Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 180231
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
931 PM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
We had a dry day for most of the area, which served as a brief
break from the stormy pattern. Severe storms did develop late
this afternoon and evening across the OK/TX panhandles, and will
have to monitor the eastward progress of this convection as it
weakens overnight. At the least, high clouds will increase across
northeast Oklahoma tonight. There is a hint that some rain may
make it to Osage/Pawnee counties before morning, but it should be
light. Some patchy fog is possible as well, given high dewpoints
in the upper 60s/lower 70s and calm winds.

Next upper level wave is noted in water vapor imagery over WY,
and this will encourage a surface low to develop overnight. There
may be a couple of opportunities for storms on Friday - along a
boundary which will lift north across western/northern Oklahoma
during the day, and then from a nocturnal complex which may move
south from KS/MO late Friday night.

Will send a quick update shortly.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  90  73  94 /  10  30  40  10
FSM   72  92  74  93 /  10  20  40  20
MLC   71  92  75  95 /  10  30  30  20
BVO   62  89  70  93 /  10  30  40  10
FYV   62  87  70  89 /  10  20  40  20
BYV   61  89  69  90 /  10  20  40  20
MKO   69  90  73  92 /  10  30  40  20
MIO   62  89  70  91 /  10  20  40  10
F10   71  91  73  95 /  10  30  40  10
HHW   74  92  75  95 /  10  30  30  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06
AVIATION....12

CORFIDI



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