323729 319734 316739 312749 310764
      311771 312777 314783 320786 324782 326777 329771 334768
      336766 340765 344768 350768 354767 356765 370747 370739
      373734 376721 378715 381711 383705 384701
 0.50 517265 517258 515253 513247 512241 510235 508232 510241
      506232 504226 503220 498210 494207 490206 484207 480208
      476210 472213 457222 459225 463225 472222 477220 481221
      484225 489227 492232 494237 499247 505255 509267 511271
      513270 517265
 0.50 504276 504268 503264 501262 499256 496250 493245 489240
      485239 484240 481236 479233 476232 471233 468237 463240
      462242 469244 474248 480250 485254 488259 494272 497276
      500278 502278 504276
 0.50 508182 509177 509172 508169 506167 504166 503166 501168
      499170 497172 497174 498178 501181 502183 504184 506184
      508182
 0.50 459242 458241 456241 455241 456242 457242 459242
 0.50 441760 442757 440755 439757 438758 438760 438762 439763
      440762 441760 441760
 0.50 346712 345709 342708 337714 330726 326731 320737 317743
      314751 313764 315774 317777 319778 323774 327767 333753
      338740 343734 345726 345718 346712
 1.00 512255 511250 509246 505242 505237 500228 497218 493210
      486213 481212 481216 488223 491224 493230 497238 503245
      508253 510257 512255
 1.00 492253 492252 492250 491248 490247 490246 488244 486244
      485246 485248 486249 487251 488252 489252 490254 492255
      492253
 1.00 479238 479237 478236 477235 476235 475235 475237 475239
      476240 477241 478241 479238
 1.00 330744 328742 326745 324749 322753 318757 317761 318765
      321766 325762 326759 328755 329750 330744 330744
 1.50 496228 497226 497223 496222 495221 494222 494225 495228
      496228
 1.50 492217 493214 492213 491213 489213 487215 487217 486218
      487218 488220 490219 492218 492217

24HR QP VT 14/12Z
 0.01 488340 489339 490338 491337 491336 492334 494333 494332
      496331 522263 521255 524247 529229 530221 532216 535206
      535195 536193 534190 532186 529183 526176 524168 522164
      518163 516160 512158 507154 502149 496143 492137 488133
      483128 480126 477125 473125 470123 468121 468119 472116
      473112 471108 467102 473085 475074 474065 476056 478047
      480040 484033 493042 498043 502047 514059 518065 517069
      516074 513084 512092 517110 519120 521128 534125 537127
      540126 545125 551122 552114 553100 554092 555083 556069
      552064 542049 540041 536035 533027 533024 532018 529013
      526005 520992 516987 512981 509970 505962 496952 492948
      487942 477934 471931 464927 452920 441913 430907 424904
      416902 410898 404894 399890 393887 392885 388888 385893
      392906 396915 400922 410947 420961 421963 419966 417968
      415972 417975 419982 424989 432000 435003 437007 438011
      438017 438028 438034 436040 435048 433056 437062 439063
      440066 439070 440074 444082 444088 442091 436093 427094
      429099 429103 427106 425110 427114 431119 437117 440117
      442120 445124 444130 437142 432156 429166 428173 429177
      430185 435191 440197 441201 442204 440206 435209 430213
      424218 421221 420227 417235 415246 414249 414251 417258
      418262 418266 421272 427287 431295 435302 438310 443315
      448317 449319 453320 456320 464323 468324 470323 477323
      480322 485325 488326 490324 493326 491328 484338
 0.01 511295 510297 509299 508300 507301 506303 506304 505305
      504308 503308 502309 501312 499313 499314 497315 497318
      495320 494320 493321 492324 493326 495325 497323 499323
 0.01 489711 488706 487704 483700 483690 484687 482687 476686
      471683 466679 464676 463670 465655 470641 473634 472631
      469628 466631 463632 455635 449637 443636 441635 439638
