Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 281100
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL
AFFECT MOST...IF NOT ALL...THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE FIRST 4 TO 6
HOURS OF THE VALID TAF PERIOD...BUT CIG/VSBY IMPACTS SHOULD NOT
OCCUR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FAST MOVING MINOR WAVE PASSING THIS MORNING MAY PRODUCE SCATTERED
LIGHT RAIN PRIMARILY OVER FAR NW AR...OTHERWISE WARMER TEMPS WILL
BE REALIZED AS SFC HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD AND SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY /
SUNDAY EVENING WITH AN AXIS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY DEVELOPING ALONG
THE BOUNDARY ACROSS SE OK INTO WESTERN AR. INHIBITION IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN RATHER STRONG WITH ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY WAITING
UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AND MOST LIKELY ACROSS FAR SE OK AND POINTS
FURTHER SOUTH.

THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY BEFORE WORKING
SLOWLY BACK NORTH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHILE PROVIDING FOCUS
FOR A PASSING UPPER WAVE. THE RESULT WILL BE INCREASING PRECIP
CHANCES LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE UPPER PATTERN IS MUCH LESS AMPLIFIED BY LATE WEEK WITH A
STRONGER STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY TIMED THROUGH THE PLAINS BY
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...22




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