Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 292332
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
632 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE
BRIEF EXCEPTION MAY BE LIGHT FOG TONIGHT HOWEVER DEWPOINT TRENDS
ARE NOTABLY DRIER THUS ONLY MVFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN WEST REGION...
LEAVING THE FORECAST AREA WITH ONE MORE DAY OF NEXT TO NIL RAIN
CHANCES. SEVERAL DISTURBANCES WITHIN THE BROAD TROUGH AXIS WILL
ROTATE THROUGH. THIS WILL INCREASE RAIN CHANCES BEGINNING TOMORROW
NIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. A SHARPER UPPER TROUGH
AXIS WITHIN THE PROGRESSIVE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SWEEP
THROUGH THE REGION LATER THURSDAY. THIS WILL EFFECTIVELY PUSH A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE AREA AT THAT TIME...AND RAIN CHANCES WILL TAPER
OFF FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THURSDAY EVENING/NIGHT. AFTER THE
INITIAL FRONTAL PASSAGE...A REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR WILL
SETTLE OVER THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN WARM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS LEADING UP TO THE COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO CLIMATOLOGICAL
AVERAGES FOR EARLY FALL ARE EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   62  87  67  86 /   0  10  20  30
FSM   61  87  65  88 /   0   0  10  20
MLC   62  85  67  88 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   58  87  63  85 /   0  10  30  40
FYV   56  82  61  83 /   0   0  10  20
BYV   57  83  61  84 /   0   0  10  20
MKO   61  85  65  86 /   0  10  10  20
MIO   60  84  62  85 /   0  10  30  40
F10   61  85  67  87 /   0   0  10  20
HHW   63  86  68  88 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...07





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