Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 030251
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
HIZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 12/03/16 0251Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES 15: 0230Z; HIMAWARI: 0230Z JAW
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LOCATION...HAWAII...
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ATTN WFOS...HFO...
ATTN RFCS...APRFC...
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EVENT...UPDATE FOR HEAVY RAIN THREAT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER-LEVEL
HIGH NORTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS AND AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WITH AN ASSOCIATED
TROUGH AXIS ORIENTED NORTH/SOUTH ACROSS THE ISLAND CHAIN. TO THE WEST OF
THE ISLANDS, AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS ALSO SEEN. A CIRCULATION WAS SEEN IN
IMAGERY JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND MOVING NORTHWARD. SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWS AN INVERTED TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
TO THE WEST OF THE ISLANDS AND EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW BETWEEN
15-20 KNOTS PRESENT ACROSS THE STATE. THE BLENDED TPW PRODUCT SHOWS GOOD
MOISTURE ACROSS THE ISLANDS WITH PWATS AROUND 2.0 INCHES NEAR THE BIG
ISLAND. THE 00Z SOUNDINGS OUT OF LIHUE AND HILO INDICATE PWATS BETWEEN
1.44 TO 1.77 INCHES AND LIHUE`S 00Z SOUNDING ALSO SHOWS GOOD INSTABILITY
PRESENT IN THE REGION WITH CAPE JUST UNDER 2100 J/KG.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0255-0900Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...GIVEN THE GOOD MOISTURE AND THE LOW/TROUGH,
EXPECT SHOWERS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT FOR MAINLY WINDWARD PORTIONS OF
THE ISLANDS. THE CIRCULATION SEEN SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND COULD
HAVE SOME IMPACT ON SHOWERS FOR THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY, POSSIBLY
WITH HIGHER TOTALS, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOWER. THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROMOTE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE TRANSPORT TO THE
STATE. WITH THE INVERTED TROUGH TO THE WEST PUSHING INTO THE AREA,
ALONG WITH THE INCREASED INSTABILITY IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE,
ISOLATED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOWER.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 2372 15335 1796 15351 1812 16107 2363 16097 2366 16097

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