Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 310246
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092015
0300 UTC FRI JUL 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 129.3W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 129.3W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 128.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 11.4N 131.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.3N 134.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.1N 137.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.9N 139.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.5N 143.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 16.5N 146.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 18.0N 149.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 129.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





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