River Forecast
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RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
0036Z Sun Sep 25 2016
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS KANSAS

:                ***     EVENING FORECAST     ***

:     **********************************************************
:     *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF  ***
:     **********************************************************


: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
VERMILLION RIVER
  LOUISVILLE KS 5NE      30.0   15.2E  CREST NEAR 35.0 FT 09/25 PM
ROCK CREEK
  LOUISVILLE KS          27.0   19.9E  CREST NEAR 24.9 FT 09/25 AM
CROSS CREEK
  ROSSVILLE KS           25.0    7.6   CREST NEAR 23.7 FT 09/25 PM
KANSAS RIVER
  TOPEKA KS              26.0    7.8   CREST NEAR 17.8 FT 09/26 AM
SOLDIER CREEK
  DELIA KS 3E            26.0    7.3   CREST NEAR 24.3 FT 09/25 PM
DELAWARE RIVER
  MUSCOTAH KS 2S         27.0    3.2   CREST NEAR 26.3 FT 09/25 PM

:__________________________________________________________________

:LOUISVILLE KS 5NE - VERMILLION RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 28.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 34.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 44.0 FT
:LATEST ESTIMATED RIVER STAGE 15.2 FT AT 0000Z ON 0925

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0924           /    M  /    M  /    M
:   0925   /    M

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 09/25/2016 AROUND 10Z
.AR : CREST : LOUK1 20160925 Z DC201609250036/DH18/HGIFFX 35.0
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 09/26/2016 AROUND 03Z
.AR  LOUK1 20160925 DH0000/HGIPX 15.20E
.ER LOUK1 20160925 Z DC201609250036/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0925:        /  25.3 /  33.1 /  35.0
.E2  :0926:/  32.8 /  26.2 /  19.6 /  13.9
.E3  :0927:/  10.5 /   8.7 /   7.9 /   7.5
.E4  :0928:/   7.5 /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
.E5  :0929:/   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
.E6  :0930:/   7.4


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0924          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:    0925  /  2.30
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Sep 25:   2.31  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0925          /  0.66 /  0.23 /  0.02
:    0926  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Sep 26:   0.91  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:LOUISVILLE KS - ROCK CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 25.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 43.0 FT
:LATEST ESTIMATED RIVER STAGE 19.9 FT AT 0000Z ON 0925

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0924           /    M  /    M  /    M
:   0925   /    M

.AR  LISK1 20160925 DH0000/HGIPX 19.90E
.ER LISK1 20160925 Z DC201609250036/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0925:        /  24.9 /  23.7 /  21.3
.E2  :0926:/  18.7 /  16.8 /  15.1 /  13.7
.E3  :0927:/  12.6 /  11.8 /  11.2 /  10.8
.E4  :0928:/  10.6 /  10.4 /  10.3 /  10.2
.E5  :0929:/  10.2 /  10.1 /  10.1 /  10.1
.E6  :0930:/  10.1


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0924          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:    0925  /  2.38
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Sep 25:   2.40  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0925          /  0.47 /  0.22 /  0.01
:    0926  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Sep 26:   0.70  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:ROSSVILLE KS - CROSS CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 23.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.6 FT AT 0030Z ON 0925

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0924           /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
:   0925   /   7.5

.AR : CREST : RSSK1 20160926 Z DC201609250036/DH00/HGIFFX 23.7
.ER RSSK1 20160925 Z DC201609250036/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0925:        /  16.1 /  19.8 /  22.7
.E2  :0926:/  23.7 /  22.4 /  20.3 /  18.4
.E3  :0927:/  17.0 /  15.7 /  14.5 /  13.3
.E4  :0928:/  12.4 /  11.4 /   9.9 /   9.1
.E5  :0929:/   8.6 /   8.3 /   8.2 /   8.0
.E6  :0930:/   8.0


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0924          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.04
:    0925  /  1.99
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Sep 25:   2.03  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0925          /  1.00 /  0.30 /  0.06
:    0926  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Sep 26:   1.36  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:TOPEKA KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 44.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.8 FT AT 2330Z ON 0924

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0924           /   8.0 /   8.0 /   7.9
:   0924   /   7.9

.AR : CREST : TPAK1 20160926 Z DC201609250036/DH06/HGIFFX 17.8
.ER TPAK1 20160925 Z DC201609250036/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0925:        /  11.8 /  15.3 /  16.4
.E2  :0926:/  17.3 /  17.8 /  16.9 /  15.4
.E3  :0927:/  13.8 /  12.3 /  11.2 /  10.5
.E4  :0928:/  10.0 /   9.7 /   9.4 /   9.1
.E5  :0929:/   8.8 /   8.6 /   8.4 /   8.2
.E6  :0930:/   8.0


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0924          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:    0925  /  1.42
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Sep 25:   1.45  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0925          /  1.13 /  0.36 /  0.12
:    0926  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Sep 26:   1.61  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:DELIA KS 3E - SOLDIER CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.3 FT AT 2330Z ON 0924

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0924           /   7.2 /   7.1 /   7.1
:   0924   /   7.1

.AR : CREST : DELK1 20160925 Z DC201609250036/DH18/HGIFFX 24.3
.ER DELK1 20160925 Z DC201609250036/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0925:        /  18.5 /  23.7 /  24.3
.E2  :0926:/  23.3 /  21.0 /  17.9 /  15.2
.E3  :0927:/  12.8 /  11.1 /  10.1 /   9.3
.E4  :0928:/   8.8 /   8.3 /   8.1 /   7.9
.E5  :0929:/   7.8 /   7.7 /   7.7 /   7.6
.E6  :0930:/   7.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0924          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:    0925  /  1.21
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Sep 25:   1.23  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0925          /  1.14 /  0.32 /  0.08
:    0926  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Sep 26:   1.54  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:MUSCOTAH KS 2S - DELAWARE RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 25.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.2 FT AT 2345Z ON 0924

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0924           /   3.2 /   3.1 /   3.1
:   0924   /   3.1

.AR : CREST : MSCK1 20160925 Z DC201609250036/DH18/HGIFFX 26.3
.ER MSCK1 20160925 Z DC201609250036/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0925:        /  15.2 /  25.6 /  26.3
.E2  :0926:/  20.6 /  15.4 /  12.1 /  10.4
.E3  :0927:/   9.1 /   7.9 /   7.0 /   6.3
.E4  :0928:/   5.8 /   5.3 /   4.9 /   4.6
.E5  :0929:/   4.3 /   4.1 /   3.9 /   3.7
.E6  :0930:/   3.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0924          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0925  /  0.92
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Sep 25:   0.92  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0925          /  1.04 /  0.32 /  0.08
:    0926  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Sep 26:   1.44  inches

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:TOP -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Topeka, Kansas
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: mgt
:...END of MESSAGE...



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