River Forecast
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FGUS54 KFWR 030116
RVFHGX
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NWS WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER, FORT WORTH,TX
0816 PM CDT MON MAY 02 2016


:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST
:CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS WEATHER
:FORECAST OFFICES.


:   FORECAST GROUP IS TRINITY RIVER BASIN
:
:
:   FORECASTS INCLUDE 12 HOURS OF FUTURE RAINFALL
:
:*************************************************************************
:Crockett - Trinity River
:ZERO DATUM     141.15 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE    35.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE  41.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  45.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  48.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    40.87 FT AT 2001 CDT ON 0502
.ER CRKT2    0503 C DC201605022014/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      40.7
.E2 :0503:    /      40.5 /      40.3 /      40.1 /      39.9
.E3 :0504:    /      39.8 /      39.6 /      39.5 /      39.5
.E4 :0505:    /      39.4 /      39.3 /      39.2 /      39.1
.E5 :0506:    /      39.0 /      38.9 /      38.8 /      38.8
.E6 :0507:    /      38.7 /      38.6 /      38.5
:
.ER CRKT2    0503 C DC201605022014/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      0.00
.E2 :0503:    /      0.00
.ER CRKT2    0503 C DC201605022014/DH01/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 0.0

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  CONTINUE FALL

:*************************************************************************
:Madisonville - Bedias Creek
:ZERO DATUM     150.00 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE    16.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE  19.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  21.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  23.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    17.95 FT AT 1945 CDT ON 0502
.ER MDST2    0503 C DC201605022014/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      17.8
.E2 :0503:    /      17.4 /      16.9 /      16.6 /      16.2
.E3 :0504:    /      15.8 /      15.4 /      15.0 /      14.6
.E4 :0505:    /      14.2 /      13.8 /      13.4 /      13.1
.E5 :0506:    /      12.7 /      12.3 /      11.9 /      11.5
.E6 :0507:    /      11.1 /      10.6 /      10.2
:
.ER MDST2    0503 C DC201605022014/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      0.00
.E2 :0503:    /      0.00
.ER MDST2    0503 C DC201605022014/DH01/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 0.0

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  SLOW FALL WITHIN ACTION STAGE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
: THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK

:*************************************************************************
:Riverside - Trinity River
:ZERO DATUM      89.90 FT (NAVD88)
:ACTION STAGE   132.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE 133.50 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 136.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE 140.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE   135.63 FT AT 1930 CDT ON 0502
.AR : CREST : RVRT2 0503 C DC201605022014/DH01/HGIFFX    135.7
.ER RVRT2    0503 C DC201605022014/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /     135.7
.E2 :0503:    /     135.7 /     135.7 /     135.7 /     135.6
.E3 :0504:    /     135.6 /     135.5 /     135.4 /     135.3
.E4 :0505:    /     135.2 /     135.1 /     135.0 /     134.9
.E5 :0506:    /     134.8 /     134.7 /     134.6 /     134.4
.E6 :0507:    /     134.3 /     134.1 /     133.9
:

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  REMAIN 135.5 - 136.0 FEET NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
: NOTE- HIGHLY AFFECTED BY LAKE LIVINGSTON RELEASES

:*************************************************************************
:Livingston - Long King Creek
:ZERO DATUM     100.12 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE    14.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE  19.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  25.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  30.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    12.97 FT AT 1930 CDT ON 0502
.ER LIVT2    0503 C DC201605022014/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      11.0
.E2 :0503:    /       8.6 /       7.3 /       6.3 /       5.7
.E3 :0504:    /       5.2 /       4.9 /       4.8 /       4.6
.E4 :0505:    /       4.5 /       4.4 /       4.3 /       4.2
.E5 :0506:    /       4.2 /       4.1 /       4.1 /       4.0
.E6 :0507:    /       4.0 /       4.0 /       3.9
:
.ER LIVT2    0503 C DC201605022014/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      0.00
.E2 :0503:    /      0.00
.ER LIVT2    0503 C DC201605022014/DH01/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 0.0

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  RIVER IS BELOW CRITERIA NOW AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL (LAST FORECAST)

:*************************************************************************
:Goodrich - Trinity River
:ZERO DATUM      40.00 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE    33.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE  36.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  38.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  41.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    38.23 FT AT 1945 CDT ON 0502
.AR : CREST : GRIT2 0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/HGIFFX     38.1
.ER GRIT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      38.1
.E2 :0503:    /      38.0 /      37.9 /      37.8 /      37.7
.E3 :0504:    /      37.7 /      37.6 /      37.6 /      37.5
.E4 :0505:    /      37.5 /      37.5 /      37.5 /      37.5
.E5 :0506:    /      37.5 /      37.5 /      37.5 /      37.5
.E6 :0507:    /      37.5 /      37.5 /      37.5
:
.ER GRIT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      0.00
.E2 :0503:    /      0.00
.ER GRIT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 0.0

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  HOVERING AROUND MODERATE FLOOD TODAY BUT SHOULD
: RESUME SLOW FALL WITHIN MINOR TOMORROW.