      433641 419646 413649 410652 405653 393657 385660 383662
      379663 371667 365670 359673 358680 359689 359695 359714
      355719 350722 345725 339731 334732 329737 322748 319754
      319760 319765 321766 324767 327765 330760 331757 335757
      340752 346750 349748 353748 359748 365751 372751 385750
      388751 390749 394745 400740 404734 410724 416713 418710
      421709 424707 427707 433710 436715 439716 440719 443722
      444727 453730 464737 476741 481741 483736 489711
 0.01 483877 483865 479856 475850 472848 468847 466845 462846
      454850 446848 439845 427838 424836 423838 427845 432849
      436855 436858 434859 429857 424855 417851 411847 403834
      399828 394823 394828 396832 400837 405843 406848 408854
      410859 414865 417872 423874 427876 432876 436876 438873
      445872 450870 454869 459871 461874 466881 468884 467889
      465893 465896 469898 472895 474894 476890 480883 483877
 0.01 457832 455821 455809 454805 451801 444797 441796 439798
      441803 442806 442809 433808 429806 426800 426794 428791
      435792 438782 440769 440763 438758 431750 429745 425746
      423745 424753 423758 423765 425772 424777 423780 421781
      417784 412785 408782 402781 399786 398792 392793 388794
      382802 380807 380809 385809 388805 391805 393807 396810
      402816 408823 411826 416826 416816 408809 405808 402804
      399799 399795 401793 408799 413809 416813 419814 423818
      425822 440832 451837 456838 457832
 0.01 288776 288774 288772 287772 286770 285770 283770 282770
      281771 280773 280775 280778 281778 282779 282781 283782
      285782 286781 287781 287779 288777 288776
 0.01 279861 279859 279857 279854 279852 279850 278848 277846
      276845 274847 273849 273851 273853 274855 274857 275857
      276859 276861 277861 278861 279861
 0.25 526196 525189 521181 517177 510173 504171 502174 502177
      497172 494166 491163 488162 485161 483158 479151 478149
      477147 478144 483143 487139 483134 478131 473133 471137
      473141 460141 456140 452147 448153 447157 447161 448168
      447175 448184 451187 455187 460185 464181 468175 473171
      477169 484168 488173 490175 491180 495181 502181 511189
      519196 524198 526196
 0.25 516259 517252 515244 508231 502220 498214 494210 490205
      484204 477204 471205 468207 462208 451214 441218 437222
      435225 434230 434234 432238 428243 426250 429257 439264
      441266 442269 445277 448281 455285 468287 472290 479293
      483295 485294 488290 489291 493295 497295 499293 501290
      503289 505288 507283 510279 513271 516259
 0.25 489992 490987 488984 482981 476977 472974 467969 463964
      454954 449952 446952 445954 443963 444971 446979 448986
      455000 456003 459005 463000 473992 477989 481994 487995
      489992
 0.25 459694 453681 448665 445659 439655 432655 427657 421661
      416666 412671 409678 407681 404680 401679 393681 387686
      380697 376702 372706 367710 363716 361718 361724 364731
      368732 375729 387723 392720 397718 406708 407702 408693
      409685 414689 418691 425692 438695 449697 455697 459694
 0.25 447109 445108 445106 444105 443103 442102 441102 439103
      439105 437107 438109 440110 442111 443111 445111 447109
      447109
 0.50 512268 514260 514251 511245 509240 502230 500224 498219
      490209 486207 481207 462212 453217 450220 448222 447226
      453231 448233 444236 437245 437250 439253 441255 446255
      451257 457259 463263 482272 492277 498280 503281 509274
      512268
 0.50 490237 490232 490227 489225 486224 483223 479222 477222
      475224 475227 478230 480232 482234 484235 487236 490237
 0.50 475164 476162 476159 474156 472154 470152 467150 466149
      462148 460150 459153 460156 463158 464161 466163 469165
      473164 475164
