Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 280943
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
343 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SNOW TO CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH NE OK AND NW
TO SEE ADDITIONAL 1-3 INCH TOTALS. SE OK WILL BEGIN TO SEE GRADUAL
CHANGEOVER TO A MIXED BAG OF PRECIP THIS AFTERNOON AS WARM ADVECTION
BEGINS. THIS TRANSITION WILL WORK ITS WAY NORTH OVERNIGHT...WITH
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN/FREEZING DRIZZLE EXPECTED FROM LATER TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING AS WARMER AND DRIER AIR ALOFT BEGINS TO OVER
TAKE THE REGION. THE CURRENT ADVISORY RUNS THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. IN ALL LIKELIHOOD IT WILL NEED TO BE EXTENDED BEYOND
06Z. WILL LET DAY SHIFT HANDLE THAT SINCE IT FALLS UNDER THE FIRST
PERIOD OF THE NEXT FORECAST PACKAGE. EXPECT PRECIP TO REMAIN
MAINLY LIQUID...BUT THE NEXT BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH SUNDAY MAY
ALLOW FOR SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING. WARM
UP ENSUES MONDAY...WITH RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING
MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING TUESDAY EVENING AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD
FRONT. WILL KEEP MENTION OF LIGHT SNOW BEHIND THE FRONT BEGINNING LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE COLDER AIR EXPANDS FURTHER
SOUTH AND EAST. SYSTEM FINALLY PUSHES EAST OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY.
AFTER THE UPPER TROUGH PASSES BY... THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SEE A PERIOD
OF SETTLED...AND WARMER WEATHER LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   30  28  40  28 / 100  60  50  20
FSM   32  31  42  33 /  50  40  50  30
MLC   33  31  44  32 /  70  40  50  30
BVO   29  27  38  24 / 100  80  50  10
FYV   29  29  39  26 /  60  50  50  30
BYV   28  28  37  25 /  60  50  50  30
MKO   31  28  42  28 /  70  40  50  30
MIO   29  28  37  24 / 100  80  50  10
F10   32  29  43  29 /  70  40  50  20
HHW   34  33  46  37 /  50  40  50  50

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-
     OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-
     OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-
     OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-
     ARZ010-ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....23




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