:*************************************************************************
:Menard Creek near Rye
:ZERO DATUM      62.32 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE    17.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE  20.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  23.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  28.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    21.10 FT AT 1915 CDT ON 0502
.AR : CREST : RYET2 0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/HGIFFX     20.5
.ER RYET2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      20.5
.E2 :0503:    /      20.2 /      19.9 /      19.9 /      19.8
.E3 :0504:    /      19.7 /      19.6 /      19.4 /      19.3
.E4 :0505:    /      18.8 /      18.3 /      17.8 /      17.3
.E5 :0506:    /      17.0 /      16.8 /      16.5 /      16.2
.E6 :0507:    /      15.9 /      15.6 /      15.3
:
.ER RYET2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      0.00
.E2 :0503:    /      0.00
.ER RYET2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 0.0

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  CONTINUE FALL

:*************************************************************************
:Romayor - Trinity River
:ZERO DATUM      25.92 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE    30.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE  40.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  41.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  42.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    37.22 FT AT 1946 CDT ON 0502
.ER RMYT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      37.2
.E2 :0503:    /      37.2 /      37.2 /      37.1 /      37.1
.E3 :0504:    /      37.0 /      36.9 /      36.9 /      36.8
.E4 :0505:    /      36.8 /      36.7 /      36.7 /      36.6
.E5 :0506:    /      36.6 /      36.6 /      36.6 /      36.6
.E6 :0507:    /      36.6 /      36.5 /      36.5
:
.ER RMYT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      0.00
.E2 :0503:    /      0.00
.ER RMYT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 0.0

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY NEXT FEW DAYS

:*************************************************************************
:Liberty - Trinity River
:ZERO DATUM      -2.22 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE    21.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE  26.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  27.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  29.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    28.61 FT AT 1915 CDT ON 0502
.AR : CREST : LBYT2 0505 C DC201605022015/DH07/HGIFFX     29.5
.ER LBYT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      28.8
.E2 :0503:    /      28.9 /      29.1 /      29.2 /      29.3
.E3 :0504:    /      29.3 /      29.4 /      29.4 /      29.4
.E4 :0505:    /      29.5 /      29.5 /      29.5 /      29.5
.E5 :0506:    /      29.5 /      29.5 /      29.5 /      29.5
.E6 :0507:    /      29.5 /      29.5 /      29.5
:
.ER LBYT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      0.00
.E2 :0503:    /      0.00
.ER LBYT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 0.0

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  STEADY RISE INTO MAJOR FLOOD BY TUESDAY.
: NOTE:  BASED ON LAKE LIVINGSTON RELEASE AND LOCAL
: RUNOFF.

:*************************************************************************
:Moss Bluff - Trinity River
:ZERO DATUM       0.00 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE     9.20 FT   FLOOD STAGE  12.20 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  15.20 FT   MAJOR STAGE  17.20 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    14.00 FT AT 1946 CDT ON 0502
.ER MBFT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      14.1
.E2 :0503:    /      14.1 /      14.2 /      14.3 /      14.3
.E3 :0504:    /      14.4 /      14.5 /      14.6 /      14.8
.E4 :0505:    /      14.9 /      15.0 /      15.1 /      15.2
.E5 :0506:    /      15.2 /      15.2 /      15.3 /      15.3
.E6 :0507:    /      15.3 /      15.3 /      15.3
:
.ER MBFT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0502:             ::          ::          :: /      0.00
.E2 :0503:    /      0.00
.ER MBFT2    0503 C DC201605022015/DH01/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 0.0

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  CONTINUE STEADY RISE AND APPROACH MODERATE FLOOD
: STAGE LATE THIS WEEK.
: NOTE-BASED ON LAKE LIVINGSTON RELEASES AND LOCAL RUNOFF.

:
:jfb
:
:
:...END OF MESSAGE...

$$



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