 0.50 456179 456177 455174 454174 453171 452169 450170 449173
      449174 450175 450178 452180 454181 456179 456179
 0.50 450689 448682 446676 443668 439663 434663 430668 427674
      426676 427681 431684 435686 441689 445690 450689
 1.00 496234 496233 496231 496229 496226 496225 495223 495221
      494223 494225 494227 494228 494230 495233 496234 496234
 1.00 492253 492251 492250 491249 490247 489246 488244 487244
      486243 485243 483243 481244 482247 482248 484250 485252
      487252 488253 490254 492254 492253
 1.00 489218 488214 486212 483213 479212 475211 472213 467215
      459217 457219 456224 461228 467224 471221 478218 481217
      485218 489218
 1.00 480244 478238 477235 474232 469234 464235 458236 453237
      449237 456240 461243 462246 465248 472251 477249 480244
 1.00 470160 470158 469157 468157 470160 470160
 1.00 440680 440677 439675 439673 438673 437673 437676 438678
      440680 440680
 1.50 475245 476242 475240 475238 475237 474236 473236 472237
      470238 469240 469243 471244 472245 474245 475245
 1.50 468220 469218 468217 468220 468220
 1.50 462223 463221 462220 461220 459222 460223 462223 462223

24HR QP VT 15/12Z
 0.01 535201 534197 533188 534184 532184 529180 522173 521168
      522162 517156 511149 497138 483126 477121 473119 474115
      476109 477105 475096 471087 468077 459057 458054 453053
      447047 444039 442036 438033 433028 425023 415022 409021
      407024 400028 401038 401048 399052 395054 390060 387062
      388066 389071 391076 401079 405080 407084 408090 408096
      410096 412092 416084 419088 420094 419101 417104 414108
      412109 411107 408104 405105 404107 404113 405118 413122
      419127 420132 419140 418147 417151 414160 423176 426175
      431177 426185 425187 428190 430193 430197 429199 421202
      419205 418211 415226 414234 415239 418247 424253 444280
      451288 455296 458300 463302 470303 475304 480306 485308
      488311 491314 494311 499305 511289 513284 514278 516274
      518267 524244 530221 535201
 0.01 531984 529977 525970 518960 512949 509944 505941 502936
      498932 491924 477905 455894 451891 448887 445882 444877
      446873 450870 453865 458856 453857 449861 446866 442869
      438863 434859 431857 429853 429848 430845 430837 429833
      428830 423819 416811 412807 408801 404796 404792 402790
      397779 395772 390767 382759 378755 374753 369756 362758
      357766 352776 352783 353793 354810 355820 355825 354828
      351835 348840 342851 336859 324875 316885 307892 298899
      289908 284912 285916 288929 295937 299940 303943 308954
      312965 317978 329982 335980 339978 344976 348976 352976
      353978 358982 366990 373999 376003 380006 382009 384007
      387002 384988 379975 373967 370963 367957 366951 368945
      369942 372941 377937 381935 386931 390928 396924 404925
      408925 410927 424945 431952 440959 448967 452972 454976
      457982 460989 464995 468999 477007 481011 485012 497013
      505009 515002 520999 523994 527988 531984
 0.01 489193 488187 486183 480177 476178 473181 467187 466194
      462194 460193 457194 455197 453203 457206 465201 467203
      470200 477197 484196 489193
 0.01 484862 484861 482861 481859 480859 479859 477859 475859
      474858 472860 473863 474863 476865 477865 479865 481864
      482862 484862 484862
 0.01 455825 455823 453820 451818 448817 446816 444815 442817
      440818 439820 437823 439825 441827 443827 446827 450827
      453826 455825
 0.01 439182 439180 440178 439175 437175 435175 434176 433179
      434181 435181 436184 437184 439182
 0.01 445128 442126 439125 435124 433126 432130 431133 429137
      430141 434140 435138 437136 439134 441132 443130 445128
 0.01 439762 436762 432761 427762 428764 429769 431776 432783
      434787 436785 436780 436773 437768 439762 439762
 0.01 428702 424695 418690 417687 414686 411685 407686 403687
      402690 401695 401699 403711 405713 407711 410709 412706
      415703 416701 418702 420704 424703 428702
 0.01 343761 339754 332751 329753 325755 320761 315767 311773
      305779 298783 291787 288790 286793 286798 288800 293805
      299810 304812 309809 311806 318803 324797 330792 338780
      341771 343763 343761
 0.25 514255 513247 513245 511242 507237 505231 502219 496209
      491205 485204 481204 476204 467209 458212 437214 428221
      430226 433231 436243 440247 444247 455246 461246 467248
      477255 485262 490266 493271 497276 500277 504272 507267
      513256 514255
 0.25 512178 513173 512169 509165 505161 502155 497145 490137
      486132 481130 475129 471130 455140 451146 447149 441148
      437150 435153 435157 438162 442165 445169 446177 444183
      446189 450192 454191 457188 463179 463170 467168 477169
      486175 494183 499186 504187 509184 511179 512178
 0.25 486230 486228 485227 484226 482225 480225 479225 478225
      477226 475227 477229 478230 479231 480231 481232 483232
      484232 485232 486230
 0.25 455105 455100 453095 451094 447094 440095 432097 429102
      423106 421111 421117 427121 432118 440115 447115 450113
      452110 455105
 0.25 448075 446074 445072 445073 446075 448075
 0.25 435916 435911 434909 432902 429897 424893 419893 415896
      414901 415904 419909 422914 426918 431919 435916
 0.25 412071 412069 411068 410067 408066 407066 405067 404067
      405068 405070 406071 407072 408073 410073 411073 412072
      412071
 0.25 384841 382819 381814 380809 378801 376798 372800 371807
      369825 367835 364842 358854 344882 338896 331908 328917
      326925 326930 326936 328943 332950 336955 339957 344957
      349954 353946 354938 356928 358921 363904 369891 372883
      374874 376857 384841
 0.50 507177 507174 506171 503168 501167 498166 494165 493166
      490167 491171 492173 495176 496178 500179 503180 505179
      507177
 0.50 497229 499223 498219 494213 489209 483207 476208 471210
      461214 438216 435219 435224 440228 443229 447229 451227
      455226 459228 464231 455234 448234 443236 441240 444242
      447242 459240 465240 471243 477246 484248 489252 490252
      491248 489241 484237 477233 471232 466229 471226 476223
      481223 497229
 0.50 483138 482136 482135 481134 479133 478132 476132 474133
      473133 474136 475137 477137 479138 480138 482138 483138
 0.50 478162 477157 474153 466146 460145 456147 451156 450170
      448185 450188 454188 461180 461176 460174 458170 458165
      460164 464163 475162 478162
 0.50 441156 441155 440154 439153 439155 439156 441157 441156
 0.50 442110 440105 439105 436105 434106 431106 428107 426108
      426113 428114 429113 433112 435112 438112 442110
 0.50 370873 370867 369863 366860 364861 358867 353872 346888
      339904 336912 333919 332926 333932 336939 339941 344941
      348934 351926 353916 356908 360901 363894 367885 370873
 1.00 490219 489214 487213 479209 474211 468215 462218 455220
      456223 458225 464223 471221 476219 483219 487220 490219
 1.00 480239 479237 477236 476236 474236 473236 473239 475241
      476242 478242 480241 480240 480239
 1.00 468155 468152 467152 466150 464149 462149 461149 459150
      459153 460155 462156 463157 465157 467156 468155
 1.00 457182 458180 457178 456179 456182 457182 457182
 1.00 450224 451222 450221 449222 448223 447224 448225 449225
      450224
 1.50 486215 484213 481212 477211 475212 472214 470215 468217
      468219 470218 473218 476218 478217 482217 485217 486215
 2.00 478215 477214 475214 475215 477215 478215

$$




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